Monro Muffler Brake Stock Price Prediction
| MNRO Stock | USD 26.73 0.04 0.15% |
Oversold Vs Overbought
65
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.56) | EPS Estimate Next Quarter 0.33 | EPS Estimate Current Year 1.38 | EPS Estimate Next Year 1.28 | Wall Street Target Price 29.3333 |
Using Monro Muffler hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Monro Muffler Brake from the perspective of Monro Muffler response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
Monro Muffler Brake Hype to Price Pattern
Investor biases related to Monro Muffler's public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in Monro. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding Monro can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around Monro Muffler Brake. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of Monro Muffler's market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about Monro Muffler.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Monro Muffler to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Monro because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
Monro Muffler after-hype prediction price | USD 26.73 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Monro |
Monro Muffler After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Monro Muffler at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Monro Muffler or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Monro Muffler, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Monro Muffler Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Monro Muffler's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Monro Muffler's historical news coverage. Monro Muffler's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 24.76 and 28.70, respectively. We have considered Monro Muffler's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Monro Muffler is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Monro Muffler Brake is based on 3 months time horizon.
Monro Muffler Stock Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Monro Muffler is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Monro Muffler backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Monro Muffler, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.02 | 1.98 | 0.01 | 0.01 | 8 Events / Month | 9 Events / Month | In about 8 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
26.73 | 26.73 | 0.00 |
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Monro Muffler Hype Timeline
Monro Muffler Brake is now traded for 26.73. The entity has historical hype elasticity of 0.01, and average elasticity to hype of competition of -0.01. Monro is projected not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is over 100%. The immediate return on the next news is projected to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is now at 0.02%. %. The volatility of related hype on Monro Muffler is about 454.7%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 26.72. About 99.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors. The company has price-to-book ratio of 1.23. Typically companies with comparable Price to Book (P/B) are able to outperform the market in the long run. Monro Muffler Brake has Price/Earnings To Growth (PEG) ratio of 2.29. The entity last dividend was issued on the 27th of August 2024. The firm had 3:2 split on the 27th of December 2010. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next projected press release will be in about 8 days. Check out Monro Muffler Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.Monro Muffler Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Monro Muffler's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Monro Muffler's future price movements. Getting to know how Monro Muffler's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Monro Muffler may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| MPAA | Motorcar Parts of | 0.13 | 8 per month | 3.41 | 0.03 | 8.38 | (6.22) | 19.99 | |
| SMP | Standard Motor Products | 0.32 | 9 per month | 1.97 | (0.0004) | 3.71 | (3.41) | 24.56 | |
| SRI | Stoneridge | (0.10) | 7 per month | 0.00 | (0.29) | 4.32 | (6.29) | 30.14 | |
| PLOW | Douglas Dynamics | (1.03) | 10 per month | 0.00 | (0.09) | 2.06 | (2.06) | 16.25 | |
| DORM | Dorman Products | (3.33) | 11 per month | 0.92 | 0.14 | 3.10 | (2.03) | 14.67 | |
| SUP | Superior Industries International | 0.02 | 6 per month | 0.00 | (0.26) | 3.62 | (5.26) | 12.77 | |
| THRM | Gentherm | 0.42 | 10 per month | 0.00 | (0.20) | 3.27 | (3.60) | 8.02 | |
| CPS | Cooper Stnd | (1.13) | 10 per month | 0.00 | (0.03) | 5.54 | (6.64) | 24.31 | |
| GNTX | Gentex | 0.02 | 8 per month | 0.00 | (0.08) | 2.33 | (2.36) | 7.93 | |
| FOXF | Fox Factory Holding | (0.12) | 8 per month | 0.00 | (0.16) | 3.80 | (4.37) | 15.31 | |
| VC | Visteon Corp | 0.01 | 8 per month | 0.00 | (0.12) | 3.06 | (3.23) | 9.85 |
Monro Muffler Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Monro price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Monro using various technical indicators. When you analyze Monro charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
About Monro Muffler Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of Monro Muffler stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Monro Muffler Brake, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Monro Muffler based on analysis of Monro Muffler hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Monro Muffler's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Monro Muffler's related companies. | 2011 | 2017 | 2023 | 2024 (projected) | Dividend Yield | 0.0132 | 0.0231 | 0.0364 | 0.0136 | Price To Sales Ratio | 1.67 | 1.19 | 0.76 | 1.56 |
Story Coverage note for Monro Muffler
The number of cover stories for Monro Muffler depends on current market conditions and Monro Muffler's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Monro Muffler is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Monro Muffler's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Monro Muffler Short Properties
Monro Muffler's future price predictability will typically decrease when Monro Muffler's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Monro Muffler Brake often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Monro Muffler's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Monro Muffler's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 31.9 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 6.6 M |
Check out Monro Muffler Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections. You can also try the Portfolio Backtesting module to avoid under-diversification and over-optimization by backtesting your portfolios.
Is Automotive Retail space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Monro Muffler. If investors know Monro will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Monro Muffler listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.56) | Dividend Share 1.12 | Earnings Share 0.87 | Revenue Per Share 40.538 | Quarterly Revenue Growth (0.06) |
The market value of Monro Muffler Brake is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Monro that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Monro Muffler's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Monro Muffler's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Monro Muffler's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Monro Muffler's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Monro Muffler's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Monro Muffler is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Monro Muffler's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.