Pcb Bancorp Stock Price Prediction

PCB Stock  USD 21.58  0.07  0.32%   
The relative strength index (RSI) of PCB Bancorp's share price is above 70 at the present time indicating that the stock is becoming overbought or overvalued. The idea behind Relative Strength Index (RSI) is that it helps to track how fast people are buying or selling PCB, making its price go up or down.

Momentum 71

 Buy Stretched

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
The successful prediction of PCB Bancorp's future price could yield a significant profit. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with PCB Bancorp, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed.
Using PCB Bancorp hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of PCB Bancorp from the perspective of PCB Bancorp response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in PCB Bancorp to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying PCB because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.

PCB Bancorp after-hype prediction price

    
  USD 21.6  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Check out PCB Bancorp Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
For information on how to trade PCB Stock refer to our How to Trade PCB Stock guide.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of PCB Bancorp's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
19.4223.4825.19
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
18.2219.9421.65
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
20.6922.2823.88
Details

PCB Bancorp After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis

As far as predicting the price of PCB Bancorp at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in PCB Bancorp or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of PCB Bancorp, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
   Next price density   
       Expected price to next headline  

PCB Bancorp Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

In the context of predicting PCB Bancorp's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on PCB Bancorp's historical news coverage. PCB Bancorp's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 19.89 and 23.31, respectively. We have considered PCB Bancorp's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
21.58
21.60
After-hype Price
23.31
Upside
PCB Bancorp is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of PCB Bancorp is based on 3 months time horizon.

PCB Bancorp Stock Price Prediction Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as PCB Bancorp is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading PCB Bancorp backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with PCB Bancorp, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected ReturnPeriod VolatilityHype ElasticityRelated ElasticityNews DensityRelated DensityExpected Hype
  0.09 
1.71
 0.00  
 0.00  
0 Events / Month
0 Events / Month
Within a week
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
21.58
21.60
0.09 
0.00  
Notes

PCB Bancorp Hype Timeline

On the 4th of January PCB Bancorp is traded for 21.58. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.0. PCB is forecasted to increase in value after the next headline, with the price projected to jump to 21.6 or above. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company the price is insignificant. The price jump on the next news is projected to be 0.09%, whereas the daily expected return is at this time at 0.09%. The volatility of related hype on PCB Bancorp is about 0.0%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 21.58. The company reported the last year's revenue of 191.91 M. Total Income to common stockholders was 25.81 M with profit before taxes, overhead, and interest of 107.74 M. Considering the 90-day investment horizon the next forecasted press release will be within a week.
Check out PCB Bancorp Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
For information on how to trade PCB Stock refer to our How to Trade PCB Stock guide.

PCB Bancorp Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to PCB Bancorp's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict PCB Bancorp's future price movements. Getting to know how PCB Bancorp's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how PCB Bancorp may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
Hype
Elasticity
News
Density
Semi
Deviation
Information
Ratio
Potential
Upside
Value
At Risk
Maximum
Drawdown
OBTOrange County Bancorp 0.00 0 per month 1.60  0.09  3.52 (2.88) 10.19 
RBBRBB Bancorp 0.00 0 per month 1.37  0.07  3.49 (2.70) 9.67 
BCMLBayCom Corp 0.00 0 per month 1.52  0.0009  3.10 (2.35) 9.92 
FMAOFarmers Merchants Bancorp 0.00 0 per month 0.00 (0.03) 4.47 (3.71) 10.45 
FSBWFS Bancorp 0.00 0 per month 1.26  0.0003  3.28 (2.33) 10.30 
PLBCPlumas Bancorp 0.00 0 per month 0.91  0  2.75 (1.62) 5.11 
MVBFMVB Financial Corp 0.00 0 per month 0.00 (0.06) 3.03 (2.90) 8.59 
PDLBPonce Financial Group 0.00 0 per month 1.30  0.06  3.45 (2.24) 9.42 
CBANColony Bankcorp 0.00 0 per month 1.55  0.03  2.41 (2.60) 9.25 
FNLCFirst Bancorp 0.00 0 per month 1.31  0.01  2.41 (3.02) 5.79 

PCB Bancorp Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine PCB price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for PCB using various technical indicators. When you analyze PCB charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.

About PCB Bancorp Predictive Indicators

The successful prediction of PCB Bancorp stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as PCB Bancorp, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of PCB Bancorp based on analysis of PCB Bancorp hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to PCB Bancorp's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to PCB Bancorp's related companies.

Story Coverage note for PCB Bancorp

The number of cover stories for PCB Bancorp depends on current market conditions and PCB Bancorp's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that PCB Bancorp is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about PCB Bancorp's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.

PCB Bancorp Short Properties

PCB Bancorp's future price predictability will typically decrease when PCB Bancorp's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of PCB Bancorp often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential PCB Bancorp's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. PCB Bancorp's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding14.3 M
Cash And Short Term Investments345.1 M

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