PCB Bancorp Stock Forecast - Triple Exponential Smoothing
| PCB Stock | USD 21.47 0.51 2.32% |
PCB Stock outlook is based on your current time horizon. Investors can use this forecasting interface to forecast PCB Bancorp stock prices and determine the direction of PCB Bancorp's future trends based on various well-known forecasting models. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of PCB Bancorp's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
At the present time, the relative strength index (RSI) of PCB Bancorp's share price is approaching 47 indicating that the stock is in nutural position, most likellhy at or near its support level. The main point of RSI analysis is to track how fast people are buying or selling PCB Bancorp, making its price go up or down. Momentum 47
Impartial
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth 0.5 | EPS Estimate Next Quarter 0.59 | EPS Estimate Current Year 2.56 | EPS Estimate Next Year 2.6733 | Wall Street Target Price 25.25 |
Using PCB Bancorp hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of PCB Bancorp from the perspective of PCB Bancorp response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards PCB Bancorp using PCB Bancorp's stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards PCB using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of PCB Bancorp's stock price.
PCB Bancorp Short Interest
A significant increase or decrease in PCB Bancorp's short interest from the previous month could be a good indicator of investor sentiment towards PCB. Short interest can provide insight into the potential direction of PCB Bancorp stock and how bullish or bearish investors feel about the market overall.
200 Day MA 21.0394 | Short Percent 0.0156 | Short Ratio 6.19 | Shares Short Prior Month 205.3 K | 50 Day MA 22.125 |
PCB Relative Strength Index
The Triple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of PCB Bancorp on the next trading day is expected to be 21.57 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.31 and the sum of the absolute errors of 18.20.PCB Bancorp Hype to Price Pattern
Investor biases related to PCB Bancorp's public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in PCB. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding PCB can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around PCB Bancorp. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of PCB Bancorp's market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about PCB Bancorp.
PCB Bancorp Implied Volatility | 0.92 |
PCB Bancorp's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of PCB Bancorp stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if PCB Bancorp's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that PCB Bancorp stock will not fluctuate a lot when PCB Bancorp's options are near their expiration.
The Triple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of PCB Bancorp on the next trading day is expected to be 21.57 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.31 and the sum of the absolute errors of 18.20. PCB Bancorp after-hype prediction price | USD 21.99 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of PCB Bancorp to cross-verify your projections. Prediction based on Rule 16 of the current PCB contract
Based on the Rule 16, the options market is currently suggesting that PCB Bancorp will have an average daily up or down price movement of about 0.0575% per day over the life of the 2026-04-17 option contract. With PCB Bancorp trading at USD 21.47, that is roughly USD 0.0123 . If you think that the market is fully incorporating PCB Bancorp's daily price movement you should consider acquiring PCB Bancorp options at the current volatility level of 0.92%. But if you have an opposite viewpoint you should avoid it and even consider selling them.
Open Interest Against 2026-04-17 PCB Option Contracts
Although open interest is a measure utilized in the options markets, it could be used to forecast PCB Bancorp's spot prices because the number of available contracts in the market changes daily, and new contracts can be created or liquidated at will. Since open interest in PCB Bancorp's options reflects these daily shifts, investors could use the patterns of these changes to develop long and short-term trading strategies for PCB Bancorp stock based on available contracts left at the end of a trading day.
Please note that to derive more accurate forecasting about market movement from the current PCB Bancorp's open interest, investors have to compare it to PCB Bancorp's spot prices. As Ford's stock price increases, high open interest indicates that money is entering the market, and the market is strongly bullish. Conversely, if the price of PCB Bancorp is decreasing and there is high open interest, that is a sign that the bearish trend will continue, and investors may react by taking short positions in PCB. So, decreasing or low open interest during a bull market indicates that investors are becoming uncertain of the depth of the bullish trend, and a reversal in sentiment will likely follow.
PCB Bancorp Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine PCB price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for PCB using various technical indicators. When you analyze PCB charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
PCB Bancorp Triple Exponential Smoothing Price Forecast For the 29th of January
Given 90 days horizon, the Triple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of PCB Bancorp on the next trading day is expected to be 21.57 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.31, mean absolute percentage error of 0.15, and the sum of the absolute errors of 18.20.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict PCB Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that PCB Bancorp's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
PCB Bancorp Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest PCB Bancorp | PCB Bancorp Price Prediction | Buy or Sell Advice |
PCB Bancorp Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting PCB Bancorp's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. PCB Bancorp's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 19.87 and 23.27, respectively. We have considered PCB Bancorp's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Triple Exponential Smoothing forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of PCB Bancorp stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent PCB Bancorp stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | Huge |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | 0.0898 |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.3085 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.014 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 18.2 |
Predictive Modules for PCB Bancorp
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as PCB Bancorp. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of PCB Bancorp's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
PCB Bancorp After-Hype Price Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of PCB Bancorp at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in PCB Bancorp or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of PCB Bancorp, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
PCB Bancorp Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting PCB Bancorp's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on PCB Bancorp's historical news coverage. PCB Bancorp's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 20.29 and 23.69, respectively. We have considered PCB Bancorp's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
PCB Bancorp is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of PCB Bancorp is based on 3 months time horizon.
