Reckitt Benckiser (UK) Price Prediction

RKT Stock   4,835  132.00  2.81%   
The relative strength index (RSI) of Reckitt Benckiser's stock price is about 61 indicating that the stock is rather overbought by investors at the present time. The main point of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to track how fast people are buying or selling Reckitt, making its price go up or down.

Oversold Vs Overbought

61

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
The successful prediction of Reckitt Benckiser's future price could yield a significant profit. Please, note that this module is not intended to be used solely to calculate an intrinsic value of Reckitt Benckiser and does not consider all of the tangible or intangible factors available from Reckitt Benckiser's fundamental data. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Reckitt Benckiser Group, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed. Below are the key fundamental drivers impacting Reckitt Benckiser's stock price prediction:
Quarterly Earnings Growth
(0.07)
EPS Estimate Current Year
3.1626
EPS Estimate Next Year
3.3785
Wall Street Target Price
5.6 K
Quarterly Revenue Growth
(0.04)
Using Reckitt Benckiser hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Reckitt Benckiser Group from the perspective of Reckitt Benckiser response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Reckitt Benckiser to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Reckitt because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.

Reckitt Benckiser after-hype prediction price

    
  GBX 4693.64  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
  
Check out Reckitt Benckiser Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
3,9693,9705,173
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
4,6464,6484,649
Details
Earnings
Estimates (0)
LowProjected EPSHigh
0.780.790.81
Details

Reckitt Benckiser After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis

As far as predicting the price of Reckitt Benckiser at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Reckitt Benckiser or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Reckitt Benckiser, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
   Next price density   
       Expected price to next headline  

Reckitt Benckiser Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

In the context of predicting Reckitt Benckiser's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Reckitt Benckiser's historical news coverage. Reckitt Benckiser's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 4,692 and 5,173, respectively. We have considered Reckitt Benckiser's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
4,835
4,694
After-hype Price
5,173
Upside
Reckitt Benckiser is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Reckitt Benckiser is based on 3 months time horizon.

Reckitt Benckiser Stock Price Prediction Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Reckitt Benckiser is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Reckitt Benckiser backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Reckitt Benckiser, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected ReturnPeriod VolatilityHype ElasticityRelated ElasticityNews DensityRelated DensityExpected Hype
  0.10 
1.42
  15.60 
  0.06 
3 Events / Month
1 Events / Month
In about 3 days
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
4,835
4,694
0.20 
0.91  
Notes

Reckitt Benckiser Hype Timeline

Reckitt Benckiser is at this time traded for 4,835on London Exchange of UK. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -15.6, and average elasticity to hype of competition of -0.06. Reckitt is forecasted to decline in value after the next headline, with the price expected to drop to 4693.64. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company price is about 0.91%. The price decline on the next news is expected to be -0.2%, whereas the daily expected return is at this time at 0.1%. The volatility of related hype on Reckitt Benckiser is about 246.04%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 4,835. About 61.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors. The book value of Reckitt Benckiser was at this time reported as 11.55. The company has Price/Earnings To Growth (PEG) ratio of 1.26. Reckitt Benckiser last dividend was issued on the 1st of August 2024. The entity had 32301:3400 split on the 19th of November 1996. Assuming the 90 days trading horizon the next forecasted press release will be in about 3 days.
Check out Reckitt Benckiser Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.

Reckitt Benckiser Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to Reckitt Benckiser's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Reckitt Benckiser's future price movements. Getting to know how Reckitt Benckiser's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Reckitt Benckiser may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
Hype
Elasticity
News
Density
Semi
Deviation
Information
Ratio
Potential
Upside
Value
At Risk
Maximum
Drawdown
0IRNFortune Brands Home 0.56 2 per month 1.54 (0.06) 2.53 (3.33) 9.30 
NMTNeometals 0.00 2 per month 0.00  0.01  7.37 (5.00) 36.62 
0JZTMcEwen Mining 0.02 3 per month 2.81 (0) 7.42 (4.47) 16.36 
0QP2Zurich Insurance Group(5.10)1 per month 0.41  0.04  1.50 (1.01) 3.22 
0UYNGoldMining(0.02)3 per month 2.74 (0.02) 5.04 (4.65) 12.22 
ELLAEcclesiastical Insurance Office 0.48 2 per month 0.00 (0.16) 1.11 (1.46) 6.87 
AYMAnglesey Mining 0.02 2 per month 0.00 (0.13) 5.66 (5.56) 25.93 

Reckitt Benckiser Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Reckitt price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Reckitt using various technical indicators. When you analyze Reckitt charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.

About Reckitt Benckiser Predictive Indicators

The successful prediction of Reckitt Benckiser stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Reckitt Benckiser Group, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Reckitt Benckiser based on analysis of Reckitt Benckiser hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Reckitt Benckiser's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Reckitt Benckiser's related companies.

Story Coverage note for Reckitt Benckiser

The number of cover stories for Reckitt Benckiser depends on current market conditions and Reckitt Benckiser's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Reckitt Benckiser is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Reckitt Benckiser's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.

Other Macroaxis Stories

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Reckitt Benckiser Short Properties

Reckitt Benckiser's future price predictability will typically decrease when Reckitt Benckiser's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Reckitt Benckiser Group often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Reckitt Benckiser's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Reckitt Benckiser's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding718.3 M
Cash And Short Term Investments1.4 B

Complementary Tools for Reckitt Stock analysis

When running Reckitt Benckiser's price analysis, check to measure Reckitt Benckiser's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Reckitt Benckiser is operating at the current time. Most of Reckitt Benckiser's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Reckitt Benckiser's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Reckitt Benckiser's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Reckitt Benckiser to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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