New Fortress Energy Stock Price Prediction
| NFE Stock | USD 9.51 0.33 3.59% |
Oversold Vs Overbought
48
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.90) | EPS Estimate Next Quarter 0.23 | EPS Estimate Current Year 0.3567 | EPS Estimate Next Year 0.39 | Wall Street Target Price 19.9556 |
Using New Fortress hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of New Fortress Energy from the perspective of New Fortress response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
New Fortress Energy Hype to Price Pattern
Investor biases related to New Fortress' public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in New. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding New can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around New Fortress Energy. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of New Fortress' market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about New Fortress.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in New Fortress to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying New because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
New Fortress after-hype prediction price | USD 9.51 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
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New Fortress After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of New Fortress at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in New Fortress or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of New Fortress, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
New Fortress Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting New Fortress' stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on New Fortress' historical news coverage. New Fortress' after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 4.47 and 14.55, respectively. We have considered New Fortress' daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
New Fortress is slightly risky at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of New Fortress Energy is based on 3 months time horizon.
New Fortress Stock Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as New Fortress is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading New Fortress backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with New Fortress, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.37 | 5.04 | 0.10 | 0.11 | 8 Events / Month | 4 Events / Month | In about 8 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
9.51 | 9.51 | 0.00 |
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New Fortress Hype Timeline
On the 22nd of November New Fortress Energy is traded for 9.51. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -0.1, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.11. New is forecasted not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is over 100%. The immediate return on the next news is forecasted to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is now at -0.37%. %. The volatility of related hype on New Fortress is about 1737.93%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 9.62. About 43.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders. The company has price-to-book ratio of 1.48. Typically companies with comparable Price to Book (P/B) are able to outperform the market in the long run. New Fortress Energy last dividend was issued on the 13th of September 2024. The entity had 1:1 split on the 7th of August 2020. Considering the 90-day investment horizon the next forecasted press release will be in about 8 days. Check out New Fortress Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.New Fortress Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to New Fortress' direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict New Fortress' future price movements. Getting to know how New Fortress' peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how New Fortress may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| FLNG | FLEX LNG | 0.34 | 9 per month | 1.60 | (0.06) | 2.79 | (2.30) | 7.82 | |
| CTRA | Coterra Energy | 0.22 | 11 per month | 1.25 | 0.08 | 2.27 | (1.94) | 8.03 | |
| GLNG | Golar LNG Limited | 0.10 | 11 per month | 1.72 | 0.05 | 4.08 | (2.88) | 9.79 | |
| EE | Excelerate Energy | (0.66) | 9 per month | 2.08 | 0.22 | 5.86 | (3.25) | 14.53 | |
| EQT | EQT Corporation | 1.45 | 12 per month | 1.18 | 0.21 | 3.68 | (1.95) | 8.85 |
New Fortress Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine New price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for New using various technical indicators. When you analyze New charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
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About New Fortress Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of New Fortress stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as New Fortress Energy, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of New Fortress based on analysis of New Fortress hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to New Fortress's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to New Fortress's related companies. | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 (projected) | Dividend Yield | 0.0185 | 0.0111 | 0.0932 | 0.0978 | Price To Sales Ratio | 3.62 | 3.75 | 3.22 | 3.06 |
Story Coverage note for New Fortress
The number of cover stories for New Fortress depends on current market conditions and New Fortress' risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that New Fortress is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about New Fortress' long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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New Fortress Short Properties
New Fortress' future price predictability will typically decrease when New Fortress' long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of New Fortress Energy often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential New Fortress' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. New Fortress' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 206.5 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 155.4 M |
Complementary Tools for New Stock analysis
When running New Fortress' price analysis, check to measure New Fortress' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy New Fortress is operating at the current time. Most of New Fortress' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of New Fortress' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move New Fortress' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of New Fortress to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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