Insteel Industries Stock Price Patterns
| IIIN Stock | USD 33.14 0.26 0.79% |
Momentum 61
Buy Extended
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth 6.033 | EPS Estimate Next Quarter 0.71 | EPS Estimate Current Year 2.72 | EPS Estimate Next Year 3.2 | Wall Street Target Price 42 |
Using Insteel Industries hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Insteel Industries from the perspective of Insteel Industries response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards Insteel Industries using Insteel Industries' stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards Insteel using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of Insteel Industries' stock price.
Insteel Industries Short Interest
An investor who is long Insteel Industries may also wish to track short interest. As short interest increases, investors should be becoming more worried about Insteel Industries and may potentially protect profits, hedge Insteel Industries with its derivative instruments, or be ready for some potential downside.
200 Day MA 34.9058 | Short Percent 0.0299 | Short Ratio 3.08 | Shares Short Prior Month 227.7 K | 50 Day MA 32.2544 |
Insteel Industries Hype to Price Pattern
Investor biases related to Insteel Industries' public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in Insteel. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding Insteel can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around Insteel Industries. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of Insteel Industries' market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about Insteel Industries.
Insteel Industries Implied Volatility | 0.45 |
Insteel Industries' implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Insteel Industries stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Insteel Industries' implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Insteel Industries stock will not fluctuate a lot when Insteel Industries' options are near their expiration.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Insteel Industries to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Insteel because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
Insteel Industries after-hype prediction price | USD 33.14 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Prediction based on Rule 16 of the current Insteel contract
Based on the Rule 16, the options market is currently suggesting that Insteel Industries will have an average daily up or down price movement of about 0.0281% per day over the life of the 2026-04-17 option contract. With Insteel Industries trading at USD 33.14, that is roughly USD 0.009321 . If you think that the market is fully incorporating Insteel Industries' daily price movement you should consider acquiring Insteel Industries options at the current volatility level of 0.45%. But if you have an opposite viewpoint you should avoid it and even consider selling them.
Check out Insteel Industries Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections. Insteel Industries After-Hype Price Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Insteel Industries at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Insteel Industries or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Insteel Industries, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Insteel Industries Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Insteel Industries' stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Insteel Industries' historical news coverage. Insteel Industries' after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 31.20 and 35.08, respectively. We have considered Insteel Industries' daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models compare with traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Insteel Industries is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Insteel Industries is based on 3 months time horizon.
Insteel Industries Stock Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Insteel Industries is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Insteel Industries backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Insteel Industries, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.11 | 1.96 | 0.01 | 0.01 | 6 Events / Month | 7 Events / Month | In about 6 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
33.14 | 33.14 | 0.00 |
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Insteel Industries Hype Timeline
Insteel Industries is currently traded for 33.14. The entity has historical hype elasticity of 0.01, and average elasticity to hype of competition of -0.01. Insteel is forecasted not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is over 100%. The immediate return on the next news is forecasted to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is currently at 0.11%. %. The volatility of related hype on Insteel Industries is about 1940.59%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 33.13. About 84.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors. The company has price-to-book (P/B) ratio of 1.78. Some equities with similar Price to Book (P/B) outperform the market in the long run. Insteel Industries has Price/Earnings To Growth (PEG) ratio of 1.36. The entity last dividend was issued on the 28th of November 2025. The firm had 2:1 split on the 19th of June 2006. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next forecasted press release will be in about 6 days. Check out Insteel Industries Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.Insteel Industries Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Insteel Industries' direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Insteel Industries' future price movements. Getting to know how Insteel Industries' peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Insteel Industries may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| NWPX | Northwest Pipe | (0.85) | 11 per month | 1.37 | 0.15 | 3.78 | (2.68) | 10.96 | |