PCB Bancorp Stock Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as PCB Bancorp is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading PCB Bancorp backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with PCB Bancorp, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.11 | 1.70 | 0.01 | 0.02 | 8 Events / Month | 7 Events / Month | In about 8 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
21.47 | 21.99 | 0.05 |
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PCB Bancorp Hype Timeline
On the 28th of January PCB Bancorp is traded for 21.47. The entity has historical hype elasticity of 0.01, and average elasticity to hype of competition of -0.02. PCB is forecasted to increase in value after the next headline, with the price projected to jump to 21.99 or above. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company the price is over 100%. The price jump on the next news is projected to be 0.05%, whereas the daily expected return is at this time at 0.11%. The volatility of related hype on PCB Bancorp is about 988.37%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 21.45. The company reported the last year's revenue of 191.91 M. Total Income to common stockholders was 25.81 M with profit before taxes, overhead, and interest of 107.74 M. Considering the 90-day investment horizon the next forecasted press release will be in about 8 days. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of PCB Bancorp to cross-verify your projections.PCB Bancorp Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to PCB Bancorp's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict PCB Bancorp's future price movements. Getting to know how PCB Bancorp's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how PCB Bancorp may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| OBT | Orange County Bancorp | 0.05 | 9 per month | 1.41 | 0.14 | 3.52 | (2.65) | 8.69 | |
| RBB | RBB Bancorp | (0.55) | 10 per month | 1.04 | 0.1 | 3.37 | (1.48) | 8.69 | |
| BCML | BayCom Corp | (0.47) | 6 per month | 1.36 | 0.03 | 3.46 | (2.36) | 9.92 | |
| FMAO | Farmers Merchants Bancorp | (0.19) | 8 per month | 1.62 | 0.03 | 4.61 | (3.40) | 10.83 | |
| FSBW | FS Bancorp | 0.14 | 11 per month | 1.27 | (0.01) | 3.28 | (2.00) | 12.80 | |
| PLBC | Plumas Bancorp | 0.02 | 8 per month | 0.72 | 0.12 | 3.00 | (1.66) | 11.73 | |
| MVBF | MVB Financial Corp | (0.37) | 6 per month | 1.32 | 0.05 | 3.46 | (2.69) | 8.59 | |
| PDLB | Ponce Financial Group | (0.13) | 6 per month | 1.16 | 0.06 | 3.50 | (2.24) | 9.42 | |
| CBAN | Colony Bankcorp | (0.13) | 9 per month | 1.24 | 0.08 | 2.41 | (2.59) | 9.02 | |
| FNLC | First Bancorp | (0.09) | 10 per month | 1.22 | 0.02 | 3.44 | (2.04) | 7.07 |
Other Forecasting Options for PCB Bancorp
For every potential investor in PCB, whether a beginner or expert, PCB Bancorp's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. PCB Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in PCB. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying PCB Bancorp's price trends.PCB Bancorp Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with PCB Bancorp stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of PCB Bancorp could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing PCB Bancorp by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
PCB Bancorp Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how PCB Bancorp stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading PCB Bancorp shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying PCB Bancorp stock market strength indicators, traders can identify PCB Bancorp entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
PCB Bancorp Risk Indicators
The analysis of PCB Bancorp's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in PCB Bancorp's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting pcb stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 1.33 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 1.38 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 1.8 | |||
| Variance | 3.23 | |||
| Downside Variance | 2.17 | |||
| Semi Variance | 1.91 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (1.64) |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for PCB Bancorp
The number of cover stories for PCB Bancorp depends on current market conditions and PCB Bancorp's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that PCB Bancorp is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about PCB Bancorp's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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PCB Bancorp Short Properties
PCB Bancorp's future price predictability will typically decrease when PCB Bancorp's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of PCB Bancorp often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential PCB Bancorp's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. PCB Bancorp's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 14.3 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 345.1 M |
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of PCB Bancorp to cross-verify your projections. For information on how to trade PCB Stock refer to our How to Trade PCB Stock guide.You can also try the Cryptocurrency Center module to build and monitor diversified portfolio of extremely risky digital assets and cryptocurrency.
Is Regional Banks space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of PCB Bancorp. If investors know PCB will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about PCB Bancorp listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth 0.5 | Dividend Share 0.78 | Earnings Share 2.41 | Revenue Per Share | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.217 |
The market value of PCB Bancorp is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of PCB that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of PCB Bancorp's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is PCB Bancorp's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because PCB Bancorp's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect PCB Bancorp's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between PCB Bancorp's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if PCB Bancorp is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, PCB Bancorp's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.