Standard Motor Products Stock Price Patterns
| SMP Stock | USD 39.93 0.40 0.99% |
Momentum 57
Buy Extended
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth 0.461 | EPS Estimate Next Quarter 0.63 | EPS Estimate Current Year 3.96 | EPS Estimate Next Year 4.2833 | Wall Street Target Price 47 |
Using Standard hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Standard Motor Products from the perspective of Standard response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards Standard using Standard's stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards Standard using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of Standard's stock price.
Standard Short Interest
An investor who is long Standard may also wish to track short interest. As short interest increases, investors should be becoming more worried about Standard and may potentially protect profits, hedge Standard with its derivative instruments, or be ready for some potential downside.
200 Day MA 35.3159 | Short Percent 0.0398 | Short Ratio 4.47 | Shares Short Prior Month 605.7 K | 50 Day MA 38.1092 |
Standard Motor Products Hype to Price Pattern
Investor biases related to Standard's public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in Standard. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding Standard can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around Standard Motor Products. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of Standard's market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about Standard.
Standard Implied Volatility | 1.15 |
Standard's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Standard Motor Products stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Standard's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Standard stock will not fluctuate a lot when Standard's options are near their expiration.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Standard to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Standard because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
Standard after-hype prediction price | USD 39.93 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Prediction based on Rule 16 of the current Standard contract
Based on the Rule 16, the options market is currently suggesting that Standard Motor Products will have an average daily up or down price movement of about 0.0719% per day over the life of the 2026-03-20 option contract. With Standard trading at USD 39.93, that is roughly USD 0.0287 . If you think that the market is fully incorporating Standard's daily price movement you should consider acquiring Standard Motor Products options at the current volatility level of 1.15%. But if you have an opposite viewpoint you should avoid it and even consider selling them.
Check out Standard Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections. Standard After-Hype Price Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Standard at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Standard or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Standard, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Standard Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Standard's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Standard's historical news coverage. Standard's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 38.30 and 41.56, respectively. We have considered Standard's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Standard is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Standard Motor Products is based on 3 months time horizon.
Standard Stock Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Standard is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Standard backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Standard, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.14 | 1.63 | 0.10 | 0.01 | 6 Events / Month | 7 Events / Month | In about 6 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
39.93 | 39.93 | 0.00 |
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Standard Hype Timeline
On the 1st of February Standard Motor Products is traded for 39.93. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -0.1, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.01. Standard is expected not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is over 100%. The immediate return on the next news is expected to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is at this time at 0.14%. %. The volatility of related hype on Standard is about 1791.21%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 39.94. About 82.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors. The company has price-to-book ratio of 1.31. Typically companies with comparable Price to Book (P/B) are able to outperform the market in the long run. Standard Motor Products has Price/Earnings To Growth (PEG) ratio of 2.34. The entity last dividend was issued on the 14th of November 2025. The firm had 5:2 split on the 2nd of December 1983. Considering the 90-day investment horizon the next expected press release will be in about 6 days. Check out Standard Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.Standard Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Standard's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Standard's future price movements. Getting to know how Standard's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Standard may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| AXL | American Axle Manufacturing | (0.09) | 26 per month | 2.35 | 0.11 | 6.86 | (4.01) | 13.56 | |
| SES | SES AI Corp | (0.09) | 11 per month | 0.00 | (0.03) | 10.80 | (8.37) | 28.94 | |
| ECX | ECARX Holdings Class | (0.15) | 8 per month | 0.00 | (0.05) | 8.25 | (10.48) | 26.42 | |
| PLOW | Douglas Dynamics | (0.30) | 8 per month | 0.92 | 0.16 | 3.22 | (1.80) | 8.83 | |
| AEVA | Aeva Technologies Common | 2.72 | 9 per month | 0.00 | (0.02) | 16.00 | (10.24) | 48.05 | |
| XPEL | Xpel Inc | (2.17) | 11 per month | 1.43 | 0.24 | 4.45 | (2.59) | 11.45 | |
| CWH | Camping World Holdings | 1.29 | 10 per month | 0.00 | (0.05) | 6.54 | (6.47) | 25.27 | |
| FOXF | Fox Factory Holding | (0.14) | 10 per month | 0.00 | (0.09) | 3.90 | (5.07) | 27.67 | |
| ODP | ODP Corp | (0.01) | 4 per month | 0.00 | 0.10 | 0.65 | (0.39) | 33.52 | |
| LUXE | LuxExperience BV | (0.15) | 18 per month | 0.00 | (0.12) | 4.26 | (4.06) | 10.95 |
Standard Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Standard price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Standard using various technical indicators. When you analyze Standard charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
About Standard Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of Standard stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Standard Motor Products, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Standard based on analysis of Standard hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Standard's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Standard's related companies. | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 (projected) | Dividend Yield | 0.0291 | 0.0375 | 0.0431 | Price To Sales Ratio | 0.64 | 0.46 | 0.42 |
Pair Trading with Standard
One of the main advantages of trading using pair correlations is that every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if Standard position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in Standard will appreciate offsetting losses from the drop in the long position's value.Moving together with Standard Stock
Moving against Standard Stock
The ability to find closely correlated positions to Standard could be a great tool in your tax-loss harvesting strategies, allowing investors a quick way to find a similar-enough asset to replace Standard when you sell it. If you don't do this, your portfolio allocation will be skewed against your target asset allocation. So, investors can't just sell and buy back Standard - that would be a violation of the tax code under the "wash sale" rule, and this is why you need to find a similar enough asset and use the proceeds from selling Standard Motor Products to buy it.
The correlation of Standard is a statistical measure of how it moves in relation to other instruments. This measure is expressed in what is known as the correlation coefficient, which ranges between -1 and +1. A perfect positive correlation (i.e., a correlation coefficient of +1) implies that as Standard moves, either up or down, the other security will move in the same direction. Alternatively, perfect negative correlation means that if Standard Motor Products moves in either direction, the perfectly negatively correlated security will move in the opposite direction. If the correlation is 0, the equities are not correlated; they are entirely random. A correlation greater than 0.8 is generally described as strong, whereas a correlation less than 0.5 is generally considered weak.
Correlation analysis and pair trading evaluation for Standard can also be used as hedging techniques within a particular sector or industry or even over random equities to generate a better risk-adjusted return on your portfolios.Additional Tools for Standard Stock Analysis
When running Standard's price analysis, check to measure Standard's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Standard is operating at the current time. Most of Standard's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Standard's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Standard's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Standard to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.