Travel Leisure Co Stock Price Prediction

Intrinsic Valuation Low Real High 54.12 55.65 57.18 Details

Naive Forecast Low Next High 50.77 52.29 53.82 Details

12 Analysts Consensus Low Target High 45.96 50.50 56.06 Details

Earnings Estimates (0) Low Projected EPS High 1.39 1.43 1.55 Details

Travel Leisure After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis

Travel Leisure Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

Travel Leisure Stock Price Prediction Analysis

Expected Return	Period Volatility	Hype Elasticity	Related Elasticity	News Density	Related Density	Expected Hype
0.39	1.53	0.37	0.25	12 Events / Month	8 Events / Month	In about 12 days

Latest traded price	Expected after-news price	Potential return on next major news	Average after-hype volatility
56.28	55.33	0.67	159.37   Notes

Travel Leisure Hype Timeline

On the 25th of November Travel Leisure is traded for 56.28. The entity has historical hype elasticity of 0.37, and average elasticity to hype of competition of -0.25. Travel is estimated to increase in value after the next headline, with the price projected to jump to 55.33 or above. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company the price is about 159.37%. The price upswing on the next news is projected to be 0.67%, whereas the daily expected return is at this time at 0.39%. The volatility of related hype on Travel Leisure is about 235.06%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 56.03. The company reported the last year's revenue of 3.75 B. Total Income to common stockholders was 391 M with profit before taxes, overhead, and interest of 1.73 B. Considering the 90-day investment horizon the next estimated press release will be in about 12 days. Check out Travel Leisure Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.

Travel Leisure Related Hype Analysis

Travel Leisure Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Travel price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Travel using various technical indicators. When you analyze Travel charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.

The successful prediction of Travel Leisure stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Travel Leisure Co, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Travel Leisure based on analysis of Travel Leisure hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.

The number of cover stories for Travel Leisure depends on current market conditions and Travel Leisure's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Travel Leisure is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Travel Leisure's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.

Travel Leisure's future price predictability will typically decrease when Travel Leisure's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Travel Leisure Co often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Travel Leisure's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Travel Leisure's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.

Check out Travel Leisure Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections. You can also try the Commodity Channel module to use Commodity Channel Index to analyze current equity momentum.

Is Hotels, Resorts & Cruise Lines space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Travel Leisure. If investors know Travel will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Travel Leisure listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.

The market value of Travel Leisure is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Travel that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Travel Leisure's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Travel Leisure's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Travel Leisure's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Travel Leisure's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.

Please note, there is a significant difference between Travel Leisure's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Travel Leisure is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Travel Leisure's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.