Kinross Gold Stock Price Prediction

KGC Stock  USD 37.16  0.52  1.42%   
The relative strength momentum indicator of Kinross Gold's share price is above 70 at the present time. This indicates that the stock is becoming overbought or overvalued. The idea behind Relative Strength Index (RSI) is that it helps to track how fast people are buying or selling Kinross, making its price go up or down.

Momentum 76

 Buy Stretched

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
The successful prediction of Kinross Gold's future price could yield a significant profit. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Kinross Gold, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed. Below are the key fundamental drivers impacting Kinross Gold's stock price prediction:
Quarterly Earnings Growth
0.66
EPS Estimate Next Quarter
0.4376
EPS Estimate Current Year
1.7296
EPS Estimate Next Year
2.6188
Wall Street Target Price
31.8
Using Kinross Gold hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Kinross Gold from the perspective of Kinross Gold response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards Kinross Gold using Kinross Gold's stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards Kinross using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of Kinross Gold's stock price.

Kinross Gold Short Interest

A significant increase or decrease in Kinross Gold's short interest from the previous month could be a good indicator of investor sentiment towards Kinross. Short interest can provide insight into the potential direction of Kinross Gold stock and how bullish or bearish investors feel about the market overall.
200 Day MA
21.1354
Short Percent
0.0096
Short Ratio
2.44
Shares Short Prior Month
21.3 M
50 Day MA
28.9002

Kinross Gold Hype to Price Pattern

Investor biases related to Kinross Gold's public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in Kinross. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding Kinross can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around Kinross Gold. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of Kinross Gold's market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about Kinross Gold.

Kinross Gold Implied Volatility

    
  0.59  
Kinross Gold's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Kinross Gold stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Kinross Gold's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Kinross Gold stock will not fluctuate a lot when Kinross Gold's options are near their expiration.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Kinross Gold to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Kinross because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.

Kinross Gold after-hype prediction price

    
  USD 37.49  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.

Prediction based on Rule 16 of the current Kinross contract

Based on the Rule 16, the options market is currently suggesting that Kinross Gold will have an average daily up or down price movement of about 0.0369% per day over the life of the 2026-03-20 option contract. With Kinross Gold trading at USD 37.16, that is roughly USD 0.0137 . If you think that the market is fully incorporating Kinross Gold's daily price movement you should consider acquiring Kinross Gold options at the current volatility level of 0.59%. But if you have an opposite viewpoint you should avoid it and even consider selling them.
Check out Kinross Gold Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
For information on how to trade Kinross Stock refer to our How to Trade Kinross Stock guide.
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
26.9129.6540.88
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
36.0238.7641.50
Details
15 Analysts
Consensus
LowTargetHigh
28.9431.8035.30
Details
Earnings
Estimates (0)
LowProjected EPSHigh
0.650.710.78
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Kinross Gold. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Kinross Gold's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Kinross Gold's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Kinross Gold.

Kinross Gold After-Hype Price Density Analysis

As far as predicting the price of Kinross Gold at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Kinross Gold or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Kinross Gold, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
   Next price density   
       Expected price to next headline  

Kinross Gold Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

In the context of predicting Kinross Gold's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Kinross Gold's historical news coverage. Kinross Gold's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 34.75 and 40.23, respectively. We have considered Kinross Gold's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
37.16
37.49
After-hype Price
40.23
Upside
Kinross Gold is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Kinross Gold is based on 3 months time horizon.

Kinross Gold Stock Price Outlook Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Kinross Gold is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Kinross Gold backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Kinross Gold, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected ReturnPeriod VolatilityHype ElasticityRelated ElasticityNews DensityRelated DensityExpected Hype
  0.81 
2.74
  0.33 
  0.21 
7 Events / Month
7 Events / Month
In about 7 days
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
37.16
37.49
0.89 
668.29  
Notes

Kinross Gold Hype Timeline

On the 26th of January Kinross Gold is traded for 37.16. The entity has historical hype elasticity of 0.33, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.21. Kinross is forecasted to increase in value after the next headline, with the price projected to jump to 37.49 or above. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company the price is over 100%. The price growth on the next news is projected to be 0.89%, whereas the daily expected return is now at 0.81%. The volatility of related hype on Kinross Gold is about 1074.51%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 37.37. The company reported the last year's revenue of 5.15 B. Total Income to common stockholders was 903.25 M with profit before taxes, overhead, and interest of 4.15 B. Considering the 90-day investment horizon the next forecasted press release will be in about 7 days.
Check out Kinross Gold Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
For information on how to trade Kinross Stock refer to our How to Trade Kinross Stock guide.

Kinross Gold Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to Kinross Gold's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Kinross Gold's future price movements. Getting to know how Kinross Gold's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Kinross Gold may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
Hype
Elasticity
News
Density
Semi
Deviation
Information
Ratio
Potential
Upside
Value
At Risk
Maximum
Drawdown
GFIGold Fields Ltd(1.20)10 per month 3.35  0.08  6.28 (6.36) 14.92 
AUAngloGold Ashanti plc 2.00 9 per month 3.29  0.15  6.75 (5.21) 14.20 
AMRZAmrize(1.84)7 per month 1.52  0.05  3.46 (2.58) 8.15 
NTRNutrien(0.27)12 per month 1.66  0.13  3.45 (2.66) 10.08 
MTArcelorMittal SA ADR 0.25 11 per month 0.83  0.27  3.96 (1.87) 5.69 
FNVFranco Nevada 0.93 8 per month 1.69  0.14  3.37 (3.22) 8.99 
NUENucor Corp 2.98 7 per month 1.14  0.21  3.86 (2.59) 8.47 
STLDSteel Dynamics(1.07)11 per month 1.31  0.14  3.59 (2.78) 8.57 
PPGPPG Industries 0.98 9 per month 1.41  0.06  2.31 (1.72) 8.02 
AGIAlamos Gold(0.21)11 per month 2.91  0.1  5.03 (4.64) 12.47 

Kinross Gold Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Kinross price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Kinross using various technical indicators. When you analyze Kinross charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.

About Kinross Gold Predictive Indicators

The successful prediction of Kinross Gold stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Kinross Gold, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Kinross Gold based on analysis of Kinross Gold hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Kinross Gold's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Kinross Gold's related companies.
 2023 2024 2025 2026 (projected)
Dividend Yield0.01980.01290.01170.00864
Price To Sales Ratio1.752.212.542.42

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When running Kinross Gold's price analysis, check to measure Kinross Gold's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Kinross Gold is operating at the current time. Most of Kinross Gold's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Kinross Gold's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Kinross Gold's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Kinross Gold to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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