UnitedHealth Group Stock Forecast - Naive Prediction
| UNH Stock | USD 331.02 7.94 2.34% |
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of UnitedHealth Group Incorporated on the next trading day is expected to be 335.02 with a mean absolute deviation of 5.73 and the sum of the absolute errors of 349.37. UnitedHealth Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of UnitedHealth Group's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
As of 18th of January 2026 the relative strength index (rsi) of UnitedHealth Group's share price is below 20 . This usually implies that the stock is significantly oversold. The fundamental principle of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to quantify the velocity at which market participants are driving the price of a financial instrument upwards or downwards. Momentum 0
Sell Peaked
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.60) | EPS Estimate Next Quarter 2.1054 | EPS Estimate Current Year 16.3237 | EPS Estimate Next Year 17.7537 | Wall Street Target Price 393.8462 |
Using UnitedHealth Group hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of UnitedHealth Group Incorporated from the perspective of UnitedHealth Group response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards UnitedHealth Group using UnitedHealth Group's stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards UnitedHealth using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of UnitedHealth Group's stock price.
UnitedHealth Group Short Interest
A significant increase or decrease in UnitedHealth Group's short interest from the previous month could be a good indicator of investor sentiment towards UnitedHealth. Short interest can provide insight into the potential direction of UnitedHealth Group stock and how bullish or bearish investors feel about the market overall.
200 Day MA 340.7451 | Short Percent 0.0154 | Short Ratio 2.26 | Shares Short Prior Month 12.9 M | 50 Day MA 330.0738 |
UnitedHealth Group Hype to Price Pattern
Investor biases related to UnitedHealth Group's public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in UnitedHealth. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding UnitedHealth can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around UnitedHealth Group Incorporated. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of UnitedHealth Group's market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about UnitedHealth Group.
UnitedHealth Group Implied Volatility | 0.45 |
UnitedHealth Group's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of UnitedHealth Group Incorporated stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if UnitedHealth Group's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that UnitedHealth Group stock will not fluctuate a lot when UnitedHealth Group's options are near their expiration.
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of UnitedHealth Group Incorporated on the next trading day is expected to be 335.02 with a mean absolute deviation of 5.73 and the sum of the absolute errors of 349.37. UnitedHealth Group after-hype prediction price | USD 331.11 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
UnitedHealth | Build AI portfolio with UnitedHealth Stock |
Open Interest Against 2026-04-17 UnitedHealth Option Contracts
Although open interest is a measure utilized in the options markets, it could be used to forecast UnitedHealth Group's spot prices because the number of available contracts in the market changes daily, and new contracts can be created or liquidated at will. Since open interest in UnitedHealth Group's options reflects these daily shifts, investors could use the patterns of these changes to develop long and short-term trading strategies for UnitedHealth Group stock based on available contracts left at the end of a trading day.
Please note that to derive more accurate forecasting about market movement from the current UnitedHealth Group's open interest, investors have to compare it to UnitedHealth Group's spot prices. As Ford's stock price increases, high open interest indicates that money is entering the market, and the market is strongly bullish. Conversely, if the price of UnitedHealth Group is decreasing and there is high open interest, that is a sign that the bearish trend will continue, and investors may react by taking short positions in UnitedHealth. So, decreasing or low open interest during a bull market indicates that investors are becoming uncertain of the depth of the bullish trend, and a reversal in sentiment will likely follow.
UnitedHealth Group Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine UnitedHealth price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for UnitedHealth using various technical indicators. When you analyze UnitedHealth charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
UnitedHealth Group Cash Forecast
Predicting cash flow or other financial metrics requires analysts to utilize a variety of statistical methods, techniques, and algorithms. These tools help uncover hidden patterns in the UnitedHealth Group's financial statements, enabling forecasts of their impact on future stock prices.
Cash | First Reported 1985-12-31 | Previous Quarter 28.6 B | Current Value 27.2 B | Quarterly Volatility 9.7 B |
UnitedHealth Group Naive Prediction Price Forecast For the 19th of January
Given 90 days horizon, the Naive Prediction forecasted value of UnitedHealth Group Incorporated on the next trading day is expected to be 335.02 with a mean absolute deviation of 5.73, mean absolute percentage error of 47.40, and the sum of the absolute errors of 349.37.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict UnitedHealth Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that UnitedHealth Group's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
UnitedHealth Group Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest UnitedHealth Group | UnitedHealth Group Price Prediction | Buy or Sell Advice |
UnitedHealth Group Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting UnitedHealth Group's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. UnitedHealth Group's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 333.37 and 336.68, respectively. We have considered UnitedHealth Group's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Naive Prediction forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of UnitedHealth Group stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent UnitedHealth Group stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 121.969 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | None |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 5.7274 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0172 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 349.3732 |
Predictive Modules for UnitedHealth Group
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as UnitedHealth Group. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Other Forecasting Options for UnitedHealth Group
For every potential investor in UnitedHealth, whether a beginner or expert, UnitedHealth Group's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. UnitedHealth Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in UnitedHealth. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying UnitedHealth Group's price trends.UnitedHealth Group Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with UnitedHealth Group stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of UnitedHealth Group could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing UnitedHealth Group by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
UnitedHealth Group Technical and Predictive Analytics
The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of UnitedHealth Group's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of UnitedHealth Group's current price.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
UnitedHealth Group Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how UnitedHealth Group stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading UnitedHealth Group shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying UnitedHealth Group stock market strength indicators, traders can identify UnitedHealth Group Incorporated entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
| Accumulation Distribution | 0.0172 | |||
| Daily Balance Of Power | (1.38) | |||
| Rate Of Daily Change | 0.98 | |||
| Day Median Price | 333.32 | |||
| Day Typical Price | 332.55 | |||
| Market Facilitation Index | 5.77 | |||
| Price Action Indicator | (6.27) | |||
| Period Momentum Indicator | (7.94) |
UnitedHealth Group Risk Indicators
The analysis of UnitedHealth Group's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in UnitedHealth Group's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting unitedhealth stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 1.32 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 1.65 | |||
| Variance | 2.72 |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Currently Active Assets on Macroaxis
When determining whether UnitedHealth Group offers a strong return on investment in its stock, a comprehensive analysis is essential. The process typically begins with a thorough review of UnitedHealth Group's financial statements, including income statements, balance sheets, and cash flow statements, to assess its financial health. Key financial ratios are used to gauge profitability, efficiency, and growth potential of Unitedhealth Group Incorporated Stock. Outlined below are crucial reports that will aid in making a well-informed decision on Unitedhealth Group Incorporated Stock:Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of UnitedHealth Group to cross-verify your projections. You can also try the Watchlist Optimization module to optimize watchlists to build efficient portfolios or rebalance existing positions based on the mean-variance optimization algorithm.
Is Health Care Providers & Services space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of UnitedHealth Group. If investors know UnitedHealth will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about UnitedHealth Group listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.60) | Dividend Share 8.62 | Earnings Share 19.2 | Revenue Per Share | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.122 |
The market value of UnitedHealth Group is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of UnitedHealth that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of UnitedHealth Group's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is UnitedHealth Group's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because UnitedHealth Group's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect UnitedHealth Group's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between UnitedHealth Group's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if UnitedHealth Group is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, UnitedHealth Group's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.