Nacco Industries Stock Price Prediction
| NC Stock | USD 32.40 0.33 1.03% |
Oversold Vs Overbought
61
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth 1.408 | Wall Street Target Price 128 | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.325 |
Using NACCO Industries hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of NACCO Industries from the perspective of NACCO Industries response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in NACCO Industries to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying NACCO because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
NACCO Industries after-hype prediction price | USD 31.65 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
NACCO |
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of NACCO Industries' price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
NACCO Industries After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of NACCO Industries at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in NACCO Industries or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of NACCO Industries, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
NACCO Industries Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting NACCO Industries' stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on NACCO Industries' historical news coverage. NACCO Industries' after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 29.03 and 34.27, respectively. We have considered NACCO Industries' daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
NACCO Industries is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of NACCO Industries is based on 3 months time horizon.
NACCO Industries Stock Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as NACCO Industries is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading NACCO Industries backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with NACCO Industries, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.28 | 2.62 | 0.45 | 0.10 | 10 Events / Month | 4 Events / Month | In about 10 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
32.40 | 31.65 | 1.31 |
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NACCO Industries Hype Timeline
As of November 22, 2024 NACCO Industries is listed for 32.40. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -0.45, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.1. NACCO is forecasted to decline in value after the next headline, with the price expected to drop to 31.65. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company price is about 162.73%. The price decline on the next news is expected to be -1.31%, whereas the daily expected return is now at 0.28%. The volatility of related hype on NACCO Industries is about 702.41%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 32.50. About 34.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders. The company has price-to-book ratio of 0.55. Typically companies with comparable Price to Book (P/B) are able to outperform the market in the long run. NACCO Industries recorded a loss per share of 2.33. The entity last dividend was issued on the 3rd of September 2024. The firm had 4377:1000 split on the 2nd of October 2017. Allowing for the 90-day total investment horizon the next forecasted press release will be in about 10 days. Check out NACCO Industries Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.NACCO Industries Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to NACCO Industries' direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict NACCO Industries' future price movements. Getting to know how NACCO Industries' peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how NACCO Industries may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| ARLP | Alliance Resource Partners | 0.35 | 6 per month | 0.93 | 0.14 | 2.38 | (1.23) | 7.48 | |
| HNRG | Hallador Energy | 0.51 | 7 per month | 2.62 | 0.22 | 10.23 | (5.09) | 29.61 | |
| CEIX | Consol Energy | (1.70) | 10 per month | 1.58 | 0.17 | 5.15 | (2.27) | 14.10 | |
| ITAYY | Indo Tambangraya Megah | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.01 | 4.89 | (1.75) | 20.85 | |
| NRP | Natural Resource Partners | 4.96 | 6 per month | 1.01 | 0.12 | 3.98 | (1.91) | 9.46 | |
| BTU | Peabody Energy Corp | (0.39) | 9 per month | 1.84 | 0.08 | 4.84 | (2.88) | 14.59 | |
| YZCAY | Yanzhou Coal Mining | 0.00 | 0 per month | 2.88 | (0) | 5.08 | (4.06) | 17.56 | |
| TBNGY | Bukit Asam Tbk | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.01 | 0.00 | (0.23) | 19.98 | |
| GRYRF | Geo Energy Resources | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.13) | 0.00 | 0.00 | 23.81 | |
| YACAF | Yancoal Australia | 0.00 | 0 per month | 1.86 | 0.01 | 4.44 | (3.94) | 12.11 |
NACCO Industries Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine NACCO price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for NACCO using various technical indicators. When you analyze NACCO charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
About NACCO Industries Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of NACCO Industries stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as NACCO Industries, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of NACCO Industries based on analysis of NACCO Industries hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to NACCO Industries's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to NACCO Industries's related companies. | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 (projected) | Dividend Yield | 0.0217 | 0.0216 | 0.0236 | 0.0225 | Price To Sales Ratio | 1.35 | 1.15 | 1.27 | 1.33 |
Story Coverage note for NACCO Industries
The number of cover stories for NACCO Industries depends on current market conditions and NACCO Industries' risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that NACCO Industries is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about NACCO Industries' long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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NACCO Industries Short Properties
NACCO Industries' future price predictability will typically decrease when NACCO Industries' long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of NACCO Industries often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential NACCO Industries' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. NACCO Industries' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 7.5 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 85.1 M |
Complementary Tools for NACCO Stock analysis
When running NACCO Industries' price analysis, check to measure NACCO Industries' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy NACCO Industries is operating at the current time. Most of NACCO Industries' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of NACCO Industries' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move NACCO Industries' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of NACCO Industries to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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