Lifevantage Stock Price Prediction
| LFVN Stock | USD 14.20 1.04 7.90% |
Oversold Vs Overbought
61
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth 1.8 | EPS Estimate Next Quarter 0.13 | EPS Estimate Current Year 0.65 | Wall Street Target Price 7 | EPS Estimate Current Quarter 0.15 |
Using Lifevantage hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Lifevantage from the perspective of Lifevantage response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Lifevantage to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Lifevantage because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
Lifevantage after-hype prediction price | USD 13.56 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Lifevantage |
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Lifevantage's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Lifevantage After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Lifevantage at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Lifevantage or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Lifevantage, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Lifevantage Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Lifevantage's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Lifevantage's historical news coverage. Lifevantage's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 8.57 and 18.55, respectively. We have considered Lifevantage's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Lifevantage is moderately volatile at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Lifevantage is based on 3 months time horizon.
Lifevantage Stock Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Lifevantage is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Lifevantage backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Lifevantage, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.89 | 5.02 | 0.66 | 0.07 | 7 Events / Month | 7 Events / Month | In about 7 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
14.20 | 13.56 | 4.51 |
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Lifevantage Hype Timeline
Lifevantage is now traded for 14.20. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -0.66, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.07. Lifevantage is anticipated to decline in value after the next headline, with the price expected to drop to 13.56. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company price is over 100%. The price decrease on the next news is expected to be -4.51%, whereas the daily expected return is now at 0.89%. The volatility of related hype on Lifevantage is about 6341.05%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 14.27. About 17.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders. The company last dividend was issued on the 2nd of December 2024. Lifevantage had 1:7 split on the 19th of October 2015. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next anticipated press release will be in about 7 days. Check out Lifevantage Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.Lifevantage Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Lifevantage's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Lifevantage's future price movements. Getting to know how Lifevantage's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Lifevantage may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| SENEB | Seneca Foods Corp | 0.00 | 3 per month | 1.22 | 0.06 | 4.02 | (2.64) | 11.90 | |
| CENTA | Central Garden Pet | 0.55 | 11 per month | 1.45 | (0.08) | 2.74 | (2.72) | 6.82 | |
| CENT | Central Garden Pet | 0.79 | 10 per month | 1.44 | (0.07) | 2.81 | (2.33) | 6.39 | |
| LWAY | Lifeway Foods | 0.29 | 10 per month | 2.34 | 0.09 | 4.86 | (5.06) | 31.34 | |
| SENEA | Seneca Foods Corp | (1.57) | 4 per month | 1.45 | 0.11 | 2.87 | (1.85) | 11.87 | |
| JJSF | J J Snack | 0.76 | 9 per month | 1.26 | (0.08) | 2.12 | (1.89) | 9.61 | |
| ARZTY | Aryzta AG PK | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.18) | 0.00 | 0.00 | 14.15 | |
| JVA | Coffee Holding Co | (0.04) | 4 per month | 4.04 | 0.11 | 9.03 | (7.80) | 47.22 | |
| NATR | Natures Sunshine Products | (0.03) | 9 per month | 1.82 | 0.07 | 6.11 | (2.99) | 22.72 | |
| BRID | Bridgford Foods | 0.02 | 7 per month | 0.00 | (0.1) | 4.52 | (7.02) | 32.90 | |
| MMMB | MamaMancinis Holdings | 0.18 | 8 per month | 2.72 | 0.25 | 6.70 | (4.73) | 21.04 | |
| MKC-V | McCormick Company Incorporated | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.11) | 2.22 | (2.75) | 5.53 |
Lifevantage Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Lifevantage price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Lifevantage using various technical indicators. When you analyze Lifevantage charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
About Lifevantage Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of Lifevantage stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Lifevantage, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Lifevantage based on analysis of Lifevantage hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Lifevantage's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Lifevantage's related companies. | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 (projected) | Dividend Yield | 0.029 | 0.0886 | 0.093 | Price To Sales Ratio | 0.26 | 0.39 | 1.5M |
Story Coverage note for Lifevantage
The number of cover stories for Lifevantage depends on current market conditions and Lifevantage's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Lifevantage is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Lifevantage's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Lifevantage Short Properties
Lifevantage's future price predictability will typically decrease when Lifevantage's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Lifevantage often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Lifevantage's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Lifevantage's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 13 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 16.9 M |
Check out Lifevantage Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections. To learn how to invest in Lifevantage Stock, please use our How to Invest in Lifevantage guide.You can also try the Portfolio Suggestion module to get suggestions outside of your existing asset allocation including your own model portfolios.
Is Personal Care Products space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Lifevantage. If investors know Lifevantage will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Lifevantage listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth 1.8 | Dividend Share 0.15 | Earnings Share 0.32 | Revenue Per Share 15.853 | Quarterly Revenue Growth (0.08) |
The market value of Lifevantage is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Lifevantage that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Lifevantage's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Lifevantage's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Lifevantage's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Lifevantage's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Lifevantage's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Lifevantage is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Lifevantage's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.