Kinross Gold Stock Price Prediction

KGC Stock  USD 10.22  0.14  1.39%   
At the present time, the relative strength momentum indicator of Kinross Gold's share price is approaching 41. This indicates that the stock is in nutural position, most likellhy at or near its support level. The main point of RSI analysis is to track how fast people are buying or selling Kinross Gold, making its price go up or down.

Oversold Vs Overbought

41

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
The successful prediction of Kinross Gold's future price could yield a significant profit. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Kinross Gold, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed. Below are the key fundamental drivers impacting Kinross Gold's stock price prediction:
Quarterly Earnings Growth
2.235
EPS Estimate Next Quarter
0.21
EPS Estimate Current Year
0.7155
EPS Estimate Next Year
0.9157
Wall Street Target Price
10.6938
Using Kinross Gold hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Kinross Gold from the perspective of Kinross Gold response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Kinross Gold to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Kinross because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.

Kinross Gold after-hype prediction price

    
  USD 10.25  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
  
Check out Kinross Gold Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
For information on how to trade Kinross Stock refer to our How to Trade Kinross Stock guide.
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
4.417.2111.24
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
7.8810.6813.48
Details
15 Analysts
Consensus
LowTargetHigh
5.576.126.79
Details
Earnings
Estimates (0)
LowProjected EPSHigh
0.170.180.20
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Kinross Gold. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Kinross Gold's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Kinross Gold's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Kinross Gold.

Kinross Gold After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis

As far as predicting the price of Kinross Gold at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Kinross Gold or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Kinross Gold, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
   Next price density   
       Expected price to next headline  

Kinross Gold Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

In the context of predicting Kinross Gold's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Kinross Gold's historical news coverage. Kinross Gold's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 7.45 and 13.05, respectively. We have considered Kinross Gold's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
10.22
10.25
After-hype Price
13.05
Upside
Kinross Gold is slightly risky at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Kinross Gold is based on 3 months time horizon.

Kinross Gold Stock Price Prediction Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Kinross Gold is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Kinross Gold backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Kinross Gold, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected ReturnPeriod VolatilityHype ElasticityRelated ElasticityNews DensityRelated DensityExpected Hype
  0.25 
2.82
  0.04 
  0.12 
11 Events / Month
8 Events / Month
In about 11 days
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
10.22
10.25
0.29 
1,880  
Notes

Kinross Gold Hype Timeline

On the 25th of November Kinross Gold is traded for 10.22. The entity has historical hype elasticity of 0.04, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.12. Kinross is forecasted to increase in value after the next headline, with the price projected to jump to 10.25 or above. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company the price is over 100%. The price growth on the next news is projected to be 0.29%, whereas the daily expected return is now at 0.25%. The volatility of related hype on Kinross Gold is about 579.81%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 10.34. The company reported the last year's revenue of 4.32 B. Total Income to common stockholders was 423.93 M with profit before taxes, overhead, and interest of 1.54 B. Considering the 90-day investment horizon the next forecasted press release will be in about 11 days.
Check out Kinross Gold Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
For information on how to trade Kinross Stock refer to our How to Trade Kinross Stock guide.

Kinross Gold Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to Kinross Gold's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Kinross Gold's future price movements. Getting to know how Kinross Gold's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Kinross Gold may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
Hype
Elasticity
News
Density
Semi
Deviation
Information
Ratio
Potential
Upside
Value
At Risk
Maximum
Drawdown
PAASPan American Silver 1.62 10 per month 2.17  0.01  6.05 (4.04) 14.73 
NEMNewmont Goldcorp Corp 0.46 9 per month 0.00 (0.14) 2.51 (3.20) 18.92 
WPMWheaton Precious Metals(0.50)11 per month 2.01 (0.02) 2.78 (3.16) 10.53 
FNVFranco Nevada 3.05 9 per month 1.72 (0.06) 2.46 (2.61) 8.26 
AEMAgnico Eagle Mines(0.98)10 per month 1.74 (0.03) 3.08 (2.69) 11.67 
GFIGold Fields Ltd(0.06)11 per month 2.92 (0.04) 4.52 (5.08) 14.93 
AUAngloGold Ashanti plc 0.73 10 per month 0.00 (0.14) 3.52 (4.20) 14.65 
HMYHarmony Gold Mining 0.38 10 per month 0.00 (0.05) 7.63 (5.89) 17.74 
EGOEldorado Gold Corp 0.45 9 per month 0.00 (0.08) 3.39 (4.76) 12.12 
NGDNew Gold(0.01)9 per month 2.73  0.01  5.53 (4.50) 17.13 
CDECoeur Mining 0.21 9 per month 3.71  0.01  9.37 (5.06) 28.59 

Kinross Gold Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Kinross price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Kinross using various technical indicators. When you analyze Kinross charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.

About Kinross Gold Predictive Indicators

The successful prediction of Kinross Gold stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Kinross Gold, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Kinross Gold based on analysis of Kinross Gold hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Kinross Gold's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Kinross Gold's related companies.
 2021 2022 2023 (projected)
Dividend Yield0.02050.02820.0202
Price To Sales Ratio1.961.521.72

Story Coverage note for Kinross Gold

The number of cover stories for Kinross Gold depends on current market conditions and Kinross Gold's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Kinross Gold is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Kinross Gold's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.

Other Macroaxis Stories

Our audience includes start-ups and big corporations as well as marketing, public relation firms, and advertising agencies, including technology and finance journalists. Our platform and its news and story outlet are popular among finance students, amateur traders, self-guided investors, entrepreneurs, retirees and baby boomers, academic researchers, financial advisers, as well as professional money managers - a very diverse and influential demographic landscape united by one goal - build optimal investment portfolios

Kinross Gold Short Properties

Kinross Gold's future price predictability will typically decrease when Kinross Gold's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Kinross Gold often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Kinross Gold's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Kinross Gold's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding1.2 B
Cash And Short Term Investments366.9 M

Complementary Tools for Kinross Stock analysis

When running Kinross Gold's price analysis, check to measure Kinross Gold's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Kinross Gold is operating at the current time. Most of Kinross Gold's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Kinross Gold's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Kinross Gold's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Kinross Gold to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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