1st Summit Bancorp Stock Price Patterns
| FSMK Stock | USD 38.65 0.20 0.51% |
Momentum 56
Buy Extended
Oversold | Overbought |
Using 1ST SUMMIT hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of 1ST SUMMIT BANCORP from the perspective of 1ST SUMMIT response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in 1ST SUMMIT to buy its pink sheet at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying 1ST because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell pink sheets at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
1ST SUMMIT after-hype prediction price | USD 38.85 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as pink sheet price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
1ST |
1ST SUMMIT After-Hype Price Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of 1ST SUMMIT at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in 1ST SUMMIT or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Pink Sheet prices, such as prices of 1ST SUMMIT, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
1ST SUMMIT Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting 1ST SUMMIT's pink sheet value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on 1ST SUMMIT's historical news coverage. 1ST SUMMIT's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 36.17 and 41.53, respectively. We have considered 1ST SUMMIT's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models compare with traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
1ST SUMMIT is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of 1ST SUMMIT BANCORP is based on 3 months time horizon.
1ST SUMMIT Pink Sheet Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as 1ST SUMMIT is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading 1ST SUMMIT backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Pink Sheet price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with 1ST SUMMIT, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.47 | 2.68 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0 Events / Month | 0 Events / Month | In a few days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
38.65 | 38.85 | 0.00 |
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1ST SUMMIT Hype Timeline
1ST SUMMIT BANCORP is currently traded for 38.65. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.0. 1ST is expected not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is insignificant. The immediate return on the next news is expected to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is currently at 0.47%. %. The volatility of related hype on 1ST SUMMIT is about 0.0%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 38.65. The company last dividend was issued on the 15th of June 2022. 1ST SUMMIT BANCORP had 2:1 split on the 20th of April 2022. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next expected press release will be in a few days. Check out 1ST SUMMIT Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.1ST SUMMIT Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to 1ST SUMMIT's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict 1ST SUMMIT's future price movements. Getting to know how 1ST SUMMIT's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how 1ST SUMMIT may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| SMAL | Summit Bancshares | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.09 | 0.04 | 0.75 | (0.70) | 3.36 | |
| CMHF | Community Heritage Financial | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.1) | 1.03 | (1.65) | 4.03 | |
| FBSI | First Bancshares | 0.00 | 0 per month | 2.72 | 0.07 | 4.91 | (2.74) | 31.80 | |
| KSBI | KS Bancorp | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.15 | 1.31 | (0.88) | 5.19 | |
| SBNY | Signature Bank | 0.00 | 0 per month | 4.64 | 0.1 | 16.00 | (8.33) | 70.46 | |
| MCBK | Madison County Financial | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.67 | 0.08 | 2.08 | (1.67) | 8.36 | |
| JUVF | Juniata Valley Financial | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.07) | 1.58 | (3.16) | 6.26 | |
| FBTT | First Bankers Trustshares | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.29 | 2.59 | (0.92) | 8.38 | |
| UWHR | Uwharrie Capital Corp | 0.00 | 0 per month | 1.51 | 0.02 | 2.56 | (3.05) | 13.00 | |
| NEFB | Neffs Bancorp | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.03) | 0.00 | 0.00 | 2.53 |
1ST SUMMIT Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine 1ST price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for 1ST using various technical indicators. When you analyze 1ST charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
About 1ST SUMMIT Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of 1ST SUMMIT stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as 1ST SUMMIT BANCORP, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of 1ST SUMMIT based on analysis of 1ST SUMMIT hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to 1ST SUMMIT's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to 1ST SUMMIT's related companies.
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Try AI Portfolio ProphetOther Information on Investing in 1ST Pink Sheet
1ST SUMMIT financial ratios help investors to determine whether 1ST Pink Sheet is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in 1ST with respect to the benefits of owning 1ST SUMMIT security.