Iridium Communications Stock Price Prediction
| IRDM Stock | USD 28.47 0.56 2.01% |
Oversold Vs Overbought
48
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth 1.074 | EPS Estimate Next Quarter 0.18 | EPS Estimate Current Year 1.01 | EPS Estimate Next Year 1.18 | Wall Street Target Price 40.6 |
Using Iridium Communications hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Iridium Communications from the perspective of Iridium Communications response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
Iridium Communications Hype to Price Pattern
Investor biases related to Iridium Communications' public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in Iridium. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding Iridium can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around Iridium Communications. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of Iridium Communications' market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about Iridium Communications.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Iridium Communications to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Iridium because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
Iridium Communications after-hype prediction price | USD 27.91 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Iridium |
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Iridium Communications' price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Iridium Communications After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Iridium Communications at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Iridium Communications or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Iridium Communications, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Iridium Communications Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Iridium Communications' stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Iridium Communications' historical news coverage. Iridium Communications' after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 25.00 and 30.82, respectively. We have considered Iridium Communications' daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Iridium Communications is not too volatile at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Iridium Communications is based on 3 months time horizon.
Iridium Communications Stock Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Iridium Communications is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Iridium Communications backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Iridium Communications, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.13 | 2.91 | 0.16 | 0.07 | 9 Events / Month | 15 Events / Month | In about 9 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
28.47 | 27.91 | 0.00 |
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Iridium Communications Hype Timeline
Iridium Communications is currently traded for 28.47. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -0.16, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.07. Iridium is forecasted not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is over 100%. The immediate return on the next news is forecasted to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is currently at 0.13%. %. The volatility of related hype on Iridium Communications is about 529.57%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 28.54. About 86.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors. The book value of Iridium Communications was currently reported as 5.81. The company has Price/Earnings To Growth (PEG) ratio of 1.42. Iridium Communications last dividend was issued on the 13th of September 2024. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next forecasted press release will be in about 9 days. Check out Iridium Communications Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.Iridium Communications Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Iridium Communications' direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Iridium Communications' future price movements. Getting to know how Iridium Communications' peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Iridium Communications may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
Iridium Communications Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Iridium price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Iridium using various technical indicators. When you analyze Iridium charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
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About Iridium Communications Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of Iridium Communications stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Iridium Communications, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Iridium Communications based on analysis of Iridium Communications hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Iridium Communications's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Iridium Communications's related companies. | 2023 | 2024 (projected) | Dividend Yield | 0.0144 | 0.0113 | Price To Sales Ratio | 6.54 | 3.38 |
Story Coverage note for Iridium Communications
The number of cover stories for Iridium Communications depends on current market conditions and Iridium Communications' risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Iridium Communications is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Iridium Communications' long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Latest Perspective From Macroaxis
Iridium Communications Short Properties
Iridium Communications' future price predictability will typically decrease when Iridium Communications' long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Iridium Communications often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Iridium Communications' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Iridium Communications' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 127.2 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 71.9 M |
Check out Iridium Communications Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections. To learn how to invest in Iridium Stock, please use our How to Invest in Iridium Communications guide.You can also try the Idea Breakdown module to analyze constituents of all Macroaxis ideas. Macroaxis investment ideas are predefined, sector-focused investing themes.
Is Diversified Telecommunication Services space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Iridium Communications. If investors know Iridium will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Iridium Communications listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth 1.074 | Dividend Share 0.54 | Earnings Share 0.93 | Revenue Per Share 6.697 | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.077 |
The market value of Iridium Communications is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Iridium that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Iridium Communications' value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Iridium Communications' true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Iridium Communications' market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Iridium Communications' underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Iridium Communications' value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Iridium Communications is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Iridium Communications' price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.