Ames National Stock Price Prediction
| ATLO Stock | USD 25.06 0.14 0.56% |
Momentum 57
Buy Extended
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth 1.079 | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.216 |
Using Ames National hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Ames National from the perspective of Ames National response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards Ames National using Ames National's stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards Ames using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of Ames National's stock price.
Ames National Implied Volatility | 0.94 |
Ames National's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Ames National stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Ames National's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Ames National stock will not fluctuate a lot when Ames National's options are near their expiration.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Ames National to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Ames because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
Ames National after-hype prediction price | USD 25.04 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Prediction based on Rule 16 of the current Ames contract
Based on the Rule 16, the options market is currently suggesting that Ames National will have an average daily up or down price movement of about 0.0588% per day over the life of the 2026-04-17 option contract. With Ames National trading at USD 25.06, that is roughly USD 0.0147 . If you think that the market is fully incorporating Ames National's daily price movement you should consider acquiring Ames National options at the current volatility level of 0.94%. But if you have an opposite viewpoint you should avoid it and even consider selling them.
Check out Ames National Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections. Ames National After-Hype Price Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Ames National at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Ames National or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Ames National, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Ames National Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Ames National's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Ames National's historical news coverage. Ames National's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 23.78 and 26.30, respectively. We have considered Ames National's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Ames National is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Ames National is based on 3 months time horizon.
Ames National Stock Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Ames National is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Ames National backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Ames National, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.32 | 1.26 | 0.02 | 0.07 | 9 Events / Month | 6 Events / Month | In about 9 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
25.06 | 25.04 | 0.08 |
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Ames National Hype Timeline
Ames National is presently traded for 25.06. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -0.02, and average elasticity to hype of competition of -0.07. Ames is expected to decline in value after the next headline, with the price expected to drop to 25.04. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company price is over 100%. The price decrease on the next news is expected to be -0.08%, whereas the daily expected return is presently at 0.32%. The volatility of related hype on Ames National is about 617.65%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 24.99. About 31.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies. The company has price-to-book (P/B) ratio of 1.07. Some equities with similar Price to Book (P/B) outperform the market in the long run. Ames National last dividend was issued on the 29th of August 2025. The entity had 3:1 split on the 18th of July 2005. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next expected press release will be in about 9 days. Check out Ames National Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.Ames National Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Ames National's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Ames National's future price movements. Getting to know how Ames National's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Ames National may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| NKSH | National Bankshares | (0.03) | 7 per month | 1.11 | 0.18 | 4.17 | (1.66) | 7.44 | |
| MNSB | Mainstreet Bank | (0.28) | 8 per month | 1.32 | 0.07 | 3.35 | (2.64) | 8.15 | |
| EFSI | Eagle Financial Services | 0.42 | 23 per month | 0.96 | 0.01 | 2.36 | (1.53) | 5.22 | |
| FCCO | First Community | (0.33) | 9 per month | 1.07 | 0.02 | 2.21 | (2.29) | 6.74 | |
| OVBC | Ohio Valley Banc | 0.04 | 10 per month | 0.87 | 0.1 | 3.03 | (2.03) | 9.11 | |
| CBNA | Chain Bridge Bancorp | (0.05) | 9 per month | 2.22 | 0.01 | 3.33 | (4.46) | 10.70 | |
| FRAF | Franklin Financial Services | (1.56) | 9 per month | 2.22 | 0.03 | 3.20 | (2.67) | 15.31 | |
| OPBK | OP Bancorp | 0.02 | 9 per month | 1.84 | (0.01) | 2.82 | (3.22) | 11.36 | |
| AVBH | Avidbank Holdings Common | 0.55 | 27 per month | 0.83 | 0.02 | 1.91 | (1.60) | 6.08 | |
| VABK | Virginia National Bankshares | (0.82) | 6 per month | 1.53 | (0.02) | 3.27 | (2.28) | 8.40 |
Ames National Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Ames price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Ames using various technical indicators. When you analyze Ames charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
About Ames National Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of Ames National stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Ames National, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Ames National based on analysis of Ames National hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Ames National's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Ames National's related companies. | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 (projected) | Dividend Yield | 0.0505 | 0.0615 | 0.0348 | 0.0297 | Price To Sales Ratio | 2.3 | 1.6 | 2.09 | 1.98 |
Pair Trading with Ames National
One of the main advantages of trading using pair correlations is that every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if Ames National position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in Ames National will appreciate offsetting losses from the drop in the long position's value.Moving together with Ames Stock
| 0.97 | BY | Byline Bancorp | PairCorr |
| 0.87 | PB | Prosperity Bancshares | PairCorr |
| 0.84 | SANB | SANTANDER UK 8 | PairCorr |
| 0.78 | WAFD | Washington Federal | PairCorr |
| 0.71 | BFC | Bank First National | PairCorr |
| 0.86 | CFR | CullenFrost Bankers Earnings Call Today | PairCorr |
Moving against Ames Stock
The ability to find closely correlated positions to Ames National could be a great tool in your tax-loss harvesting strategies, allowing investors a quick way to find a similar-enough asset to replace Ames National when you sell it. If you don't do this, your portfolio allocation will be skewed against your target asset allocation. So, investors can't just sell and buy back Ames National - that would be a violation of the tax code under the "wash sale" rule, and this is why you need to find a similar enough asset and use the proceeds from selling Ames National to buy it.
The correlation of Ames National is a statistical measure of how it moves in relation to other instruments. This measure is expressed in what is known as the correlation coefficient, which ranges between -1 and +1. A perfect positive correlation (i.e., a correlation coefficient of +1) implies that as Ames National moves, either up or down, the other security will move in the same direction. Alternatively, perfect negative correlation means that if Ames National moves in either direction, the perfectly negatively correlated security will move in the opposite direction. If the correlation is 0, the equities are not correlated; they are entirely random. A correlation greater than 0.8 is generally described as strong, whereas a correlation less than 0.5 is generally considered weak.
Correlation analysis and pair trading evaluation for Ames National can also be used as hedging techniques within a particular sector or industry or even over random equities to generate a better risk-adjusted return on your portfolios.Check out Ames National Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections. To learn how to invest in Ames Stock, please use our How to Invest in Ames National guide.You can also try the Portfolio Backtesting module to avoid under-diversification and over-optimization by backtesting your portfolios.
Will Regional Banks sector continue expanding? Could Ames diversify its offerings? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Ames National. If investors know Ames will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. Accurate valuation requires analyzing both current fundamentals and future growth trajectories. Every Ames National data point contributes insight, yet successful analysis hinges on identifying the most consequential variables.
Quarterly Earnings Growth 1.079 | Dividend Share 0.6 | Earnings Share 1.8 | Revenue Per Share | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.216 |
The market value of Ames National is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Ames that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Ames National's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Ames National's true underlying value. Seasoned market participants apply comprehensive analytical frameworks to derive fundamental worth and identify mispriced opportunities. Because Ames National's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Ames National's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Understanding that Ames National's value differs from its trading price is crucial, as each reflects different aspects of the company. Evaluating whether Ames National represents a sound investment requires analyzing earnings trends, revenue growth, technical signals, industry dynamics, and expert forecasts. Meanwhile, Ames National's quoted price indicates the marketplace figure where supply meets demand through bilateral consent.