Olin Corporation Stock Price Patterns
| OLN Stock | USD 24.34 0.06 0.25% |
Momentum 58
Buy Extended
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.97) | EPS Estimate Next Quarter (0.20) | EPS Estimate Current Year (0.77) | EPS Estimate Next Year 0.8101 | Wall Street Target Price 22.0667 |
Using Olin hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Olin Corporation from the perspective of Olin response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards Olin using Olin's stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards Olin using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of Olin's stock price.
Olin Short Interest
An investor who is long Olin may also wish to track short interest. As short interest increases, investors should be becoming more worried about Olin and may potentially protect profits, hedge Olin with its derivative instruments, or be ready for some potential downside.
200 Day MA 21.8537 | Short Percent 0.1574 | Short Ratio 4.22 | Shares Short Prior Month 10.6 M | 50 Day MA 22.4522 |
Olin Hype to Price Pattern
Investor biases related to Olin's public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in Olin. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding Olin can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around Olin Corporation. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of Olin's market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about Olin.
Olin Implied Volatility | 0.7 |
Olin's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Olin Corporation stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Olin's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Olin stock will not fluctuate a lot when Olin's options are near their expiration.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Olin to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Olin because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
Olin after-hype prediction price | USD 24.39 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Prediction based on Rule 16 of the current Olin contract
Based on the Rule 16, the options market is currently suggesting that Olin Corporation will have an average daily up or down price movement of about 0.0438% per day over the life of the 2026-05-15 option contract. With Olin trading at USD 24.34, that is roughly USD 0.0106 . If you think that the market is fully incorporating Olin's daily price movement you should consider acquiring Olin Corporation options at the current volatility level of 0.7%. But if you have an opposite viewpoint you should avoid it and even consider selling them.
Check out Olin Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections. Olin After-Hype Price Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Olin at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Olin or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Olin, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Olin Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Olin's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Olin's historical news coverage. Olin's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 20.78 and 28.00, respectively. We have considered Olin's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models compare with traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Olin is not too volatile at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Olin is based on 3 months time horizon.
Olin Stock Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Olin is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Olin backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Olin, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.42 | 3.61 | 0.05 | 0.03 | 7 Events / Month | 6 Events / Month | In about 7 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
24.34 | 24.39 | 0.21 |
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Olin Hype Timeline
On the 22nd of February Olin is traded for 24.34. The entity has historical hype elasticity of 0.05, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.03. Olin is expected to increase in value after the next headline, with the price projected to jump to 24.39 or above. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company the price is over 100%. The price boost on the next news is projected to be 0.21%, whereas the daily expected return is now at 0.42%. The volatility of related hype on Olin is about 5415.0%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 24.37. The company reported the last year's revenue of 6.78 B. Reported Net Loss for the year was (43.4 M) with profit before taxes, overhead, and interest of 501.5 M. Considering the 90-day investment horizon the next expected press release will be in about 7 days. Check out Olin Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.Olin Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Olin's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Olin's future price movements. Getting to know how Olin's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Olin may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| LXU | Lsb Industries | (0.15) | 9 per month | 2.55 | 0 | 3.61 | (5.18) | 12.44 | |
| KRO | Kronos Worldwide | (0.14) | 7 per month | 2.64 | 0.11 | 6.07 | (4.70) | 13.75 | |
| GEVO | Gevo Inc | 0.05 | 8 per month | 0.00 | (0.03) | 6.22 | (5.80) | 16.93 | |
| RYAM | Rayonier Advanced Materials | (0.18) | 19 per month | 2.35 | 0.11 | 6.38 | (4.00) | 28.05 | |
| WLKP | Westlake Chemical Partners | 0.03 | 6 per month | 0.95 | 0.13 | 2.19 | (1.87) | 5.80 | |
| MATV | Mativ Holdings | 0.58 | 9 per month | 0.00 | (0.06) | 4.15 | (3.74) | 14.78 | |
| NMG | Nouveau Monde Graphite | 0.09 | 8 per month | 0.00 | (0.08) | 6.94 | (10.70) | 24.20 | |
| VHI | Valhi Inc | 0.52 | 10 per month | 3.18 | 0.06 | 7.75 | (5.31) | 19.23 | |
| NFGC | New Found Gold | (0.20) | 6 per month | 4.96 | 0.09 | 7.25 | (9.66) | 30.08 |
Olin Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Olin price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Olin using various technical indicators. When you analyze Olin charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
About Olin Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of Olin stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Olin Corporation, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Olin based on analysis of Olin hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Olin's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Olin's related companies. | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 (projected) | Dividend Yield | 0.0149 | 0.0237 | 0.0384 | Price To Sales Ratio | 0.99 | 0.61 | 0.35 |
Pair Trading with Olin
One of the main advantages of trading using pair correlations is that every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if Olin position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in Olin will appreciate offsetting losses from the drop in the long position's value.Moving together with Olin Stock
Moving against Olin Stock
| 0.77 | OB8 | PT Barito Pacific | PairCorr |
| 0.66 | X2Z | SKOTAN SA ZY | PairCorr |
| 0.59 | SDV | Scidev Earnings Call This Week | PairCorr |
| 0.57 | ALGBE | Glob Bioenergi | PairCorr |
| 0.46 | NHE | Noble Helium | PairCorr |
| 0.33 | 8LU | TAURUS ENERGY AB | PairCorr |
The ability to find closely correlated positions to Olin could be a great tool in your tax-loss harvesting strategies, allowing investors a quick way to find a similar-enough asset to replace Olin when you sell it. If you don't do this, your portfolio allocation will be skewed against your target asset allocation. So, investors can't just sell and buy back Olin - that would be a violation of the tax code under the "wash sale" rule, and this is why you need to find a similar enough asset and use the proceeds from selling Olin Corporation to buy it.
The correlation of Olin is a statistical measure of how it moves in relation to other instruments. This measure is expressed in what is known as the correlation coefficient, which ranges between -1 and +1. A perfect positive correlation (i.e., a correlation coefficient of +1) implies that as Olin moves, either up or down, the other security will move in the same direction. Alternatively, perfect negative correlation means that if Olin moves in either direction, the perfectly negatively correlated security will move in the opposite direction. If the correlation is 0, the equities are not correlated; they are entirely random. A correlation greater than 0.8 is generally described as strong, whereas a correlation less than 0.5 is generally considered weak.
Correlation analysis and pair trading evaluation for Olin can also be used as hedging techniques within a particular sector or industry or even over random equities to generate a better risk-adjusted return on your portfolios.Check out Olin Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections. You can also try the CEOs Directory module to screen CEOs from public companies around the world.
Will Commodity Chemicals sector continue expanding? Could Olin diversify its offerings? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Olin. Anticipated expansion of Olin directly elevates investor willingness to pay premium valuations. Accurate valuation requires analyzing both current fundamentals and future growth trajectories. Every Olin data point contributes insight, yet successful analysis hinges on identifying the most consequential variables.
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.97) | Dividend Share 0.8 | Earnings Share (0.37) | Revenue Per Share | Quarterly Revenue Growth (0) |
The market value of Olin is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Olin that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Olin's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Olin's true underlying value. Seasoned market participants apply comprehensive analytical frameworks to derive fundamental worth and identify mispriced opportunities. Because Olin's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Olin's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
It's important to distinguish between Olin's intrinsic value and market price, which are calculated using different methodologies. Investment decisions regarding Olin should consider multiple factors including financial performance, growth metrics, competitive position, and professional analysis. Meanwhile, Olin's quoted price indicates the marketplace figure where supply meets demand through bilateral consent.