National Bankshares Stock Price Patterns

NKSH Stock  USD 38.31  0.31  0.82%   
The relative strength index (RSI) of National Bankshares' stock price is under 66. This indicates that the stock is rather overbought by investors as of 27th of February 2026. The main point of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to track how fast people are buying or selling National, making its price go up or down.

Momentum 66

 Buy Stretched

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
The successful prediction of National Bankshares' future price could yield a significant profit. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with National Bankshares, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed. Below are the key fundamental drivers impacting National Bankshares' stock price prediction:
Quarterly Earnings Growth
0.905
EPS Estimate Next Quarter
0.65
EPS Estimate Current Year
2.82
Wall Street Target Price
34.5
EPS Estimate Current Quarter
0.68
Using National Bankshares hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of National Bankshares from the perspective of National Bankshares response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in National Bankshares to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying National because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.

National Bankshares after-hype prediction price

    
  USD 38.16  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Check out National Bankshares Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
For more detail on how to invest in National Stock please use our How to Invest in National Bankshares guide.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of National Bankshares' price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
37.0538.5940.13
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
35.1836.7138.25
Details
1 Analysts
Consensus
LowTargetHigh
31.4034.5038.30
Details
Earnings
Estimates (0)
LowProjected EPSHigh
0.700.700.70
Details

National Bankshares After-Hype Price Density Analysis

As far as predicting the price of National Bankshares at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in National Bankshares or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of National Bankshares, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
   Next price density   
       Expected price to next headline  

National Bankshares Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

In the context of predicting National Bankshares' stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on National Bankshares' historical news coverage. National Bankshares' after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 36.62 and 39.70, respectively. We have considered National Bankshares' daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models compare with traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
38.31
38.16
After-hype Price
39.70
Upside
National Bankshares is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of National Bankshares is based on 3 months time horizon.

National Bankshares Stock Price Outlook Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as National Bankshares is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading National Bankshares backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with National Bankshares, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected ReturnPeriod VolatilityHype ElasticityRelated ElasticityNews DensityRelated DensityExpected Hype
  0.45 
1.55
  0.16 
  0.07 
6 Events / Month
6 Events / Month
In about 6 days
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
38.31
38.16
0.39 
442.86  
Notes

National Bankshares Hype Timeline

National Bankshares is now traded for 38.31. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -0.16, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.07. National is projected to decline in value after the next headline, with the price expected to drop to 38.16. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company price is over 100%. The price decrease on the next news is expected to be -0.39%, whereas the daily expected return is now at 0.45%. The volatility of related hype on National Bankshares is about 993.59%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 38.38. About 37.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors. The company has price-to-book ratio of 1.31. Typically companies with comparable Price to Book (P/B) are able to outperform the market in the long run. National Bankshares last dividend was issued on the 24th of November 2025. The entity had 2:1 split on the 3rd of April 2006. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next projected press release will be in about 6 days.
Check out National Bankshares Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
For more detail on how to invest in National Stock please use our How to Invest in National Bankshares guide.

National Bankshares Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to National Bankshares' direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict National Bankshares' future price movements. Getting to know how National Bankshares' peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how National Bankshares may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
Hype
Elasticity
News
Density
Semi
Deviation
Information
Ratio
Potential
Upside
Value
At Risk
Maximum
Drawdown
EFSIEagle Financial Services 0.00 0 per month 0.92 (0.01) 2.35 (1.51) 7.11 
ATLOAmes National 0.39 8 per month 0.00  0.25  2.71 (0.96) 6.17 
MNSBMainstreet Bank 0.88 9 per month 1.11  0.13  3.37 (2.47) 8.19 
CBNAChain Bridge Bancorp(0.26)4 per month 1.93  0.07  3.33 (3.21) 10.70 
VABKVirginia National Bankshares(0.46)9 per month 1.68 (0.01) 3.96 (3.21) 10.22 
FRAFFranklin Financial Services 1.32 8 per month 2.48  0.0004  3.02 (3.34) 15.30 
OVBCOhio Valley Banc(0.16)10 per month 0.45  0.12  2.45 (1.13) 9.11 
UBFOUnited Security Bancshares(0.04)6 per month 0.99  0.05  3.25 (1.45) 8.78 
FCCOFirst Community 0.02 8 per month 0.95  0.03  2.58 (1.50) 6.70 
MRBKMeridian Bank(0.13)7 per month 0.65  0.21  4.17 (1.84) 9.88 

National Bankshares Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine National price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for National using various technical indicators. When you analyze National charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.

About National Bankshares Predictive Indicators

The successful prediction of National Bankshares stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as National Bankshares, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of National Bankshares based on analysis of National Bankshares hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to National Bankshares's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to National Bankshares's related companies.
 2023 2024 2025 2026 (projected)
Dividend Yield0.07760.05240.0450.0282
Price To Sales Ratio2.792.242.54.27

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