Martin Marietta Materials Stock Price Prediction

MLM Stock  USD 597.81  7.21  1.22%   
The relative strength index (RSI) of Martin Marietta's the stock price is about 69. This indicates that the stock is rather overbought by investors as of now. The main point of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to track how fast people are buying or selling Martin, making its price go up or down.

Oversold Vs Overbought

69

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
The successful prediction of Martin Marietta's future price could yield a significant profit. Please, note that this module is not intended to be used solely to calculate an intrinsic value of Martin Marietta and does not consider all of the tangible or intangible factors available from Martin Marietta's fundamental data. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Martin Marietta Materials, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed. Below are the key fundamental drivers impacting Martin Marietta's stock price prediction:
Quarterly Earnings Growth
(0.12)
EPS Estimate Next Quarter
4.66
EPS Estimate Current Year
17.7482
EPS Estimate Next Year
21.193
Wall Street Target Price
630.601
Using Martin Marietta hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Martin Marietta Materials from the perspective of Martin Marietta response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.

Martin Marietta Materials Hype to Price Pattern

Investor biases related to Martin Marietta's public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in Martin. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding Martin can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around Martin Marietta Materials. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of Martin Marietta's market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about Martin Marietta.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Martin Marietta to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Martin because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.

Martin Marietta after-hype prediction price

    
  USD 595.5  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
  
Check out Martin Marietta Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
534.97536.59657.59
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
575.42577.04578.66
Details
21 Analysts
Consensus
LowTargetHigh
459.79505.26560.84
Details
Earnings
Estimates (0)
LowProjected EPSHigh
4.254.445.60
Details

Martin Marietta After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis

As far as predicting the price of Martin Marietta at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Martin Marietta or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Martin Marietta, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
   Next price density   
       Expected price to next headline  

Martin Marietta Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

In the context of predicting Martin Marietta's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Martin Marietta's historical news coverage. Martin Marietta's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 593.88 and 657.59, respectively. We have considered Martin Marietta's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
597.81
593.88
Downside
595.50
After-hype Price
657.59
Upside
Martin Marietta is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Martin Marietta Materials is based on 3 months time horizon.

Martin Marietta Stock Price Prediction Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Martin Marietta is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Martin Marietta backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Martin Marietta, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected ReturnPeriod VolatilityHype ElasticityRelated ElasticityNews DensityRelated DensityExpected Hype
  0.16 
1.62
  2.31 
  0.10 
9 Events / Month
6 Events / Month
In about 9 days
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
597.81
595.50
0.39 
11.23  
Notes

Martin Marietta Hype Timeline

On the 24th of November Martin Marietta Materials is traded for 597.81. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -2.31, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.1. Martin is expected to decline in value after the next headline, with the price expected to drop to 595.5. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company price is about 11.23%. The price depreciation on the next news is expected to be -0.39%, whereas the daily expected return is now at 0.16%. The volatility of related hype on Martin Marietta is about 272.27%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 597.91. About 99.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors. The book value of Martin Marietta was now reported as 150.02. The company recorded earning per share (EPS) of 32.22. Martin Marietta Materials last dividend was issued on the 2nd of December 2024. Considering the 90-day investment horizon the next expected press release will be in about 9 days.
Check out Martin Marietta Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.

Martin Marietta Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to Martin Marietta's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Martin Marietta's future price movements. Getting to know how Martin Marietta's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Martin Marietta may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
Hype
Elasticity
News
Density
Semi
Deviation
Information
Ratio
Potential
Upside
Value
At Risk
Maximum
Drawdown
CRHCRH PLC ADR(0.56)7 per month 1.21  0.07  2.72 (2.08) 6.07 
EXPEagle Materials(0.92)10 per month 1.40  0.11  3.13 (2.12) 9.50 
SUMSummit Materials 0.66 8 per month 1.74  0.13  4.18 (2.73) 9.88 
USLMUnited States Lime 3.46 7 per month 1.34  0.30  6.93 (3.18) 16.29 
VMCVulcan Materials 1.73 11 per month 1.20  0.05  2.79 (2.39) 8.27 
JHXJames Hardie Industries(0.23)9 per month 2.09 (0.01) 5.65 (3.51) 16.43 
CXCemex SAB de 0.47 13 per month 0.00 (0.12) 3.31 (3.96) 13.18 
CPACCementos Pacasmayo SAA 0.15 8 per month 2.15 (0.02) 2.85 (2.80) 14.21 

Martin Marietta Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Martin price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Martin using various technical indicators. When you analyze Martin charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.

About Martin Marietta Predictive Indicators

The successful prediction of Martin Marietta stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Martin Marietta Materials, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Martin Marietta based on analysis of Martin Marietta hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Martin Marietta's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Martin Marietta's related companies.
 2021 2022 2023 2024 (projected)
Dividend Yield0.0053770.0075560.0056340.005353
Price To Sales Ratio5.083.424.564.78

Story Coverage note for Martin Marietta

The number of cover stories for Martin Marietta depends on current market conditions and Martin Marietta's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Martin Marietta is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Martin Marietta's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.

Martin Marietta Short Properties

Martin Marietta's future price predictability will typically decrease when Martin Marietta's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Martin Marietta Materials often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Martin Marietta's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Martin Marietta's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding62.1 M
Cash And Short Term Investments1.3 B
When determining whether Martin Marietta Materials is a strong investment it is important to analyze Martin Marietta's competitive position within its industry, examining market share, product or service uniqueness, and competitive advantages. Beyond financials and market position, potential investors should also consider broader economic conditions, industry trends, and any regulatory or geopolitical factors that may impact Martin Marietta's future performance. For an informed investment choice regarding Martin Stock, refer to the following important reports:
Check out Martin Marietta Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
You can also try the ETFs module to find actively traded Exchange Traded Funds (ETF) from around the world.
Is Construction Materials space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Martin Marietta. If investors know Martin will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Martin Marietta listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth
(0.12)
Dividend Share
3.01
Earnings Share
32.22
Revenue Per Share
105.734
Quarterly Revenue Growth
(0.05)
The market value of Martin Marietta Materials is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Martin that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Martin Marietta's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Martin Marietta's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Martin Marietta's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Martin Marietta's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Martin Marietta's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Martin Marietta is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Martin Marietta's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.