Loma Negra Compania Stock Price Prediction

LOMA Stock  USD 11.16  0.68  6.49%   
The relative strength index (RSI) of Loma Negra's share price is above 70 at this time. This indicates that the stock is becoming overbought or overvalued. The idea behind Relative Strength Index (RSI) is that it helps to track how fast people are buying or selling Loma, making its price go up or down.

Oversold Vs Overbought

79

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
The successful prediction of Loma Negra's future price could yield a significant profit. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Loma Negra Compania, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed. Below are the key fundamental drivers impacting Loma Negra's stock price prediction:
Quarterly Earnings Growth
1.831
EPS Estimate Current Year
0.7885
EPS Estimate Next Year
0.962
Wall Street Target Price
9.075
Quarterly Revenue Growth
1.436
Using Loma Negra hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Loma Negra Compania from the perspective of Loma Negra response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Loma Negra to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Loma because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.

Loma Negra after-hype prediction price

    
  USD 10.41  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
  
Check out Loma Negra Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
6.348.6711.00
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
7.6910.0112.34
Details
4 Analysts
Consensus
LowTargetHigh
6.927.608.44
Details
Earnings
Estimates (0)
LowProjected EPSHigh
0.180.200.21
Details

Loma Negra After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis

As far as predicting the price of Loma Negra at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Loma Negra or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Loma Negra, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
   Next price density   
       Expected price to next headline  

Loma Negra Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

In the context of predicting Loma Negra's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Loma Negra's historical news coverage. Loma Negra's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 8.08 and 12.74, respectively. We have considered Loma Negra's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
11.16
10.41
After-hype Price
12.74
Upside
Loma Negra is somewhat reliable at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Loma Negra Compania is based on 3 months time horizon.

Loma Negra Stock Price Prediction Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Loma Negra is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Loma Negra backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Loma Negra, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected ReturnPeriod VolatilityHype ElasticityRelated ElasticityNews DensityRelated DensityExpected Hype
  0.81 
2.45
  0.09 
  0.96 
8 Events / Month
5 Events / Month
In about 8 days
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
11.16
10.41
0.67 
2,227  
Notes

Loma Negra Hype Timeline

Loma Negra Compania is now traded for 11.16. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -0.09, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.96. Loma is expected to decline in value after the next headline, with the price expected to drop to 10.41. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company price is over 100%. The price decrease on the next news is expected to be -0.67%, whereas the daily expected return is now at 0.81%. The volatility of related hype on Loma Negra is about 207.24%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 12.12. About 20.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors. The company has price-to-book ratio of 1.72. Typically companies with comparable Price to Book (P/B) are able to outperform the market in the long run. Loma Negra Compania last dividend was issued on the 30th of June 2023. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next expected press release will be in about 8 days.
Check out Loma Negra Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.

Loma Negra Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to Loma Negra's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Loma Negra's future price movements. Getting to know how Loma Negra's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Loma Negra may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
Hype
Elasticity
News
Density
Semi
Deviation
Information
Ratio
Potential
Upside
Value
At Risk
Maximum
Drawdown
JHXJames Hardie Industries(0.23)9 per month 2.09 (0.01) 5.65 (3.51) 16.43 
SUMSummit Materials(0.05)9 per month 1.74  0.13  4.18 (2.73) 9.88 
USLMUnited States Lime 3.46 7 per month 1.34  0.30  6.93 (3.18) 16.29 
EXPEagle Materials(0.92)10 per month 1.40  0.11  3.13 (2.12) 9.50 
CPACCementos Pacasmayo SAA 0.15 8 per month 2.15 (0.02) 2.85 (2.80) 14.21 
VMCVulcan Materials 1.73 11 per month 1.20  0.05  2.79 (2.39) 8.27 
MLMMartin Marietta Materials 7.06 9 per month 1.51  0.02  2.71 (2.61) 8.83 
MCEMThe Monarch Cement 0.00 0 per month 1.55  0.07  4.68 (2.26) 14.48 
CRHCRH PLC ADR(0.56)7 per month 1.21  0.07  2.72 (2.08) 6.07 

Loma Negra Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Loma price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Loma using various technical indicators. When you analyze Loma charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.

About Loma Negra Predictive Indicators

The successful prediction of Loma Negra stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Loma Negra Compania, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Loma Negra based on analysis of Loma Negra hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Loma Negra's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Loma Negra's related companies.
 2021 2023 (projected)
Dividend Yield0.250.11
Price To Sales Ratio0.361.93

Story Coverage note for Loma Negra

The number of cover stories for Loma Negra depends on current market conditions and Loma Negra's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Loma Negra is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Loma Negra's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.

Other Macroaxis Stories

Our audience includes start-ups and big corporations as well as marketing, public relation firms, and advertising agencies, including technology and finance journalists. Our platform and its news and story outlet are popular among finance students, amateur traders, self-guided investors, entrepreneurs, retirees and baby boomers, academic researchers, financial advisers, as well as professional money managers - a very diverse and influential demographic landscape united by one goal - build optimal investment portfolios

Loma Negra Short Properties

Loma Negra's future price predictability will typically decrease when Loma Negra's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Loma Negra Compania often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Loma Negra's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Loma Negra's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding116.7 M
Cash And Short Term Investments6.7 B

Complementary Tools for Loma Stock analysis

When running Loma Negra's price analysis, check to measure Loma Negra's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Loma Negra is operating at the current time. Most of Loma Negra's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Loma Negra's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Loma Negra's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Loma Negra to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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