Otter Tail Stock Price Prediction
| OTTR Stock | USD 77.68 0.18 0.23% |
Oversold Vs Overbought
55
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.07) | EPS Estimate Next Quarter 1.28 | EPS Estimate Current Year 7.14 | EPS Estimate Next Year 5.6233 | Wall Street Target Price 81 |
Using Otter Tail hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Otter Tail from the perspective of Otter Tail response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards Otter Tail using Otter Tail's stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards Otter using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of Otter Tail's stock price.
Otter Tail Short Interest
An investor who is long Otter Tail may also wish to track short interest. As short interest increases, investors should be becoming more worried about Otter Tail and may potentially protect profits, hedge Otter Tail with its derivative instruments, or be ready for some potential downside.
200 Day MA 83.3857 | Short Percent 0.147 | Short Ratio 16.48 | Shares Short Prior Month 4.4 M | 50 Day MA 77.4206 |
Otter Tail Hype to Price Pattern
Investor biases related to Otter Tail's public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in Otter. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding Otter can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around Otter Tail. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of Otter Tail's market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about Otter Tail.
Otter Tail Implied Volatility | 0.51 |
Otter Tail's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Otter Tail stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Otter Tail's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Otter Tail stock will not fluctuate a lot when Otter Tail's options are near their expiration.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Otter Tail to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Otter because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
Otter Tail after-hype prediction price | USD 77.65 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Prediction based on Rule 16 of the current Otter contract
Based on the Rule 16, the options market is currently suggesting that Otter Tail will have an average daily up or down price movement of about 0.0319% per day over the life of the 2025-04-17 option contract. With Otter Tail trading at USD 77.68, that is roughly USD 0.0248 . If you think that the market is fully incorporating Otter Tail's daily price movement you should consider acquiring Otter Tail options at the current volatility level of 0.51%. But if you have an opposite viewpoint you should avoid it and even consider selling them.
Otter |
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Otter Tail's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Otter Tail After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Otter Tail at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Otter Tail or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Otter Tail, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Otter Tail Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Otter Tail's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Otter Tail's historical news coverage. Otter Tail's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 75.89 and 79.41, respectively. We have considered Otter Tail's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Otter Tail is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Otter Tail is based on 3 months time horizon.
Otter Tail Stock Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Otter Tail is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Otter Tail backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Otter Tail, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.01 | 1.77 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 11 Events / Month | 6 Events / Month | In about 11 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
77.68 | 77.65 | 0.04 |
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Otter Tail Hype Timeline
Otter Tail is now traded for 77.68. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.0. Otter is anticipated to decline in value after the next headline, with the price expected to drop to 77.65. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company price is over 100%. The price decrease on the next news is expected to be -0.04%, whereas the daily expected return is now at 0.01%. The volatility of related hype on Otter Tail is about 548.45%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 77.68. About 72.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors. The company has price-to-book ratio of 1.98. Typically companies with comparable Price to Book (P/B) are able to outperform the market in the long run. Otter Tail has Price/Earnings To Growth (PEG) ratio of 2.02. The entity recorded earning per share (EPS) of 7.24. The firm last dividend was issued on the 15th of November 2024. Otter Tail had 2:1 split on the 16th of March 2000. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next anticipated press release will be in about 11 days. Check out Otter Tail Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.Otter Tail Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Otter Tail's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Otter Tail's future price movements. Getting to know how Otter Tail's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Otter Tail may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| NWE | NorthWestern | 0.73 | 7 per month | 0.00 | (0.08) | 2.47 | (3.07) | 7.15 | |
| AVA | Avista | (0.17) | 10 per month | 0.00 | (0.1) | 2.28 | (3.48) | 6.64 | |
| BKH | Black Hills | 0.53 | 8 per month | 0.00 | (0.08) | 2.63 | (2.15) | 7.57 | |
| ELP | Companhia Paranaense de | 0.09 | 5 per month | 2.43 | (0.03) | 3.42 | (4.40) | 11.66 | |
| ALE | Allete Inc | (0.01) | 9 per month | 0.13 | (0.15) | 0.81 | (0.43) | 1.54 | |
| MNTK | Montauk Renewables | (1.39) | 6 per month | 0.00 | (0.08) | 6.16 | (6.10) | 24.98 | |
| AESC | AES Corp Unit | (3.04) | 1 per month | 0.00 | (0.12) | 2.19 | (2.64) | 5.69 | |
| AES | The AES | (0.08) | 11 per month | 0.00 | (0.26) | 3.54 | (4.41) | 11.98 | |
| BIP | Brookfield Infrastructure Partners | (0.21) | 10 per month | 0.00 | (0.09) | 2.14 | (2.11) | 8.32 | |
| BIP-PB | Brookfield Infrastructure Partners | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.22) | 2.22 | (1.86) | 5.49 | |
| BIP-PA | Brookfield Infrastructure Partners | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.19) | 2.56 | (2.36) | 7.56 |
Otter Tail Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Otter price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Otter using various technical indicators. When you analyze Otter charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
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| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
About Otter Tail Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of Otter Tail stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Otter Tail, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Otter Tail based on analysis of Otter Tail hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Otter Tail's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Otter Tail's related companies. | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 (projected) | Dividend Yield | 0.0282 | 0.0205 | 0.0235 | 0.0461 | Price To Sales Ratio | 1.67 | 2.65 | 2.38 | 2.5 |
Story Coverage note for Otter Tail
The number of cover stories for Otter Tail depends on current market conditions and Otter Tail's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Otter Tail is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Otter Tail's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Otter Tail Short Properties
Otter Tail's future price predictability will typically decrease when Otter Tail's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Otter Tail often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Otter Tail's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Otter Tail's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 42 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 230.4 M |
Additional Tools for Otter Stock Analysis
When running Otter Tail's price analysis, check to measure Otter Tail's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Otter Tail is operating at the current time. Most of Otter Tail's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Otter Tail's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Otter Tail's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Otter Tail to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.