United Rentals Stock Price Prediction

URI Stock  USD 864.39  15.07  1.77%   
The relative strength index (RSI) of United Rentals' the stock price is under 63. This usually implies that the stock is rather overbought by investors as of 25th of November 2024. The main point of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to track how fast people are buying or selling United, making its price go up or down.

Oversold Vs Overbought

63

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
The successful prediction of United Rentals' future price could yield a significant profit. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with United Rentals, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed. Below are the key fundamental drivers impacting United Rentals' stock price prediction:
Quarterly Earnings Growth
0.04
EPS Estimate Next Quarter
11.93
EPS Estimate Current Year
43.2714
EPS Estimate Next Year
46.8751
Wall Street Target Price
830.056
Using United Rentals hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of United Rentals from the perspective of United Rentals response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.

United Rentals Hype to Price Pattern

Investor biases related to United Rentals' public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in United. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding United can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around United Rentals. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of United Rentals' market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about United Rentals.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in United Rentals to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying United because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.

United Rentals after-hype prediction price

    
  USD 861.02  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
  
Check out United Rentals Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
For more detail on how to invest in United Stock please use our How to Invest in United Rentals guide.
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
566.66568.67950.83
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
823.49825.49827.50
Details
23 Analysts
Consensus
LowTargetHigh
429.29471.75523.64
Details
Earnings
Estimates (0)
LowProjected EPSHigh
10.1811.6511.09
Details

United Rentals After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis

As far as predicting the price of United Rentals at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in United Rentals or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of United Rentals, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
   Next price density   
       Expected price to next headline  

United Rentals Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

In the context of predicting United Rentals' stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on United Rentals' historical news coverage. United Rentals' after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 859.01 and 950.83, respectively. We have considered United Rentals' daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
864.39
859.01
Downside
861.02
After-hype Price
950.83
Upside
United Rentals is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of United Rentals is based on 3 months time horizon.

United Rentals Stock Price Prediction Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as United Rentals is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading United Rentals backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with United Rentals, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected ReturnPeriod VolatilityHype ElasticityRelated ElasticityNews DensityRelated DensityExpected Hype
  0.25 
2.01
  3.37 
  0.09 
9 Events / Month
9 Events / Month
In about 9 days
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
864.39
861.02
0.39 
14.93  
Notes

United Rentals Hype Timeline

On the 25th of November United Rentals is traded for 864.39. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -3.37, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.09. United is projected to decline in value after the next headline, with the price expected to drop to 861.02. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company price is about 14.93%. The price depreciation on the next news is expected to be -0.39%, whereas the daily expected return is at this time at 0.25%. The volatility of related hype on United Rentals is about 538.76%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 864.48. About 97.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by institutional investors. The company has Price/Earnings To Growth (PEG) ratio of 1.82. United Rentals recorded earning per share (EPS) of 38.22. The entity last dividend was issued on the 13th of November 2024. Considering the 90-day investment horizon the next projected press release will be in about 9 days.
Check out United Rentals Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
For more detail on how to invest in United Stock please use our How to Invest in United Rentals guide.

United Rentals Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to United Rentals' direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict United Rentals' future price movements. Getting to know how United Rentals' peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how United Rentals may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
Hype
Elasticity
News
Density
Semi
Deviation
Information
Ratio
Potential
Upside
Value
At Risk
Maximum
Drawdown
HEESHE Equipment Services 0.46 6 per month 2.04  0.10  3.67 (3.22) 15.53 
GATXGATX Corporation(0.27)8 per month 0.91  0.07  2.79 (1.44) 8.69 
MGRCMcGrath RentCorp(2.96)7 per month 1.53  0.05  3.07 (3.05) 11.62 
ALTGAlta Equipment Group 0.43 7 per month 3.64  0.08  6.88 (5.48) 25.52 
RRyder System(2.36)8 per month 1.46  0.09  3.32 (2.64) 7.72 
HTZHertz Global Holdings 0.05 10 per month 4.23  0.08  8.61 (7.91) 21.19 
HRIHerc Holdings 7.88 9 per month 1.14  0.20  6.47 (2.36) 20.05 
HTZWWHertz Global Hldgs 0.02 3 per month 3.88 (0) 6.22 (6.57) 17.18 
ALAir Lease 1.16 7 per month 1.34  0.04  2.92 (2.41) 7.58 
AANThe Aarons(0.01)9 per month 0.24 (0.26) 0.61 (0.40) 1.81 
TRTNTriton International Group 0.07 1 per month 0.37 (0.22) 0.73 (0.63) 2.44 
UHAL-BU Haul Holding 0.30 3 per month 0.00 (0.13) 2.32 (2.69) 7.59 
CTOSCustom Truck One 0.08 8 per month 2.69  0.09  8.95 (4.61) 17.86 

United Rentals Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine United price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for United using various technical indicators. When you analyze United charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.

About United Rentals Predictive Indicators

The successful prediction of United Rentals stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as United Rentals, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of United Rentals based on analysis of United Rentals hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to United Rentals's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to United Rentals's related companies.
 2023 2024 (projected)
Dividend Yield0.0093070.008841
Price To Sales Ratio2.742.88

Story Coverage note for United Rentals

The number of cover stories for United Rentals depends on current market conditions and United Rentals' risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that United Rentals is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about United Rentals' long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.

United Rentals Short Properties

United Rentals' future price predictability will typically decrease when United Rentals' long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of United Rentals often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential United Rentals' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. United Rentals' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding68.7 M
Cash And Short Term Investments363 M

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When running United Rentals' price analysis, check to measure United Rentals' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy United Rentals is operating at the current time. Most of United Rentals' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of United Rentals' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move United Rentals' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of United Rentals to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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