Oriental Culture Holding Stock Price Prediction
| OCG Stock | USD 1.22 0.06 4.69% |
Oversold Vs Overbought
46
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.46) | Wall Street Target Price 0.5 | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.019 |
Using Oriental Culture hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Oriental Culture Holding from the perspective of Oriental Culture response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Oriental Culture to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Oriental because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
Oriental Culture after-hype prediction price | USD 1.2 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Oriental |
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Oriental Culture's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Oriental Culture After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Oriental Culture at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Oriental Culture or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Oriental Culture, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Oriental Culture Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Oriental Culture's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Oriental Culture's historical news coverage. Oriental Culture's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 0.06 and 9.63, respectively. We have considered Oriental Culture's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Oriental Culture is abnormally volatile at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Oriental Culture Holding is based on 3 months time horizon.
Oriental Culture Stock Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Oriental Culture is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Oriental Culture backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Oriental Culture, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.38 | 8.43 | 0.02 | 0.17 | 2 Events / Month | 5 Events / Month | In a few days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
1.22 | 1.20 | 1.64 |
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Oriental Culture Hype Timeline
On the 26th of November Oriental Culture Holding is traded for 1.22. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -0.02, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.17. Oriental is forecasted to decline in value after the next headline, with the price expected to drop to 1.2. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company price is over 100%. The price depreciation on the next news is expected to be -1.64%, whereas the daily expected return is now at 0.38%. The volatility of related hype on Oriental Culture is about 1868.72%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 1.39. About 25.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders. The company has price-to-book ratio of 0.47. Typically companies with comparable Price to Book (P/B) are able to outperform the market in the long run. Oriental Culture Holding recorded a loss per share of 0.62. The entity had not issued any dividends in recent years. The firm had 1:5 split on the 18th of October 2023. Considering the 90-day investment horizon the next forecasted press release will be in a few days. Check out Oriental Culture Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.Oriental Culture Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Oriental Culture's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Oriental Culture's future price movements. Getting to know how Oriental Culture's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Oriental Culture may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| HOUR | Hour Loop | 0.06 | 8 per month | 3.59 | 0.02 | 4.40 | (5.16) | 42.64 | |
| JWEL | Jowell Global | 0.31 | 3 per month | 6.01 | 0.17 | 29.63 | (11.22) | 66.01 | |
| QRTEB | Qurate Retail Series | (0.02) | 3 per month | 0.00 | (0.04) | 9.00 | (6.62) | 27.73 | |
| EMCMF | Emerge Commerce | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.12 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 1,992 | |
| YJ | Yunji Inc | 0.07 | 4 per month | 0.00 | (0.09) | 11.73 | (10.00) | 33.95 | |
| PIK | Kidpik Corp | 0.02 | 4 per month | 0.00 | (0.04) | 9.28 | (9.35) | 25.87 | |
| SECO | Secoo Holding | 0.04 | 36 per month | 5.49 | 0.03 | 14.29 | (10.00) | 45.51 | |
| JFBR | Jeffs Brands | (0.01) | 8 per month | 5.79 | 0.13 | 27.27 | (10.53) | 991.17 | |
| APRN | Blue Apron Holdings, | 3.59 | 3 per month | 0.00 | (0.02) | 13.12 | (14.87) | 80.92 |
Oriental Culture Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Oriental price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Oriental using various technical indicators. When you analyze Oriental charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
About Oriental Culture Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of Oriental Culture stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Oriental Culture Holding, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Oriental Culture based on analysis of Oriental Culture hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Oriental Culture's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Oriental Culture's related companies. | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 (projected) | Days Sales Outstanding | 0.54 | 0.6 | 0.7 | PTB Ratio | 11.39 | 1.07 | 0.13 |
Story Coverage note for Oriental Culture
The number of cover stories for Oriental Culture depends on current market conditions and Oriental Culture's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Oriental Culture is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Oriental Culture's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Oriental Culture Short Properties
Oriental Culture's future price predictability will typically decrease when Oriental Culture's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Oriental Culture Holding often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Oriental Culture's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Oriental Culture's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 4.3 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 20.9 M |
Complementary Tools for Oriental Stock analysis
When running Oriental Culture's price analysis, check to measure Oriental Culture's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Oriental Culture is operating at the current time. Most of Oriental Culture's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Oriental Culture's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Oriental Culture's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Oriental Culture to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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