BAXTER INTL INC Price Prediction

071813BQ1   91.81  4.93  5.10%   
The relative strength indicator of BAXTER's bond price is about 60. This usually implies that the bond is rather overbought by investors at this time. The main point of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to track how fast people are buying or selling BAXTER, making its price go up or down.

Oversold Vs Overbought

60

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
The successful prediction of BAXTER's future price could yield a significant profit. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with BAXTER INTL INC, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed.
Using BAXTER hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of BAXTER INTL INC from the perspective of BAXTER response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in BAXTER to buy its bond at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying BAXTER because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell bonds at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.

BAXTER after-hype prediction price

    
  $ 91.81  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as bond price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
  
Check out BAXTER Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
88.4989.18100.99
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
90.0690.7591.44
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
90.9294.8798.81
Details

BAXTER After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis

As far as predicting the price of BAXTER at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in BAXTER or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Bond prices, such as prices of BAXTER, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
   Next price density   
       Expected price to next headline  

BAXTER Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

In the context of predicting BAXTER's bond value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on BAXTER's historical news coverage. BAXTER's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 91.12 and 92.50, respectively. We have considered BAXTER's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
91.81
91.81
After-hype Price
92.50
Upside
BAXTER is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of BAXTER INTL INC is based on 3 months time horizon.

BAXTER Bond Price Prediction Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Corporate Bond such as BAXTER is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading BAXTER backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Bond price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with BAXTER, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected ReturnPeriod VolatilityHype ElasticityRelated ElasticityNews DensityRelated DensityExpected Hype
  0.08 
0.69
  0.06 
  0.21 
20 Events / Month
5 Events / Month
In about 20 days
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
91.81
91.81
0.00 
87.34  
Notes

BAXTER Hype Timeline

BAXTER INTL INC is at this time traded for 91.81. The entity has historical hype elasticity of 0.06, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.21. BAXTER is forecasted not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is about 87.34%. The immediate return on the next news is forecasted to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is at this time at -0.08%. %. The volatility of related hype on BAXTER is about 26.2%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 92.02. Assuming the 90 days trading horizon the next forecasted press release will be in about 20 days.
Check out BAXTER Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.

BAXTER Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to BAXTER's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict BAXTER's future price movements. Getting to know how BAXTER's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how BAXTER may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.

BAXTER Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine BAXTER price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for BAXTER using various technical indicators. When you analyze BAXTER charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.

About BAXTER Predictive Indicators

The successful prediction of BAXTER stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as BAXTER INTL INC, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of BAXTER based on analysis of BAXTER hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to BAXTER's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to BAXTER's related companies.

Story Coverage note for BAXTER

The number of cover stories for BAXTER depends on current market conditions and BAXTER's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that BAXTER is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about BAXTER's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.

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Other Information on Investing in BAXTER Bond

BAXTER financial ratios help investors to determine whether BAXTER Bond is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in BAXTER with respect to the benefits of owning BAXTER security.