| RYI | Ryerson Holding Corp | 0.03 | 14 per month | 2.26 | 0.12 | 4.22 | (4.57) | 11.34 | |
| SNCY | Sun Country Airlines | (0.08) | 9 per month | 1.87 | 0.21 | 6.22 | (4.25) | 13.97 | |
| HY | Hyster Yale Materials Handling | 0.10 | 10 per month | 0.00 | (0.04) | 5.10 | (4.77) | 20.43 | |
| HTLD | Heartland Express | 0.03 | 13 per month | 1.44 | 0.14 | 5.38 | (2.62) | 10.25 | |
| ADSE | Ads Tec Energy | 0.30 | 9 per month | 2.62 | 0.09 | 5.43 | (4.49) | 17.85 | |
| ASPN | Aspen Aerogels | 0.10 | 3 per month | 0.00 | (0.16) | 5.80 | (6.65) | 52.64 | |
| BXC | BlueLinx Holdings | (1.37) | 10 per month | 0.00 | (0.02) | 7.49 | (3.91) | 13.08 | |
| NX | Quanex Building Products | 0.19 | 10 per month | 2.27 | 0.12 | 6.18 | (4.72) | 14.57 | |
| CODI | Compass Diversified Holdings | 0.54 | 11 per month | 0.00 | (0.02) | 7.26 | (6.84) | 35.68 |
Insteel Industries Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Insteel price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Insteel using various technical indicators. When you analyze Insteel charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
About Insteel Industries Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of Insteel Industries stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Insteel Industries, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Insteel Industries based on analysis of Insteel Industries hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Insteel Industries's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Insteel Industries's related companies. | 2010 | 2025 | 2026 (projected) | Dividend Yield | 0.029 | 0.084 | 0.0882 | Price To Sales Ratio | 1.16 | 1.15 | 1.2 |
Pair Trading with Insteel Industries
One of the main advantages of trading using pair correlations is that every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if Insteel Industries position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in Insteel Industries will appreciate offsetting losses from the drop in the long position's value.Moving together with Insteel Stock
Moving against Insteel Stock
| 0.61 | KG | Kestrel Group Symbol Change | PairCorr |
| 0.58 | CMS | CMS Energy Earnings Call This Week | PairCorr |
The ability to find closely correlated positions to Insteel Industries could be a great tool in your tax-loss harvesting strategies, allowing investors a quick way to find a similar-enough asset to replace Insteel Industries when you sell it. If you don't do this, your portfolio allocation will be skewed against your target asset allocation. So, investors can't just sell and buy back Insteel Industries - that would be a violation of the tax code under the "wash sale" rule, and this is why you need to find a similar enough asset and use the proceeds from selling Insteel Industries to buy it.
The correlation of Insteel Industries is a statistical measure of how it moves in relation to other instruments. This measure is expressed in what is known as the correlation coefficient, which ranges between -1 and +1. A perfect positive correlation (i.e., a correlation coefficient of +1) implies that as Insteel Industries moves, either up or down, the other security will move in the same direction. Alternatively, perfect negative correlation means that if Insteel Industries moves in either direction, the perfectly negatively correlated security will move in the opposite direction. If the correlation is 0, the equities are not correlated; they are entirely random. A correlation greater than 0.8 is generally described as strong, whereas a correlation less than 0.5 is generally considered weak.
Correlation analysis and pair trading evaluation for Insteel Industries can also be used as hedging techniques within a particular sector or industry or even over random equities to generate a better risk-adjusted return on your portfolios.Check out Insteel Industries Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections. To learn how to invest in Insteel Stock, please use our How to Invest in Insteel Industries guide.You can also try the Stock Tickers module to use high-impact, comprehensive, and customizable stock tickers that can be easily integrated to any websites.
Will Building Products sector continue expanding? Could Insteel diversify its offerings? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Insteel Industries. Market participants price Insteel higher when confident in its future expansion prospects. Accurate valuation requires analyzing both current fundamentals and future growth trajectories. Every Insteel Industries data point contributes insight, yet successful analysis hinges on identifying the most consequential variables.
Quarterly Earnings Growth 6.033 | Dividend Share 0.12 | Earnings Share 2.45 | Revenue Per Share | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.233 |
Insteel Industries's market price often diverges from its book value, the accounting figure shown on Insteel's balance sheet. Smart investors calculate Insteel Industries' intrinsic value—its true economic worth—which may differ significantly from both market price and book value. Seasoned market participants apply comprehensive analytical frameworks to derive fundamental worth and identify mispriced opportunities. Since Insteel Industries' trading price responds to investor sentiment, macroeconomic conditions, and market psychology, it can swing far from fundamental value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Insteel Industries' value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Insteel Industries is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Insteel Industries' price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.