Starwood Property Trust Stock Price Prediction
STWD Stock | USD 19.91 0.16 0.81% |
Oversold Vs Overbought
39
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth 0.554 | EPS Estimate Next Quarter 0.47 | EPS Estimate Current Year 2.0112 | EPS Estimate Next Year 1.9697 | Wall Street Target Price 22.4375 |
Using Starwood Property hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Starwood Property Trust from the perspective of Starwood Property response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
Starwood Property Trust Hype to Price Pattern
Investor biases related to Starwood Property's public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in Starwood. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding Starwood can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around Starwood Property Trust. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of Starwood Property's market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about Starwood Property.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Starwood Property to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Starwood because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
Starwood Property after-hype prediction price | USD 19.91 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Starwood |
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Starwood Property's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Starwood Property After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Starwood Property at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Starwood Property or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Starwood Property, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
Expected price to next headline |
Starwood Property Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Starwood Property's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Starwood Property's historical news coverage. Starwood Property's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 18.84 and 20.98, respectively. We have considered Starwood Property's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Starwood Property is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Starwood Property Trust is based on 3 months time horizon.
Starwood Property Stock Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Starwood Property is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Starwood Property backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Starwood Property, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.01 | 1.07 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 9 Events / Month | 4 Events / Month | In about 9 days |
Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
19.91 | 19.91 | 0.00 |
|
Starwood Property Hype Timeline
Starwood Property Trust is at this time traded for 19.91. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.0. Starwood is anticipated not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is over 100%. The immediate return on the next news is anticipated to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is at this time at -0.01%. %. The volatility of related hype on Starwood Property is about 4863.64%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 19.91. About 52.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors. The company has price-to-book ratio of 1.03. Typically companies with comparable Price to Book (P/B) are able to outperform the market in the long run. Starwood Property Trust has Price/Earnings To Growth (PEG) ratio of 2.73. The entity last dividend was issued on the 31st of December 2024. The firm had 12402:1000 split on the 3rd of February 2014. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next anticipated press release will be in about 9 days. Check out Starwood Property Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.Starwood Property Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Starwood Property's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Starwood Property's future price movements. Getting to know how Starwood Property's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Starwood Property may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
BXMT | Blackstone Mortgage Trust | (0.19) | 10 per month | 1.27 | 0.01 | 2.27 | (2.25) | 6.93 | |
ABR | Arbor Realty Trust | (0.46) | 8 per month | 1.23 | 0.06 | 2.38 | (2.19) | 6.99 | |
ARI | Apollo Commercial Real | 0.06 | 9 per month | 0.00 | (0.15) | 2.23 | (2.25) | 8.89 | |
OHI | Omega Healthcare Investors | 0.32 | 11 per month | 1.04 | 0.0005 | 1.70 | (1.97) | 5.15 | |
MPW | Medical Properties Trust | 0.16 | 8 per month | 0.00 | (0.04) | 5.94 | (5.21) | 23.92 |
Starwood Property Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Starwood price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Starwood using various technical indicators. When you analyze Starwood charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.Cycle Indicators | ||
Math Operators | ||
Math Transform | ||
Momentum Indicators | ||
Overlap Studies | ||
Pattern Recognition | ||
Price Transform | ||
Statistic Functions | ||
Volatility Indicators | ||
Volume Indicators |
About Starwood Property Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of Starwood Property stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Starwood Property Trust, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Starwood Property based on analysis of Starwood Property hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Starwood Property's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Starwood Property's related companies. 2021 | 2023 | 2024 (projected) | Dividend Yield | 0.0797 | 0.0923 | 0.0713 | Price To Sales Ratio | 7.85 | 6.41 | 6.09 |
Story Coverage note for Starwood Property
The number of cover stories for Starwood Property depends on current market conditions and Starwood Property's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Starwood Property is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Starwood Property's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
Contributor Headline
Latest Perspective From Macroaxis
Starwood Property Short Properties
Starwood Property's future price predictability will typically decrease when Starwood Property's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Starwood Property Trust often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Starwood Property's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Starwood Property's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 310.5 M | |
Cash And Short Term Investments | 258.1 M |
Complementary Tools for Starwood Stock analysis
When running Starwood Property's price analysis, check to measure Starwood Property's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Starwood Property is operating at the current time. Most of Starwood Property's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Starwood Property's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Starwood Property's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Starwood Property to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
Earnings Calls Check upcoming earnings announcements updated hourly across public exchanges | |
Portfolio Backtesting Avoid under-diversification and over-optimization by backtesting your portfolios | |
Investing Opportunities Build portfolios using our predefined set of ideas and optimize them against your investing preferences | |
Watchlist Optimization Optimize watchlists to build efficient portfolios or rebalance existing positions based on the mean-variance optimization algorithm | |
Technical Analysis Check basic technical indicators and analysis based on most latest market data | |
Portfolio Diagnostics Use generated alerts and portfolio events aggregator to diagnose current holdings | |
Idea Breakdown Analyze constituents of all Macroaxis ideas. Macroaxis investment ideas are predefined, sector-focused investing themes |