First Financial Stock Price Prediction

THFF Stock  USD 59.52  0.34  0.57%   
The relative strength index (RSI) of First Financial's share price is above 70 as of 4th of January 2026. This usually implies that the stock is becoming overbought or overvalued. The idea behind Relative Strength Index (RSI) is that it helps to track how fast people are buying or selling First, making its price go up or down.

Momentum 74

 Buy Stretched

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
The successful prediction of First Financial's future price could yield a significant profit. Please, note that this module is not intended to be used solely to calculate an intrinsic value of First Financial and does not consider all of the tangible or intangible factors available from First Financial's fundamental data. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with First Financial, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed. Below are the key fundamental drivers impacting First Financial's stock price prediction:
Quarterly Earnings Growth
1.367
EPS Estimate Next Quarter
1.5933
EPS Estimate Current Year
6.5833
EPS Estimate Next Year
6.9167
Wall Street Target Price
62
Using First Financial hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of First Financial from the perspective of First Financial response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards First Financial using First Financial's stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards First using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of First Financial's stock price.

First Financial Short Interest

A significant increase or decrease in First Financial's short interest from the previous month could be a good indicator of investor sentiment towards First. Short interest can provide insight into the potential direction of First Financial stock and how bullish or bearish investors feel about the market overall.
200 Day MA
54.4785
Short Percent
0.0158
Short Ratio
2.91
Shares Short Prior Month
135.7 K
50 Day MA
58.7134

First Financial Hype to Price Pattern

Investor biases related to First Financial's public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in First. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding First can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around First Financial. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of First Financial's market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about First Financial.

First Financial Implied Volatility

    
  0.55  
First Financial's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of First Financial stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if First Financial's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that First Financial stock will not fluctuate a lot when First Financial's options are near their expiration.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in First Financial to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying First because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.

First Financial after-hype prediction price

    
  USD 59.55  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.

Prediction based on Rule 16 of the current First contract

Based on the Rule 16, the options market is currently suggesting that First Financial will have an average daily up or down price movement of about 0.0344% per day over the life of the 2026-03-20 option contract. With First Financial trading at USD 59.52, that is roughly USD 0.0205 . If you think that the market is fully incorporating First Financial's daily price movement you should consider acquiring First Financial options at the current volatility level of 0.55%. But if you have an opposite viewpoint you should avoid it and even consider selling them.
Check out First Financial Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
For more detail on how to invest in First Stock please use our How to Invest in First Financial guide.
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
58.5660.3962.22
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
54.3456.1757.99
Details
3 Analysts
Consensus
LowTargetHigh
56.4262.0068.82
Details
Earnings
Estimates (0)
LowProjected EPSHigh
1.641.591.65
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as First Financial. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against First Financial's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, First Financial's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in First Financial.

First Financial After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis

As far as predicting the price of First Financial at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in First Financial or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of First Financial, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
   Next price density   
       Expected price to next headline  

First Financial Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

In the context of predicting First Financial's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on First Financial's historical news coverage. First Financial's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 57.72 and 61.38, respectively. We have considered First Financial's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
59.52
59.55
After-hype Price
61.38
Upside
First Financial is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of First Financial is based on 3 months time horizon.

First Financial Stock Price Prediction Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as First Financial is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading First Financial backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with First Financial, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected ReturnPeriod VolatilityHype ElasticityRelated ElasticityNews DensityRelated DensityExpected Hype
  0.17 
1.83
  0.03 
  0.06 
11 Events / Month
6 Events / Month
In about 11 days
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
59.52
59.55
0.05 
1,076  
Notes

First Financial Hype Timeline

First Financial is at this time traded for 59.52. The entity has historical hype elasticity of 0.03, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.06. First is forecasted to increase in value after the next headline, with the price projected to jump to 59.55 or above. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company the price is over 100%. The price rise on the next news is projected to be 0.05%, whereas the daily expected return is at this time at 0.17%. The volatility of related hype on First Financial is about 541.42%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 59.58. The company reported the previous year's revenue of 307.51 M. Net Income was 47.27 M with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 250.76 M. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next forecasted press release will be in about 11 days.
Check out First Financial Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
For more detail on how to invest in First Stock please use our How to Invest in First Financial guide.

First Financial Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to First Financial's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict First Financial's future price movements. Getting to know how First Financial's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how First Financial may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
Hype
Elasticity
News
Density
Semi
Deviation
Information
Ratio
Potential
Upside
Value
At Risk
Maximum
Drawdown
GSBCGreat Southern Bancorp 0.59 8 per month 2.36 (0.02) 2.61 (2.34) 13.60 
ORRFOrrstown Financial Services 0.07 9 per month 1.35  0.00  3.15 (2.49) 7.91 
IBCPIndependent Bank 1.12 10 per month 1.33  0.01  2.78 (2.71) 7.82 
CACCamden National 0.35 8 per month 1.47  0.07  3.72 (2.43) 8.03 
BCALSouthern California Bancorp 0.40 11 per month 1.24  0.07  2.86 (2.11) 8.22 
MCBSMetroCity Bankshares(0.42)7 per month 0.00 (0.08) 2.43 (2.63) 7.34 
SMBKSmartFinancial 0.17 31 per month 1.58 (0.01) 2.96 (2.32) 7.77 
SPFISouth Plains Financial 0.27 8 per month 1.42 (0.04) 2.67 (2.22) 7.69 
BOHBank of Hawaii 0.93 9 per month 1.43  0.02  2.30 (2.41) 6.96 
MPBMid Penn Bancorp(0.10)7 per month 1.55  0.04  2.60 (3.20) 7.70 

First Financial Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine First price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for First using various technical indicators. When you analyze First charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.

About First Financial Predictive Indicators

The successful prediction of First Financial stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as First Financial, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of First Financial based on analysis of First Financial hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to First Financial's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to First Financial's related companies.
 2023 2024 2025 2026 (projected)
Dividend Yield0.02990.03890.03510.0199
Price To Sales Ratio1.891.771.61.99

Story Coverage note for First Financial

The number of cover stories for First Financial depends on current market conditions and First Financial's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that First Financial is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about First Financial's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.

First Financial Short Properties

First Financial's future price predictability will typically decrease when First Financial's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of First Financial often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential First Financial's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. First Financial's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding11.8 M
Cash And Short Term Investments820.5 M

Complementary Tools for First Stock analysis

When running First Financial's price analysis, check to measure First Financial's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy First Financial is operating at the current time. Most of First Financial's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of First Financial's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move First Financial's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of First Financial to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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