Perion Network Stock Price Prediction

PERI Stock  USD 8.55  0.03  0.35%   
The relative strength momentum indicator of Perion Network's the stock price is under 66 indicating that the stock is rather overbought by investors as of 26th of November 2024. The main point of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to track how fast people are buying or selling Perion, making its price go up or down.

Oversold Vs Overbought

66

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
The successful prediction of Perion Network's future price could yield a significant profit. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Perion Network, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed. Below are the key fundamental drivers impacting Perion Network's stock price prediction:
Quarterly Earnings Growth
(0.94)
EPS Estimate Next Quarter
0.13
EPS Estimate Current Year
1.268
EPS Estimate Next Year
1.084
Wall Street Target Price
9.5
Using Perion Network hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Perion Network from the perspective of Perion Network response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Perion Network to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Perion because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.

Perion Network after-hype prediction price

    
  USD 8.57  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
  
Check out Perion Network Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
For more detail on how to invest in Perion Stock please use our How to Invest in Perion Network guide.
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
7.7016.8518.75
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
6.248.1410.04
Details
6 Analysts
Consensus
LowTargetHigh
38.0441.8046.40
Details
Earnings
Estimates (0)
LowProjected EPSHigh
0.310.320.33
Details

Perion Network After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis

As far as predicting the price of Perion Network at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Perion Network or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Perion Network, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
   Next price density   
       Expected price to next headline  

Perion Network Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

In the context of predicting Perion Network's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Perion Network's historical news coverage. Perion Network's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 6.67 and 10.47, respectively. We have considered Perion Network's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
8.55
8.57
After-hype Price
10.47
Upside
Perion Network is not too volatile at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Perion Network is based on 3 months time horizon.

Perion Network Stock Price Prediction Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Perion Network is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Perion Network backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Perion Network, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected ReturnPeriod VolatilityHype ElasticityRelated ElasticityNews DensityRelated DensityExpected Hype
  0.04 
1.90
  0.02 
  0.03 
5 Events / Month
12 Events / Month
In about 5 days
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
8.55
8.57
0.23 
463.41  
Notes

Perion Network Hype Timeline

Perion Network is at this time traded for 8.55. The entity has historical hype elasticity of 0.02, and average elasticity to hype of competition of -0.03. Perion is projected to increase in value after the next headline, with the price projected to jump to 8.57 or above. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company the price is over 100%. The price growth on the next news is projected to be 0.23%, whereas the daily expected return is at this time at 0.04%. The volatility of related hype on Perion Network is about 255.77%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 8.52. The company reported the previous year's revenue of 743.15 M. Net Income was 117.41 M with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 237.25 M. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next projected press release will be in about 5 days.
Check out Perion Network Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
For more detail on how to invest in Perion Stock please use our How to Invest in Perion Network guide.

Perion Network Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to Perion Network's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Perion Network's future price movements. Getting to know how Perion Network's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Perion Network may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
Hype
Elasticity
News
Density
Semi
Deviation
Information
Ratio
Potential
Upside
Value
At Risk
Maximum
Drawdown
MAXMediaAlpha 0.03 9 per month 0.00 (0.09) 4.70 (5.09) 35.30 
SEATVivid Seats(0.12)8 per month 0.00 (0.11) 5.65 (6.15) 18.24 
JFINJiayin Group(0.41)5 per month 4.55  0  6.54 (7.27) 23.37 
MOMOHello Group 0.35 8 per month 0.00 (0.07) 3.99 (4.28) 15.29 
PINSPinterest(0.58)9 per month 0.00 (0.08) 2.79 (3.30) 17.91 
SNAPSnap Inc(0.35)8 per month 2.33  0.07  4.41 (3.65) 21.74 
GOOGLAlphabet Inc Class A 1.80 8 per month 1.83 (0.07) 2.34 (2.44) 8.73 
BIDUBaidu Inc 1.12 9 per month 0.00 (0.07) 4.40 (5.12) 16.49 
METAMeta Platforms(2.64)8 per month 1.40 (0.03) 2.62 (3.15) 8.02 
TWLOTwilio Inc(3.35)8 per month 1.02  0.31  3.69 (2.49) 17.01 
GETYGetty Images Holdings 0.17 9 per month 0.00 (0.07) 4.70 (4.72) 30.84 
ANGIANGI Homeservices(0.10)8 per month 0.00 (0.10) 4.38 (4.03) 33.00 
MTCHMatch Group(0.04)8 per month 0.00 (0.12) 2.54 (2.33) 21.07 
SPOTSpotify Technology SA(6.28)8 per month 1.31  0.18  3.08 (2.29) 15.46 

Perion Network Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Perion price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Perion using various technical indicators. When you analyze Perion charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.

About Perion Network Predictive Indicators

The successful prediction of Perion Network stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Perion Network, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Perion Network based on analysis of Perion Network hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Perion Network's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Perion Network's related companies.
 2023 2024 (projected)
Dividend Yield0.08840.1
Price To Sales Ratio1.961.86

Story Coverage note for Perion Network

The number of cover stories for Perion Network depends on current market conditions and Perion Network's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Perion Network is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Perion Network's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.

Other Macroaxis Stories

Our audience includes start-ups and big corporations as well as marketing, public relation firms, and advertising agencies, including technology and finance journalists. Our platform and its news and story outlet are popular among finance students, amateur traders, self-guided investors, entrepreneurs, retirees and baby boomers, academic researchers, financial advisers, as well as professional money managers - a very diverse and influential demographic landscape united by one goal - build optimal investment portfolios

Perion Network Short Properties

Perion Network's future price predictability will typically decrease when Perion Network's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Perion Network often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Perion Network's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Perion Network's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding50.1 M
Cash And Short Term Investments472.7 M

Complementary Tools for Perion Stock analysis

When running Perion Network's price analysis, check to measure Perion Network's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Perion Network is operating at the current time. Most of Perion Network's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Perion Network's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Perion Network's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Perion Network to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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