Natures Sunshine Products Stock Price Patterns
| NATR Stock | USD 25.22 0.39 1.57% |
Momentum 71
Buy Stretched
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth 0.304 | EPS Estimate Next Quarter 0.21 | EPS Estimate Current Year 1.155 | EPS Estimate Next Year 1 | Wall Street Target Price 22.5 |
Using Natures Sunshine hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Natures Sunshine Products from the perspective of Natures Sunshine response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards Natures Sunshine using Natures Sunshine's stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards Natures using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of Natures Sunshine's stock price.
Natures Sunshine Short Interest
An investor who is long Natures Sunshine may also wish to track short interest. As short interest increases, investors should be becoming more worried about Natures Sunshine and may potentially protect profits, hedge Natures Sunshine with its derivative instruments, or be ready for some potential downside.
200 Day MA 16.8829 | Short Percent 0.0144 | Short Ratio 1.7 | Shares Short Prior Month 158.7 K | 50 Day MA 22.1478 |
Natures Sunshine Products Hype to Price Pattern
Investor biases related to Natures Sunshine's public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in Natures. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding Natures can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around Natures Sunshine Products. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of Natures Sunshine's market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about Natures Sunshine.
Natures Sunshine Implied Volatility | 1.23 |
Natures Sunshine's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Natures Sunshine Products stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Natures Sunshine's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Natures Sunshine stock will not fluctuate a lot when Natures Sunshine's options are near their expiration.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Natures Sunshine to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Natures because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
Natures Sunshine after-hype prediction price | USD 25.22 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Prediction based on Rule 16 of the current Natures contract
Based on the Rule 16, the options market is currently suggesting that Natures Sunshine Products will have an average daily up or down price movement of about 0.0769% per day over the life of the 2026-03-20 option contract. With Natures Sunshine trading at USD 25.22, that is roughly USD 0.0194 . If you think that the market is fully incorporating Natures Sunshine's daily price movement you should consider acquiring Natures Sunshine Products options at the current volatility level of 1.23%. But if you have an opposite viewpoint you should avoid it and even consider selling them.
Check out Natures Sunshine Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections. Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Natures Sunshine's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Natures Sunshine After-Hype Price Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Natures Sunshine at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Natures Sunshine or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Natures Sunshine, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Natures Sunshine Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Natures Sunshine's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Natures Sunshine's historical news coverage. Natures Sunshine's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 20.61 and 29.83, respectively. We have considered Natures Sunshine's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models compare with traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Natures Sunshine is not too volatile at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Natures Sunshine Products is based on 3 months time horizon.
Natures Sunshine Stock Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Natures Sunshine is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Natures Sunshine backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Natures Sunshine, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
1.09 | 4.65 | 0.15 | 0.05 | 10 Events / Month | 6 Events / Month | In about 10 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
25.22 | 25.22 | 0.00 |
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Natures Sunshine Hype Timeline
Natures Sunshine Products is now traded for 25.22. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -0.15, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.05. Natures is anticipated not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is over 100%. The immediate return on the next news is anticipated to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is now at 1.09%. %. The volatility of related hype on Natures Sunshine is about 11071.43%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 25.27. About 82.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors. The book value of Natures Sunshine was now reported as 9.14. The company last dividend was issued on the 26th of March 2021. Natures Sunshine Products had 3:2 split on the 25th of March 1996. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next anticipated press release will be in about 10 days. Check out Natures Sunshine Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.Natures Sunshine Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Natures Sunshine's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Natures Sunshine's future price movements. Getting to know how Natures Sunshine's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Natures Sunshine may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| FTLF | FitLife Brands Common | (0.36) | 7 per month | 0.00 | (0.13) | 3.64 | (3.94) | 9.58 | |
| BRCC | BRC Inc | (0.19) | 11 per month | 0.00 | (0.21) | 5.15 | (6.82) | 20.30 | |
| EWCZ | European Wax Center | 0.33 | 10 per month | 3.12 | 0.02 | 5.63 | (6.16) | 20.89 | |
| ABVE | Above Food Ingredients | 0.62 | 9 per month | 0.00 | (0.08) | 14.07 | (15.33) | 52.76 | |
| SLSN | Solesence Common Stock | 0.20 | 6 per month | 0.00 | (0.24) | 6.76 | (8.92) | 27.67 | |
| ALCO | Alico Inc | 0.20 | 3 per month | 1.53 | 0.11 | 3.49 | (2.53) | 7.74 | |
| AFRI | Forafric Global PLC | (0.47) | 7 per month | 1.74 | 0.07 | 5.06 | (3.21) | 9.71 | |
| LMNR | Limoneira Co | (0.05) | 6 per month | 2.11 | (0.02) | 2.84 | (2.80) | 10.20 | |
| TWG | Top Wealth Group | 0.18 | 7 per month | 11.02 | 0.08 | 7.84 | (11.54) | 338.96 | |
| BGS | BG Foods | (0.04) | 9 per month | 2.28 | 0.03 | 3.75 | (3.44) | 31.62 |
Natures Sunshine Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Natures price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Natures using various technical indicators. When you analyze Natures charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
About Natures Sunshine Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of Natures Sunshine stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Natures Sunshine Products, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Natures Sunshine based on analysis of Natures Sunshine hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Natures Sunshine's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Natures Sunshine's related companies. | 2024 | 2025 (projected) | Days Sales Outstanding | 7.61 | 6.85 | PTB Ratio | 1.76 | 2.02 |
Pair Trading with Natures Sunshine
One of the main advantages of trading using pair correlations is that every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if Natures Sunshine position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in Natures Sunshine will appreciate offsetting losses from the drop in the long position's value.Moving together with Natures Stock
Moving against Natures Stock
| 0.88 | DSY | Big Tree Cloud | PairCorr |
| 0.79 | ZIVO | Zivo Bioscience | PairCorr |
| 0.72 | TRNR | Interactive Strength | PairCorr |
| 0.5 | UL | Unilever PLC ADR | PairCorr |
| 0.45 | SXTC | China SXT Pharmaceuticals | PairCorr |
The ability to find closely correlated positions to Natures Sunshine could be a great tool in your tax-loss harvesting strategies, allowing investors a quick way to find a similar-enough asset to replace Natures Sunshine when you sell it. If you don't do this, your portfolio allocation will be skewed against your target asset allocation. So, investors can't just sell and buy back Natures Sunshine - that would be a violation of the tax code under the "wash sale" rule, and this is why you need to find a similar enough asset and use the proceeds from selling Natures Sunshine Products to buy it.
The correlation of Natures Sunshine is a statistical measure of how it moves in relation to other instruments. This measure is expressed in what is known as the correlation coefficient, which ranges between -1 and +1. A perfect positive correlation (i.e., a correlation coefficient of +1) implies that as Natures Sunshine moves, either up or down, the other security will move in the same direction. Alternatively, perfect negative correlation means that if Natures Sunshine Products moves in either direction, the perfectly negatively correlated security will move in the opposite direction. If the correlation is 0, the equities are not correlated; they are entirely random. A correlation greater than 0.8 is generally described as strong, whereas a correlation less than 0.5 is generally considered weak.
Correlation analysis and pair trading evaluation for Natures Sunshine can also be used as hedging techniques within a particular sector or industry or even over random equities to generate a better risk-adjusted return on your portfolios.Additional Tools for Natures Stock Analysis
When running Natures Sunshine's price analysis, check to measure Natures Sunshine's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Natures Sunshine is operating at the current time. Most of Natures Sunshine's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Natures Sunshine's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Natures Sunshine's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Natures Sunshine to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.