Luckin Coffee Price Prediction

LKNCYDelisted Stock  USD 26.76  0.74  2.84%   
The relative strength index (RSI) of Luckin Coffee's pink sheet price is slightly above 65. This indicates that the pink sheet is rather overbought by investors at this time. The main point of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to track how fast people are buying or selling Luckin, making its price go up or down.

Oversold Vs Overbought

65

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
The successful prediction of Luckin Coffee's future price could yield a significant profit. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Luckin Coffee, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed.
Using Luckin Coffee hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Luckin Coffee from the perspective of Luckin Coffee response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Luckin Coffee to buy its pink sheet at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Luckin because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell pink sheets at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.

Luckin Coffee after-hype prediction price

    
  USD 26.76  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as pink sheet price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
  
Check out Correlation Analysis to better understand how to build diversified portfolios. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in main economic indicators.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Luckin Coffee's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
21.2121.2129.44
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
24.6224.6224.62
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
25.7026.4227.14
Details

Luckin Coffee After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis

As far as predicting the price of Luckin Coffee at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Luckin Coffee or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Pink Sheet prices, such as prices of Luckin Coffee, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
   Next price density   
       Expected price to next headline  

Luckin Coffee Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

In the context of predicting Luckin Coffee's pink sheet value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Luckin Coffee's historical news coverage. Luckin Coffee's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 26.76 and 26.76, respectively. We have considered Luckin Coffee's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
26.76
26.76
After-hype Price
26.76
Upside
Luckin Coffee is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Luckin Coffee is based on 3 months time horizon.

Luckin Coffee Pink Sheet Price Prediction Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Luckin Coffee is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Luckin Coffee backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Pink Sheet price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Luckin Coffee, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected ReturnPeriod VolatilityHype ElasticityRelated ElasticityNews DensityRelated DensityExpected Hype
 0.00  
0.00
 0.00  
 0.00  
0 Events / Month
11 Events / Month
Uncertain
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
26.76
26.76
0.00 
0.00  
Notes

Luckin Coffee Hype Timeline

Luckin Coffee is now traded for 26.76. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.0. Luckin is forecasted not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is insignificant. The immediate return on the next news is forecasted to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is now at 0.0%. %. The volatility of related hype on Luckin Coffee is about 0.0%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 26.76. The company had not issued any dividends in recent years. Assuming the 90 days horizon the next forecasted press release will be uncertain.
Check out Correlation Analysis to better understand how to build diversified portfolios. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in main economic indicators.

Luckin Coffee Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to Luckin Coffee's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Luckin Coffee's future price movements. Getting to know how Luckin Coffee's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Luckin Coffee may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
Hype
Elasticity
News
Density
Semi
Deviation
Information
Ratio
Potential
Upside
Value
At Risk
Maximum
Drawdown
SHAKShake Shack 2.87 10 per month 1.26  0.16  5.02 (2.79) 11.94 
DPZDominos Pizza 8.93 6 per month 1.22  0.04  3.26 (2.11) 7.92 
PZZAPapa Johns International(1.59)8 per month 2.43 (0.01) 4.11 (4.50) 10.07 
CMGChipotle Mexican Grill(0.14)6 per month 2.04  0.02  2.74 (2.68) 10.78 
DRIDarden Restaurants 4.21 11 per month 1.06  0.02  2.04 (1.78) 11.46 
MCDMcDonalds(0.66)7 per month 1.30 (0.05) 1.46 (1.18) 6.70 
SBUXStarbucks(1.32)7 per month 0.91  0.01  2.01 (1.86) 7.49 
WINGWingstop 2.76 10 per month 0.00 (0.09) 3.59 (3.86) 25.52 
EATBrinker International 2.17 11 per month 1.22  0.35  5.04 (1.82) 11.91 
BJRIBJs Restaurants 1.38 8 per month 2.30  0.07  4.59 (2.77) 13.19 
CAKEThe Cheesecake Factory(0.70)10 per month 1.68  0.12  4.75 (3.10) 13.08 
RUTHRuths Hospitality Group(0.03)9 per month 0.94  0.08  1.75 (2.63) 34.37 
DINDine Brands Global(0.88)10 per month 2.85  0.03  4.71 (4.50) 19.97 
WENThe Wendys Co 0.18 7 per month 1.81  0.02  3.33 (2.44) 10.30 

Luckin Coffee Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Luckin price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Luckin using various technical indicators. When you analyze Luckin charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.

About Luckin Coffee Predictive Indicators

The successful prediction of Luckin Coffee stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Luckin Coffee, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Luckin Coffee based on analysis of Luckin Coffee hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Luckin Coffee's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Luckin Coffee's related companies.

Story Coverage note for Luckin Coffee

The number of cover stories for Luckin Coffee depends on current market conditions and Luckin Coffee's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Luckin Coffee is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Luckin Coffee's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.

Other Macroaxis Stories

Our audience includes start-ups and big corporations as well as marketing, public relation firms, and advertising agencies, including technology and finance journalists. Our platform and its news and story outlet are popular among finance students, amateur traders, self-guided investors, entrepreneurs, retirees and baby boomers, academic researchers, financial advisers, as well as professional money managers - a very diverse and influential demographic landscape united by one goal - build optimal investment portfolios

Luckin Coffee Short Properties

Luckin Coffee's future price predictability will typically decrease when Luckin Coffee's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Luckin Coffee often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Luckin Coffee's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Luckin Coffee's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding267 M
Cash And Short Term Investments6.5 B
Check out Correlation Analysis to better understand how to build diversified portfolios. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in main economic indicators.
You can also try the Correlation Analysis module to reduce portfolio risk simply by holding instruments which are not perfectly correlated.

Other Consideration for investing in Luckin Pink Sheet

If you are still planning to invest in Luckin Coffee check if it may still be traded through OTC markets such as Pink Sheets or OTC Bulletin Board. You may also purchase it directly from the company, but this is not always possible and may require contacting the company directly. Please note that delisted stocks are often considered to be more risky investments, as they are no longer subject to the same regulatory and reporting requirements as listed stocks. Therefore, it is essential to carefully research the Luckin Coffee's history and understand the potential risks before investing.
Pair Correlation
Compare performance and examine fundamental relationship between any two equity instruments
Financial Widgets
Easily integrated Macroaxis content with over 30 different plug-and-play financial widgets
Risk-Return Analysis
View associations between returns expected from investment and the risk you assume
Piotroski F Score
Get Piotroski F Score based on the binary analysis strategy of nine different fundamentals
Content Syndication
Quickly integrate customizable finance content to your own investment portal
Idea Breakdown
Analyze constituents of all Macroaxis ideas. Macroaxis investment ideas are predefined, sector-focused investing themes
Correlation Analysis
Reduce portfolio risk simply by holding instruments which are not perfectly correlated
Stock Tickers
Use high-impact, comprehensive, and customizable stock tickers that can be easily integrated to any websites
Insider Screener
Find insiders across different sectors to evaluate their impact on performance