Unitedhealth Group Incorporated Stock Price Prediction

UNH Stock  USD 597.49  3.01  0.50%   
The relative strength index (RSI) of UnitedHealth Group's the stock price is under 68. This usually implies that the stock is rather overbought by investors as of 22nd of November 2024. The main point of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to track how fast people are buying or selling UnitedHealth, making its price go up or down.

Oversold Vs Overbought

68

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
The successful prediction of UnitedHealth Group's future price could yield a significant profit. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with UnitedHealth Group Incorporated, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed. Below are the key fundamental drivers impacting UnitedHealth Group's stock price prediction:
Quarterly Earnings Growth
0.043
EPS Estimate Next Quarter
6.94
EPS Estimate Current Year
27.6099
EPS Estimate Next Year
30.0244
Wall Street Target Price
623.9341
Using UnitedHealth Group hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of UnitedHealth Group Incorporated from the perspective of UnitedHealth Group response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.

UnitedHealth Group Hype to Price Pattern

Investor biases related to UnitedHealth Group's public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in UnitedHealth. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding UnitedHealth can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around UnitedHealth Group Incorporated. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of UnitedHealth Group's market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about UnitedHealth Group.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in UnitedHealth Group to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying UnitedHealth because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.

UnitedHealth Group after-hype prediction price

    
  USD 597.83  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
  
Check out UnitedHealth Group Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
525.39527.05657.24
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
584.85586.51588.18
Details
28 Analysts
Consensus
LowTargetHigh
507.95558.19619.59
Details
Earnings
Estimates (0)
LowProjected EPSHigh
6.836.906.94
Details

UnitedHealth Group After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis

As far as predicting the price of UnitedHealth Group at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in UnitedHealth Group or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of UnitedHealth Group, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
   Next price density   
       Expected price to next headline  

UnitedHealth Group Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

In the context of predicting UnitedHealth Group's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on UnitedHealth Group's historical news coverage. UnitedHealth Group's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 596.17 and 599.49, respectively. We have considered UnitedHealth Group's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
597.49
596.17
Downside
597.83
After-hype Price
599.49
Upside
UnitedHealth Group is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of UnitedHealth Group is based on 3 months time horizon.

UnitedHealth Group Stock Price Prediction Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as UnitedHealth Group is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading UnitedHealth Group backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with UnitedHealth Group, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected ReturnPeriod VolatilityHype ElasticityRelated ElasticityNews DensityRelated DensityExpected Hype
  0.05 
1.66
  0.34 
  0.14 
9 Events / Month
5 Events / Month
In about 9 days
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
597.49
597.83
0.06 
24.56  
Notes

UnitedHealth Group Hype Timeline

On the 22nd of November UnitedHealth Group is traded for 597.49. The entity has historical hype elasticity of 0.34, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.14. UnitedHealth is estimated to increase in value after the next headline, with the price projected to jump to 597.83 or above. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company the price is about 24.56%. The price growth on the next news is projected to be 0.06%, whereas the daily expected return is at this time at 0.05%. The volatility of related hype on UnitedHealth Group is about 57.64%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 597.63. The company reported the last year's revenue of 371.62 B. Total Income to common stockholders was 22.38 B with profit before taxes, overhead, and interest of 79.62 B. Considering the 90-day investment horizon the next estimated press release will be in about 9 days.
Check out UnitedHealth Group Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.

UnitedHealth Group Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to UnitedHealth Group's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict UnitedHealth Group's future price movements. Getting to know how UnitedHealth Group's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how UnitedHealth Group may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
Hype
Elasticity
News
Density
Semi
Deviation
Information
Ratio
Potential
Upside
Value
At Risk
Maximum
Drawdown
CICigna Corp(2.13)10 per month 0.00 (0.09) 2.07 (2.89) 9.74 
HUMHumana Inc 10.44 9 per month 0.00 (0.11) 3.69 (3.94) 14.35 
ELVElevance Health 16.05 10 per month 0.00 (0.29) 1.97 (2.93) 13.29 
CNCCentene Corp 0.41 9 per month 0.00 (0.20) 2.38 (4.00) 12.57 
MOHMolina Healthcare(5.28)10 per month 0.00 (0.09) 3.52 (3.81) 21.48 
CVSCVS Health Corp 0.38 8 per month 2.46 (0.04) 3.35 (3.45) 18.70 
ALHCAlignment Healthcare LLC 0.29 11 per month 3.82  0.1  8.66 (4.65) 34.84 

UnitedHealth Group Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine UnitedHealth price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for UnitedHealth using various technical indicators. When you analyze UnitedHealth charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.

About UnitedHealth Group Predictive Indicators

The successful prediction of UnitedHealth Group stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as UnitedHealth Group Incorporated, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of UnitedHealth Group based on analysis of UnitedHealth Group hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to UnitedHealth Group's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to UnitedHealth Group's related companies.
 2021 2022 2024 (projected)
Dividend Yield0.01120.01210.0145
Price To Sales Ratio1.661.541.17

Story Coverage note for UnitedHealth Group

The number of cover stories for UnitedHealth Group depends on current market conditions and UnitedHealth Group's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that UnitedHealth Group is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about UnitedHealth Group's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.

UnitedHealth Group Short Properties

UnitedHealth Group's future price predictability will typically decrease when UnitedHealth Group's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of UnitedHealth Group Incorporated often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential UnitedHealth Group's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. UnitedHealth Group's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding938 M
Cash And Short Term Investments29.6 B

Complementary Tools for UnitedHealth Stock analysis

When running UnitedHealth Group's price analysis, check to measure UnitedHealth Group's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy UnitedHealth Group is operating at the current time. Most of UnitedHealth Group's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of UnitedHealth Group's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move UnitedHealth Group's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of UnitedHealth Group to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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