Onity Group Stock Price Patterns
| ONIT Stock | 42.38 0.47 1.10% |
Momentum 66
Buy Stretched
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.23) | EPS Estimate Next Quarter 2.07 | EPS Estimate Current Year 9.63 | EPS Estimate Next Year 10.7 | Wall Street Target Price 55 |
Using Onity hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Onity Group from the perspective of Onity response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards Onity using Onity's stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards Onity using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of Onity's stock price.
Onity Short Interest
An investor who is long Onity may also wish to track short interest. As short interest increases, investors should be becoming more worried about Onity and may potentially protect profits, hedge Onity with its derivative instruments, or be ready for some potential downside.
200 Day MA 40.4714 | Short Percent 0.0148 | Short Ratio 1.46 | Shares Short Prior Month 109.5 K | 50 Day MA 46.186 |
Onity Group Hype to Price Pattern
Investor biases related to Onity's public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in Onity. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding Onity can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around Onity Group. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of Onity's market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about Onity.
Onity Implied Volatility | 0.74 |
Onity's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Onity Group stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Onity's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Onity stock will not fluctuate a lot when Onity's options are near their expiration.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Onity to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Onity because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
Onity after-hype prediction price | USD 42.74 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Prediction based on Rule 16 of the current Onity contract
Based on the Rule 16, the options market is currently suggesting that Onity Group will have an average daily up or down price movement of about 0.0463% per day over the life of the 2026-04-17 option contract. With Onity trading at USD 42.38, that is roughly USD 0.0196 . If you think that the market is fully incorporating Onity's daily price movement you should consider acquiring Onity Group options at the current volatility level of 0.74%. But if you have an opposite viewpoint you should avoid it and even consider selling them.
Check out Onity Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections. Onity After-Hype Price Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Onity at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Onity or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Onity, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Onity Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Onity's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Onity's historical news coverage. Onity's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 39.97 and 45.51, respectively. We have considered Onity's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models compare with traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Onity is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Onity Group is based on 3 months time horizon.
Onity Stock Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Onity is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Onity backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Onity, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.21 | 2.74 | 0.10 | 0.02 | 8 Events / Month | 7 Events / Month | In about 8 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
42.38 | 42.74 | 0.26 |
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Onity Hype Timeline
Onity Group is now traded for 42.38. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -0.1, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.02. Onity is forecasted to decline in value after the next headline, with the price expected to drop to 42.74. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company price is over 100%. The price decrease on the next news is expected to be -0.26%, whereas the daily expected return is now at 0.21%. The volatility of related hype on Onity is about 3425.0%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 42.40. About 17.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders. The company has price-to-book ratio of 0.73. Typically companies with comparable Price to Book (P/B) are able to outperform the market in the long run. Onity Group last dividend was issued on the 26th of August 1999. The entity had 1:15 split on the 14th of August 2020. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next forecasted press release will be in about 8 days. Check out Onity Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.Onity Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Onity's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Onity's future price movements. Getting to know how Onity's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Onity may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| PCB | PCB Bancorp | 0.51 | 9 per month | 1.46 | 0.08 | 2.99 | (2.36) | 8.70 | |
| BCML | BayCom Corp | (0.32) | 9 per month | 1.39 | 0.06 | 3.46 | (2.78) | 9.92 | |
| CZNC | Citizens Northern Corp | 0.60 | 7 per month | 1.06 | 0.18 | 3.19 | (1.62) | 7.41 | |
| FSBW | FS Bancorp | 0.75 | 10 per month | 1.20 | 0.06 | 3.96 | (2.12) | 12.80 | |
| WSBF | Waterstone Financial | (0.05) | 6 per month | 0.91 | 0.15 | 2.59 | (2.52) | 9.13 | |
| PLBC | Plumas Bancorp | (0.73) | 9 per month | 0.49 | 0.20 | 3.05 | (1.60) | 11.71 | |
| FMAO | Farmers Merchants Bancorp | (0.26) | 6 per month | 1.47 | 0.12 | 4.61 | (3.23) | 10.83 | |
| CBAN | Colony Bankcorp | 0.07 | 10 per month | 0.81 | 0.24 | 3.34 | (1.54) | 9.02 | |
| FNLC | First Bancorp | 0.54 | 6 per month | 0.97 | 0.13 | 3.44 | (1.99) | 7.07 | |
| MVBF | MVB Financial Corp | (0.31) | 9 per month | 1.33 | 0.06 | 3.48 | (2.69) | 8.93 |
Onity Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Onity price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Onity using various technical indicators. When you analyze Onity charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
About Onity Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of Onity stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Onity Group, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Onity based on analysis of Onity hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Onity's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Onity's related companies. | 2024 | 2025 (projected) | Days Sales Outstanding | 4.3K | 3.9K | PTB Ratio | 0.49 | 0.44 |
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Additional Tools for Onity Stock Analysis
When running Onity's price analysis, check to measure Onity's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Onity is operating at the current time. Most of Onity's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Onity's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Onity's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Onity to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.