Onewater Marine Stock Price Patterns
| ONEW Stock | USD 13.00 0.77 6.30% |
Momentum 61
Buy Extended
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.34) | EPS Estimate Next Quarter 0.1717 | EPS Estimate Current Year 0.56 | EPS Estimate Next Year 1.12 | Wall Street Target Price 16.25 |
Using Onewater Marine hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Onewater Marine from the perspective of Onewater Marine response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards Onewater Marine using Onewater Marine's stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards Onewater using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of Onewater Marine's stock price.
Onewater Marine Short Interest
An investor who is long Onewater Marine may also wish to track short interest. As short interest increases, investors should be becoming more worried about Onewater Marine and may potentially protect profits, hedge Onewater Marine with its derivative instruments, or be ready for some potential downside.
200 Day MA 14.3011 | Short Percent 0.1187 | Short Ratio 7.23 | Shares Short Prior Month 1.5 M | 50 Day MA 12.3198 |
Onewater Marine Hype to Price Pattern
Investor biases related to Onewater Marine's public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in Onewater. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding Onewater can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around Onewater Marine. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of Onewater Marine's market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about Onewater Marine.
Onewater Marine Implied Volatility | 0.99 |
Onewater Marine's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Onewater Marine stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Onewater Marine's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Onewater Marine stock will not fluctuate a lot when Onewater Marine's options are near their expiration.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Onewater Marine to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Onewater because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
Onewater Marine after-hype prediction price | USD 12.23 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Prediction based on Rule 16 of the current Onewater contract
Based on the Rule 16, the options market is currently suggesting that Onewater Marine will have an average daily up or down price movement of about 0.0619% per day over the life of the 2026-04-17 option contract. With Onewater Marine trading at USD 13.0, that is roughly USD 0.008044 . If you think that the market is fully incorporating Onewater Marine's daily price movement you should consider acquiring Onewater Marine options at the current volatility level of 0.99%. But if you have an opposite viewpoint you should avoid it and even consider selling them.
Check out Onewater Marine Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections. Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Onewater Marine's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Onewater Marine After-Hype Price Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Onewater Marine at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Onewater Marine or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Onewater Marine, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Onewater Marine Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Onewater Marine's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Onewater Marine's historical news coverage. Onewater Marine's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 8.74 and 15.72, respectively. We have considered Onewater Marine's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models compare with traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Onewater Marine is somewhat reliable at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Onewater Marine is based on 3 months time horizon.
Onewater Marine Stock Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Onewater Marine is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Onewater Marine backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Onewater Marine, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.30 | 3.49 | 0.33 | 0.10 | 9 Events / Month | 7 Events / Month | In about 9 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
13.00 | 12.23 | 0.00 |
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Onewater Marine Hype Timeline
Onewater Marine is now traded for 13.00. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -0.33, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.1. Onewater is forecasted not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is over 100%. The immediate return on the next news is forecasted to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is now at 0.3%. %. The volatility of related hype on Onewater Marine is about 1038.69%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 13.10. About 30.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders. The company has price-to-book ratio of 0.72. Typically companies with comparable Price to Book (P/B) are able to outperform the market in the long run. Onewater Marine recorded a loss per share of 6.87. The entity last dividend was issued on the 25th of June 2021. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next forecasted press release will be in about 9 days. Check out Onewater Marine Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.Onewater Marine Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Onewater Marine's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Onewater Marine's future price movements. Getting to know how Onewater Marine's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Onewater Marine may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| MPX | Marine Products | (0.16) | 11 per month | 0.00 | (0.03) | 3.34 | (3.55) | 21.83 | |
| MCFT | MCBC Holdings | 0.61 | 8 per month | 1.73 | 0.13 | 4.21 | (3.54) | 9.51 | |
| CHPT | ChargePoint Holdings | (0.24) | 12 per month | 0.00 | (0.16) | 5.83 | (6.71) | 31.33 | |
| LANV | Lanvin Group Holdings | 0.01 | 7 per month | 0.00 | (0.04) | 9.23 | (9.09) | 33.93 | |
| GAMB | Gambling Group | 0.04 | 8 per month | 0.00 | (0.19) | 3.58 | (4.36) | 23.13 | |
| EMPD | Empery Digital | 0.17 | 9 per month | 0.00 | (0.12) | 6.42 | (9.46) | 35.01 | |
| WEYS | Weyco Group | 0.33 | 7 per month | 0.00 | (0.02) | 4.56 | (3.08) | 20.30 | |
| ELA | Envela Corp | (0.02) | 8 per month | 3.98 | 0.07 | 8.13 | (8.09) | 25.60 | |
| CTRN | Citi Trends | 2.49 | 10 per month | 2.66 | 0.08 | 4.90 | (4.27) | 15.07 | |
| XPOF | Xponential Fitness | 0.13 | 8 per month | 2.68 | 0.11 | 7.42 | (4.67) | 25.15 |
Onewater Marine Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Onewater price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Onewater using various technical indicators. When you analyze Onewater charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
About Onewater Marine Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of Onewater Marine stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Onewater Marine, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Onewater Marine based on analysis of Onewater Marine hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Onewater Marine's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Onewater Marine's related companies. | 2023 | 2026 (projected) | Dividend Yield | 0.0155 | 0.001195 | Price To Sales Ratio | 0.2 | 0.15 |
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Analyzing currently trending equities could be an opportunity to develop a better portfolio based on different market momentums that they can trigger. Utilizing the top trending stocks is also useful when creating a market-neutral strategy or pair trading technique involving a short or a long position in a currently trending equity.Additional Tools for Onewater Stock Analysis
When running Onewater Marine's price analysis, check to measure Onewater Marine's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Onewater Marine is operating at the current time. Most of Onewater Marine's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Onewater Marine's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Onewater Marine's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Onewater Marine to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.