Merit Medical Systems Stock Price Prediction
| MMSI Stock | USD 110.29 1.81 1.67% |
Oversold Vs Overbought
58
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth 0.091 | EPS Estimate Next Quarter 0.83 | EPS Estimate Current Year 3.3611 | EPS Estimate Next Year 3.7378 | Wall Street Target Price 118.8 |
Using Merit Medical hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Merit Medical Systems from the perspective of Merit Medical response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards Merit Medical using Merit Medical's stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards Merit using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of Merit Medical's stock price.
Merit Medical Short Interest
A significant increase or decrease in Merit Medical's short interest from the previous month could be a good indicator of investor sentiment towards Merit. Short interest can provide insight into the potential direction of Merit Medical stock and how bullish or bearish investors feel about the market overall.
200 Day MA 91.7708 | Short Percent 0.0666 | Short Ratio 5.24 | Shares Short Prior Month 2.4 M | 50 Day MA 101.6856 |
Merit Medical Systems Hype to Price Pattern
Investor biases related to Merit Medical's public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in Merit. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding Merit can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around Merit Medical Systems. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of Merit Medical's market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about Merit Medical.
Merit Medical Implied Volatility | 0.4 |
Merit Medical's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Merit Medical Systems stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Merit Medical's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Merit Medical stock will not fluctuate a lot when Merit Medical's options are near their expiration.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Merit Medical to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Merit because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
Merit Medical after-hype prediction price | USD 110.28 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Prediction based on Rule 16 of the current Merit contract
Based on the Rule 16, the options market is currently suggesting that Merit Medical Systems will have an average daily up or down price movement of about 0.025% per day over the life of the 2025-04-17 option contract. With Merit Medical trading at USD 110.29, that is roughly USD 0.0276 . If you think that the market is fully incorporating Merit Medical's daily price movement you should consider acquiring Merit Medical Systems options at the current volatility level of 0.4%. But if you have an opposite viewpoint you should avoid it and even consider selling them.
Merit |
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Merit Medical's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Merit Medical After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Merit Medical at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Merit Medical or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Merit Medical, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Merit Medical Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Merit Medical's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Merit Medical's historical news coverage. Merit Medical's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 108.85 and 111.71, respectively. We have considered Merit Medical's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Merit Medical is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Merit Medical Systems is based on 3 months time horizon.
Merit Medical Stock Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Merit Medical is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Merit Medical backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Merit Medical, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.19 | 1.43 | 0.01 | 0.13 | 8 Events / Month | 8 Events / Month | In about 8 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
110.29 | 110.28 | 0.01 |
|
Merit Medical Hype Timeline
Merit Medical Systems is now traded for 110.29. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -0.01, and average elasticity to hype of competition of -0.13. Merit is projected to decline in value after the next headline, with the price expected to drop to 110.28. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company price is over 100%. The price decrease on the next news is expected to be -0.01%, whereas the daily expected return is now at 0.19%. The volatility of related hype on Merit Medical is about 205.08%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 110.16. About 98.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors. The book value of Merit Medical was now reported as 22.71. The company has Price/Earnings To Growth (PEG) ratio of 2.49. Merit Medical Systems had not issued any dividends in recent years. The entity had 5:4 split on the 6th of May 2011. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next projected press release will be in about 8 days. Check out Merit Medical Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.Merit Medical Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Merit Medical's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Merit Medical's future price movements. Getting to know how Merit Medical's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Merit Medical may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| TFX | Teleflex Incorporated | 0.12 | 12 per month | 0.00 | (0.21) | 1.93 | (2.92) | 15.81 | |
| COO | The Cooper Companies, | 1.02 | 11 per month | 0.00 | (0.18) | 1.76 | (2.22) | 6.02 | |
| WST | West Pharmaceutical Services | (1.76) | 8 per month | 2.01 | (0.01) | 2.78 | (2.67) | 12.04 | |
| ICUI | ICU Medical | (3.15) | 12 per month | 0.00 | (0.09) | 3.24 | (2.68) | 9.24 | |
| ANGO | AngioDynamics | 0.07 | 6 per month | 2.10 | 0.15 | 4.93 | (4.03) | 42.96 | |
| ATR | AptarGroup | (0.56) | 8 per month | 0.00 | (0.16) | 1.22 | (1.87) | 6.04 | |
| HAE | Haemonetics | (1.68) | 10 per month | 0.00 | (0.08) | 3.57 | (3.47) | 16.85 | |
| NVST | Envista Holdings Corp | (0.11) | 8 per month | 2.09 | 0.04 | 3.72 | (4.09) | 15.55 | |
| XRAY | Dentsply Sirona | (0.96) | 8 per month | 0.00 | (0.08) | 2.96 | (3.22) | 30.55 | |
| ALC | Alcon AG | 0.60 | 11 per month | 0.00 | (0.1) | 1.24 | (1.70) | 7.08 | |
| RMD | ResMed Inc | (1.26) | 8 per month | 1.76 | 0.02 | 2.37 | (2.62) | 12.24 |
Merit Medical Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Merit price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Merit using various technical indicators. When you analyze Merit charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
About Merit Medical Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of Merit Medical stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Merit Medical Systems, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Merit Medical based on analysis of Merit Medical hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Merit Medical's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Merit Medical's related companies. | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 (projected) | Days Sales Outstanding | 56.59 | 54.94 | 63.18 | 64.66 | PTB Ratio | 3.51 | 3.64 | 4.19 | 3.6 |
Story Coverage note for Merit Medical
The number of cover stories for Merit Medical depends on current market conditions and Merit Medical's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Merit Medical is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Merit Medical's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
Contributor Headline
Latest Perspective From Macroaxis
Merit Medical Short Properties
Merit Medical's future price predictability will typically decrease when Merit Medical's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Merit Medical Systems often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Merit Medical's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Merit Medical's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 58.4 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 589.1 M |
Complementary Tools for Merit Stock analysis
When running Merit Medical's price analysis, check to measure Merit Medical's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Merit Medical is operating at the current time. Most of Merit Medical's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Merit Medical's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Merit Medical's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Merit Medical to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
| Portfolio Backtesting Avoid under-diversification and over-optimization by backtesting your portfolios | |
| Money Flow Index Determine momentum by analyzing Money Flow Index and other technical indicators | |
| Insider Screener Find insiders across different sectors to evaluate their impact on performance | |
| Volatility Analysis Get historical volatility and risk analysis based on latest market data | |
| Idea Analyzer Analyze all characteristics, volatility and risk-adjusted return of Macroaxis ideas | |
| Fundamental Analysis View fundamental data based on most recent published financial statements | |
| Top Crypto Exchanges Search and analyze digital assets across top global cryptocurrency exchanges | |
| Instant Ratings Determine any equity ratings based on digital recommendations. Macroaxis instant equity ratings are based on combination of fundamental analysis and risk-adjusted market performance | |
| Pair Correlation Compare performance and examine fundamental relationship between any two equity instruments |