Tootsie Roll Industries Stock Price Prediction
| TR Stock | USD 37.48 0.10 0.27% |
Momentum 51
Impartial
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth 0.095 | Wall Street Target Price 19 | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.03 |
Using Tootsie Roll hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Tootsie Roll Industries from the perspective of Tootsie Roll response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards Tootsie Roll using Tootsie Roll's stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards Tootsie using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of Tootsie Roll's stock price.
Tootsie Roll Implied Volatility | 0.44 |
Tootsie Roll's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Tootsie Roll Industries stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Tootsie Roll's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Tootsie Roll stock will not fluctuate a lot when Tootsie Roll's options are near their expiration.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Tootsie Roll to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Tootsie because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
Tootsie Roll after-hype prediction price | USD 37.17 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Prediction based on Rule 16 of the current Tootsie contract
Based on the Rule 16, the options market is currently suggesting that Tootsie Roll Industries will have an average daily up or down price movement of about 0.0275% per day over the life of the 2026-03-20 option contract. With Tootsie Roll trading at USD 37.48, that is roughly USD 0.0103 . If you think that the market is fully incorporating Tootsie Roll's daily price movement you should consider acquiring Tootsie Roll Industries options at the current volatility level of 0.44%. But if you have an opposite viewpoint you should avoid it and even consider selling them.
Check out Tootsie Roll Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections. Tootsie Roll After-Hype Price Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Tootsie Roll at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Tootsie Roll or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Tootsie Roll, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Tootsie Roll Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Tootsie Roll's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Tootsie Roll's historical news coverage. Tootsie Roll's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 35.80 and 38.54, respectively. We have considered Tootsie Roll's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Tootsie Roll is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Tootsie Roll Industries is based on 3 months time horizon.
Tootsie Roll Stock Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Tootsie Roll is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Tootsie Roll backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Tootsie Roll, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.09 | 1.36 | 0.05 | 0.02 | 7 Events / Month | 6 Events / Month | In about 7 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
37.48 | 37.17 | 0.13 |
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Tootsie Roll Hype Timeline
As of January 27, 2026 Tootsie Roll Industries is listed for 37.48. The entity has historical hype elasticity of 0.05, and average elasticity to hype of competition of -0.02. Tootsie is projected to increase in value after the next headline, with the price projected to jump to 37.17 or above. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company the price is over 100%. The price gain on the next news is projected to be 0.13%, whereas the daily expected return is at this time at 0.09%. The volatility of related hype on Tootsie Roll is about 566.67%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 37.46. The company generated the yearly revenue of 723.22 M. Reported Net Income was 86.81 M with gross profit of 263.94 M. Allowing for the 90-day total investment horizon the next projected press release will be in about 7 days. Check out Tootsie Roll Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.Tootsie Roll Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Tootsie Roll's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Tootsie Roll's future price movements. Getting to know how Tootsie Roll's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Tootsie Roll may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| ANDE | The Andersons | (0.94) | 10 per month | 1.16 | 0.20 | 4.37 | (2.24) | 7.65 | |
| UTI | Universal Technical Institute | (0.42) | 8 per month | 0.00 | (0.07) | 4.73 | (4.31) | 25.18 | |
| VITL | Vital Farms | 0.82 | 9 per month | 0.00 | (0.14) | 3.50 | (5.75) | 22.88 | |
| WMK | Weis Markets | (0.38) | 7 per month | 1.23 | (0.03) | 2.23 | (2.09) | 7.02 | |
| JJSF | J J Snack | (0.37) | 10 per month | 1.57 | (0.03) | 2.79 | (2.71) | 9.39 | |
| TPB | Turning Point Brands | 1.24 | 10 per month | 1.25 | 0.22 | 4.03 | (2.51) | 10.86 | |
| IMKTA | Ingles Markets Incorporated | (2.66) | 7 per month | 1.43 | (0.04) | 2.21 | (2.41) | 7.85 | |
| FDP | Fresh Del Monte | 0.11 | 13 per month | 1.46 | 0.07 | 2.19 | (2.57) | 8.48 | |
| NOMD | Nomad Foods | (0.05) | 10 per month | 1.17 | (0.03) | 1.82 | (2.18) | 8.79 | |
| SPB | Spectrum Brands Holdings | 0.25 | 9 per month | 1.55 | 0.09 | 3.51 | (2.75) | 12.60 |
Tootsie Roll Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Tootsie price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Tootsie using various technical indicators. When you analyze Tootsie charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
About Tootsie Roll Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of Tootsie Roll stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Tootsie Roll Industries, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Tootsie Roll based on analysis of Tootsie Roll hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Tootsie Roll's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Tootsie Roll's related companies. | 2023 | 2025 | 2026 (projected) | Dividend Yield | 0.0111 | 0.009959 | 0.007502 | Price To Sales Ratio | 2.93 | 2.87 | 2.67 |
Pair Trading with Tootsie Roll
One of the main advantages of trading using pair correlations is that every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if Tootsie Roll position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in Tootsie Roll will appreciate offsetting losses from the drop in the long position's value.Moving against Tootsie Stock
The ability to find closely correlated positions to Tootsie Roll could be a great tool in your tax-loss harvesting strategies, allowing investors a quick way to find a similar-enough asset to replace Tootsie Roll when you sell it. If you don't do this, your portfolio allocation will be skewed against your target asset allocation. So, investors can't just sell and buy back Tootsie Roll - that would be a violation of the tax code under the "wash sale" rule, and this is why you need to find a similar enough asset and use the proceeds from selling Tootsie Roll Industries to buy it.
The correlation of Tootsie Roll is a statistical measure of how it moves in relation to other instruments. This measure is expressed in what is known as the correlation coefficient, which ranges between -1 and +1. A perfect positive correlation (i.e., a correlation coefficient of +1) implies that as Tootsie Roll moves, either up or down, the other security will move in the same direction. Alternatively, perfect negative correlation means that if Tootsie Roll Industries moves in either direction, the perfectly negatively correlated security will move in the opposite direction. If the correlation is 0, the equities are not correlated; they are entirely random. A correlation greater than 0.8 is generally described as strong, whereas a correlation less than 0.5 is generally considered weak.
Correlation analysis and pair trading evaluation for Tootsie Roll can also be used as hedging techniques within a particular sector or industry or even over random equities to generate a better risk-adjusted return on your portfolios.Additional Tools for Tootsie Stock Analysis
When running Tootsie Roll's price analysis, check to measure Tootsie Roll's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Tootsie Roll is operating at the current time. Most of Tootsie Roll's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Tootsie Roll's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Tootsie Roll's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Tootsie Roll to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.