Twin Disc Incorporated Stock Price Prediction

Intrinsic Valuation Low Real High 10.91 13.38 15.87 Details

Naive Forecast Low Next High 7.85 10.33 12.81 Details

0 Analysts Consensus Low Target High 13.65 15.00 16.65 Details

Twin Disc After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis

Twin Disc Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

Twin Disc Stock Price Prediction Analysis

Expected Return	Period Volatility	Hype Elasticity	Related Elasticity	News Density	Related Density	Expected Hype
0.19	2.48	0.06	0.02	8 Events / Month	8 Events / Month	In about 8 days

Latest traded price	Expected after-news price	Potential return on next major news	Average after-hype volatility
11.42	11.48	0.53	729.41   Notes

Twin Disc Hype Timeline

Twin Disc is at this time traded for 11.42. The entity has historical hype elasticity of 0.06, and average elasticity to hype of competition of -0.02. Twin is forecasted to increase in value after the next headline, with the price projected to jump to 11.48 or above. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company the price is over 100%. The price boost on the next news is projected to be 0.53%, whereas the daily expected return is at this time at -0.19%. The volatility of related hype on Twin Disc is about 3100.0%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 11.40. The company reported the previous year's revenue of 295.13 M. Net Income was 10.99 M with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 74.33 M. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next forecasted press release will be in about 8 days. Check out Twin Disc Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.

Twin Disc Related Hype Analysis

Twin Disc Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Twin price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Twin using various technical indicators. When you analyze Twin charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.

The successful prediction of Twin Disc stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Twin Disc Incorporated, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Twin Disc based on analysis of Twin Disc hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.

The number of cover stories for Twin Disc depends on current market conditions and Twin Disc's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Twin Disc is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Twin Disc's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.

Twin Disc's future price predictability will typically decrease when Twin Disc's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Twin Disc Incorporated often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Twin Disc's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Twin Disc's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.

Check out Twin Disc Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections. You can also try the Stock Screener module to find equities using a custom stock filter or screen asymmetry in trading patterns, price, volume, or investment outlook..

Is Construction Machinery & Heavy Transportation Equipment space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Twin Disc. If investors know Twin will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Twin Disc listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.

The market value of Twin Disc is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Twin that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Twin Disc's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Twin Disc's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Twin Disc's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Twin Disc's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.

Please note, there is a significant difference between Twin Disc's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Twin Disc is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Twin Disc's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.