Inogen Inc Stock Price Prediction
| INGN Stock | USD 6.03 0.19 3.05% |
Momentum 58
Buy Extended
Oversold | Overbought |
Using Inogen hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Inogen Inc from the perspective of Inogen response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Inogen to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Inogen because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
Inogen after-hype prediction price | USD 6.24 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Check out Inogen Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections. Inogen After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Inogen at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Inogen or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Inogen, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Inogen Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Inogen's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Inogen's historical news coverage. Inogen's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 3.42 and 9.06, respectively. We have considered Inogen's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Inogen is somewhat reliable at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Inogen Inc is based on 3 months time horizon.
Inogen Stock Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Inogen is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Inogen backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Inogen, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.55 | 2.83 | 0.07 | 0.04 | 18 Events / Month | 5 Events / Month | In about 18 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
6.03 | 6.24 | 0.32 |
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Inogen Hype Timeline
Inogen Inc is currently traded for 6.03. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -0.07, and average elasticity to hype of competition of -0.04. Inogen is forecasted to increase in value after the next headline, with the price projected to jump to 6.24 or above. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company the price is over 100%. The price boost on the next news is projected to be 0.32%, whereas the daily expected return is currently at -0.55%. The volatility of related hype on Inogen is about 3985.92%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 5.99. The company reported the previous year's revenue of 335.7 M. Net Loss for the year was (35.89 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 155.32 M. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next forecasted press release will be in about 18 days. Check out Inogen Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.Inogen Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Inogen's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Inogen's future price movements. Getting to know how Inogen's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Inogen may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| NNOX | Nano X Imaging | (0.13) | 3 per month | 0.00 | (0.06) | 9.44 | (6.06) | 36.87 | |
| SNWV | SANUWAVE Health Common | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.06) | 3.94 | (5.25) | 26.31 | |
| OM | Outset Medical | 0.07 | 9 per month | 0.00 | (0.17) | 7.60 | (9.78) | 52.35 | |
| HSDT | Helius Medical Technologies | (0.13) | 6 per month | 0.00 | (0.13) | 11.52 | (11.78) | 27.63 | |
| SI | Shoulder Innovations | (0.13) | 10 per month | 2.76 | 0.07 | 6.14 | (4.78) | 39.05 | |
| QTRX | Quanterix Corp | (0.13) | 18 per month | 3.28 | 0.05 | 8.16 | (5.66) | 32.49 | |
| CATX | Perspective Therapeutics | (0.13) | 3 per month | 0.00 | (0.04) | 6.25 | (7.83) | 26.95 | |
| EPRX | Eupraxia Pharmaceuticals Common | 0.00 | 0 per month | 2.90 | 0.15 | 6.98 | (4.46) | 24.61 | |
| SGHT | Sight Sciences | (0.13) | 6 per month | 3.60 | 0.06 | 9.34 | (6.23) | 25.08 | |
| HCAT | Health Catalyst | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.17) | 5.42 | (5.15) | 21.81 |
Inogen Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Inogen price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Inogen using various technical indicators. When you analyze Inogen charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
About Inogen Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of Inogen stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Inogen Inc, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Inogen based on analysis of Inogen hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Inogen's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Inogen's related companies.
Pair Trading with Inogen
One of the main advantages of trading using pair correlations is that every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if Inogen position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in Inogen will appreciate offsetting losses from the drop in the long position's value.Moving against Inogen Stock
| 0.61 | ITGR | Integer Holdings Corp | PairCorr |
| 0.43 | DHR | Danaher Earnings Call This Week | PairCorr |
| 0.43 | UFPT | UFP Technologies | PairCorr |
| 0.39 | KRMD | Repro Med Systems | PairCorr |
| 0.33 | HAE | Haemonetics | PairCorr |
| 0.33 | LIVN | LivaNova PLC | PairCorr |
The ability to find closely correlated positions to Inogen could be a great tool in your tax-loss harvesting strategies, allowing investors a quick way to find a similar-enough asset to replace Inogen when you sell it. If you don't do this, your portfolio allocation will be skewed against your target asset allocation. So, investors can't just sell and buy back Inogen - that would be a violation of the tax code under the "wash sale" rule, and this is why you need to find a similar enough asset and use the proceeds from selling Inogen Inc to buy it.
The correlation of Inogen is a statistical measure of how it moves in relation to other instruments. This measure is expressed in what is known as the correlation coefficient, which ranges between -1 and +1. A perfect positive correlation (i.e., a correlation coefficient of +1) implies that as Inogen moves, either up or down, the other security will move in the same direction. Alternatively, perfect negative correlation means that if Inogen Inc moves in either direction, the perfectly negatively correlated security will move in the opposite direction. If the correlation is 0, the equities are not correlated; they are entirely random. A correlation greater than 0.8 is generally described as strong, whereas a correlation less than 0.5 is generally considered weak.
Correlation analysis and pair trading evaluation for Inogen can also be used as hedging techniques within a particular sector or industry or even over random equities to generate a better risk-adjusted return on your portfolios.Check out Inogen Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections. You can also try the Options Analysis module to analyze and evaluate options and option chains as a potential hedge for your portfolios.
Is Health Care Equipment & Supplies space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Inogen. If investors know Inogen will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Inogen listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
The market value of Inogen Inc is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Inogen that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Inogen's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Inogen's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Inogen's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Inogen's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Inogen's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Inogen is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Inogen's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.