Nike Inc Stock Price Prediction
| NKE Stock | USD 70.84 0.27 0.38% |
Oversold Vs Overbought
33
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.26) | EPS Estimate Current Year 2.0642 | EPS Estimate Next Year 2.504 | Wall Street Target Price 86.775 | EPS Estimate Current Quarter 0.6326 |
Using Nike hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Nike Inc from the perspective of Nike response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards Nike using Nike's stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards Nike using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of Nike's stock price.
Nike Short Interest
A significant increase or decrease in Nike's short interest from the previous month could be a good indicator of investor sentiment towards Nike. Short interest can provide insight into the potential direction of Nike stock and how bullish or bearish investors feel about the market overall.
200 Day MA 82.6397 | Short Percent 0.0266 | Short Ratio 2.36 | Shares Short Prior Month 23.1 M | 50 Day MA 75.9528 |
Nike Inc Hype to Price Pattern
Investor biases related to Nike's public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in Nike. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding Nike can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around Nike Inc. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of Nike's market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about Nike.
Nike Implied Volatility | 0.4 |
Nike's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Nike Inc stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Nike's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Nike stock will not fluctuate a lot when Nike's options are near their expiration.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Nike to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Nike because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
Nike after-hype prediction price | USD 70.7 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Prediction based on Rule 16 of the current Nike contract
Based on the Rule 16, the options market is currently suggesting that Nike Inc will have an average daily up or down price movement of about 0.025% per day over the life of the 2025-04-17 option contract. With Nike trading at USD 70.84, that is roughly USD 0.0177 . If you think that the market is fully incorporating Nike's daily price movement you should consider acquiring Nike Inc options at the current volatility level of 0.4%. But if you have an opposite viewpoint you should avoid it and even consider selling them.
Nike |
Nike After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Nike at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Nike or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Nike, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Nike Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Nike's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Nike's historical news coverage. Nike's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 69.40 and 72.00, respectively. We have considered Nike's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Nike is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Nike Inc is based on 3 months time horizon.
Nike Stock Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Nike is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Nike backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Nike, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.21 | 1.30 | 0.14 | 0.09 | 9 Events / Month | 4 Events / Month | In about 9 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
70.84 | 70.70 | 0.20 |
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Nike Hype Timeline
On the 19th of January Nike Inc is traded for 70.84. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -0.14, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.09. Nike is forecasted to decline in value after the next headline, with the price expected to drop to 70.7. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company price is about 200.0%. The price depreciation on the next news is expected to be -0.2%, whereas the daily expected return is now at -0.21%. The volatility of related hype on Nike is about 288.89%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 70.93. About 82.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors. The company last dividend was issued on the 2nd of December 2024. Nike Inc had 2:1 split on the 24th of December 2015. Considering the 90-day investment horizon the next forecasted press release will be in about 9 days. Check out Nike Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.Nike Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Nike's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Nike's future price movements. Getting to know how Nike's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Nike may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| DECK | Deckers Outdoor | 1.83 | 10 per month | 1.50 | 0.18 | 3.15 | (2.01) | 15.66 | |
| ONON | On Holding | 1.03 | 12 per month | 1.72 | 0.10 | 4.56 | (2.91) | 10.98 | |
| SKX | Skechers USA | (0.80) | 10 per month | 1.56 | 0.05 | 2.90 | (2.98) | 8.63 | |
| SHOO | Steven Madden | (0.72) | 13 per month | 0.00 | (0.16) | 1.66 | (2.74) | 7.55 | |
| CROX | Crocs Inc | 2.05 | 8 per month | 0.00 | (0.15) | 3.27 | (4.12) | 22.39 | |
| DBI | Designer Brands | (0.24) | 8 per month | 3.76 | 0.01 | 9.40 | (6.00) | 22.01 | |
| ADDDF | Adidas AG | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.01) | 3.71 | (3.76) | 13.60 |
Nike Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Nike price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Nike using various technical indicators. When you analyze Nike charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
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| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
About Nike Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of Nike stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Nike Inc, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Nike based on analysis of Nike hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Nike's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Nike's related companies. | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 (projected) | Dividend Yield | 0.0123 | 0.015 | 0.0135 | 0.00896 | Price To Sales Ratio | 3.19 | 2.81 | 2.53 | 1.57 |
Story Coverage note for Nike
The number of cover stories for Nike depends on current market conditions and Nike's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Nike is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Nike's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Nike Short Properties
Nike's future price predictability will typically decrease when Nike's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Nike Inc often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Nike's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Nike's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 1.5 B | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 11.6 B |
Complementary Tools for Nike Stock analysis
When running Nike's price analysis, check to measure Nike's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Nike is operating at the current time. Most of Nike's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Nike's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Nike's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Nike to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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