Huntsman Stock Price Prediction
| HUN Stock | USD 19.61 0.19 0.98% |
Oversold Vs Overbought
33
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth 0.206 | EPS Estimate Next Quarter 0.04 | EPS Estimate Current Year 0.0921 | EPS Estimate Next Year 0.9048 | Wall Street Target Price 23.6429 |
Using Huntsman hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Huntsman from the perspective of Huntsman response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Huntsman to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Huntsman because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
Huntsman after-hype prediction price | USD 19.68 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Huntsman |
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Huntsman's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Huntsman After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Huntsman at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Huntsman or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Huntsman, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Huntsman Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Huntsman's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Huntsman's historical news coverage. Huntsman's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 17.90 and 21.46, respectively. We have considered Huntsman's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Huntsman is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Huntsman is based on 3 months time horizon.
Huntsman Stock Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Huntsman is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Huntsman backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Huntsman, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.15 | 1.79 | 0.07 | 0.02 | 8 Events / Month | 9 Events / Month | In about 8 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
19.61 | 19.68 | 0.36 |
|
Huntsman Hype Timeline
On the 22nd of November Huntsman is traded for 19.61. The entity has historical hype elasticity of 0.07, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.02. Huntsman is anticipated to increase in value after the next headline, with the price projected to jump to 19.68 or above. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company the price is over 100%. The price boost on the next news is projected to be 0.36%, whereas the daily expected return is currently at -0.15%. The volatility of related hype on Huntsman is about 1179.04%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 19.63. The company reported the last year's revenue of 6.11 B. Total Income to common stockholders was 35 M with profit before taxes, overhead, and interest of 1.55 B. Considering the 90-day investment horizon the next anticipated press release will be in about 8 days. Check out Huntsman Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.Huntsman Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Huntsman's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Huntsman's future price movements. Getting to know how Huntsman's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Huntsman may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| VHI | Valhi Inc | 2.56 | 11 per month | 5.16 | 0.03 | 8.19 | (7.20) | 45.51 | |
| UNVR | Univar Inc | (0.03) | 8 per month | 0.00 | (0.45) | 0.31 | (0.22) | 0.79 | |
| LXU | Lsb Industries | (0.28) | 9 per month | 2.21 | 0.03 | 4.59 | (4.10) | 18.88 | |
| WLKP | Westlake Chemical Partners | 0.09 | 8 per month | 0.41 | (0.08) | 0.87 | (0.77) | 2.54 | |
| BAK | Braskem SA Class | (0.22) | 9 per month | 0.00 | (0.16) | 4.45 | (4.63) | 13.72 | |
| DOW | Dow Inc | 0.09 | 9 per month | 0.00 | (0.24) | 1.83 | (2.58) | 8.49 | |
| ASIX | AdvanSix | 1.08 | 9 per month | 1.71 | (0.01) | 3.06 | (2.64) | 9.70 | |
| MEOH | Methanex | (0.17) | 10 per month | 2.61 | (0.03) | 3.29 | (4.72) | 11.13 | |
| SIRE | Sisecam Resources LP | (0.43) | 4 per month | 0.00 | (0.28) | 0.24 | (0.20) | 1.16 | |
| GPRE | Green Plains Renewable | (0.70) | 7 per month | 0.00 | (0.09) | 5.47 | (7.90) | 19.80 | |
| TROX | Tronox Holdings PLC | (0.32) | 8 per month | 0.00 | (0.07) | 6.11 | (4.98) | 17.98 |
Huntsman Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Huntsman price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Huntsman using various technical indicators. When you analyze Huntsman charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
About Huntsman Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of Huntsman stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Huntsman, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Huntsman based on analysis of Huntsman hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Huntsman's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Huntsman's related companies. | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 (projected) | Dividend Yield | 0.0208 | 0.031 | 0.0379 | 0.0336 | Price To Sales Ratio | 0.9 | 0.69 | 0.73 | 0.67 |
Story Coverage note for Huntsman
The number of cover stories for Huntsman depends on current market conditions and Huntsman's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Huntsman is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Huntsman's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
Contributor Headline
Latest Perspective From Macroaxis
Huntsman Short Properties
Huntsman's future price predictability will typically decrease when Huntsman's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Huntsman often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Huntsman's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Huntsman's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 177.4 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 540 M |
Check out Huntsman Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections. To learn how to invest in Huntsman Stock, please use our How to Invest in Huntsman guide.You can also try the Idea Optimizer module to use advanced portfolio builder with pre-computed micro ideas to build optimal portfolio .
Is Diversified Chemicals space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Huntsman. If investors know Huntsman will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Huntsman listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth 0.206 | Dividend Share 0.988 | Earnings Share (0.60) | Revenue Per Share 34.793 | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.023 |
The market value of Huntsman is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Huntsman that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Huntsman's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Huntsman's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Huntsman's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Huntsman's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Huntsman's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Huntsman is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Huntsman's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.