Applied Opt Stock Beneish M Score

AAOI Stock  USD 37.99  2.49  7.01%   
This module uses fundamental data of Applied Opt to approximate the value of its Beneish M Score. Applied Opt M Score tells investors if the company management is likely to be manipulating earnings. The score is calculated using eight financial indicators that are adjusted by a specific multiplier. Please note, the M Score is a probabilistic model and cannot detect companies that manipulate their earnings with 100% accuracy. Check out Applied Opt Piotroski F Score and Applied Opt Altman Z Score analysis.
For more detail on how to invest in Applied Stock please use our How to Invest in Applied Opt guide.
  
As of now, Applied Opt's Debt Equity Ratio is decreasing as compared to previous years. The Applied Opt's current Debt Ratio is estimated to increase to 0.30, while Short and Long Term Debt Total is projected to decrease to under 89.5 M. As of now, Applied Opt's Inventory Turnover is decreasing as compared to previous years. The Applied Opt's current Cash Per Share is estimated to increase to 1.80, while Price To Sales Ratio is projected to decrease to 1.58.
At this time, it appears that Applied Opt is an unlikely manipulator. The earnings manipulation may begin if Applied Opt's top management creates an artificial sense of financial success, forcing the stock price to be traded at a high price-earnings multiple than it should be. In general, excessive earnings management by Applied Opt executives may lead to removing some of the operating profits from subsequent periods to inflate earnings in the following periods. This way, the manipulation of Applied Opt's earnings can lead to misrepresentations of actual financial condition, taking the otherwise loyal stakeholders on to the path of questionable ethical practices and plain fraud.
-3.64
Beneish M Score - Unlikely Manipulator
Elasticity of Receivables

0.99

Focus
Asset Quality

-1.12

Focus
Expense Coverage

0.64

Focus
Gross Margin Strengs

1.18

Focus
Accruals Factor

0.64

Focus
Depreciation Resistance

0.92

Focus
Net Sales Growth

0.92

Focus
Financial Leverage Condition

0.84

Focus

Applied Opt Beneish M-Score Indicator Trends

The cure to earnings manipulation is the transparency of financial reporting. It will typically remove the temptation of the top executives to inflate earnings (i.e., to promote the idea of 'winning at any cost'). Because a healthy internal audit department can enhance transparency, the board should promote the auditors' access to all the record-keeping systems across the enterprise. For example, if Applied Opt's auditors report directly to the board (not management), the managers will be reluctant to manipulate simply due to the fear of punishment. On the other hand, the auditors will be free to investigate the ledgers properly because they know that the board has their back.
Current ValueLast YearChange From Last Year 10 Year Trend
Net Receivables43.7 M48.3 M
Moderately Down
Slightly volatile
Total Revenue199.5 M217.6 M
Significantly Down
Slightly volatile
Total Assets349.4 M389.2 M
Moderately Down
Slightly volatile
Total Current Assets164.6 M172.6 M
Sufficiently Down
Slightly volatile
Non Current Assets Total184.8 M216.6 M
Fairly Down
Slightly volatile
Property Plant Equipment164.9 M248.1 M
Way Down
Slightly volatile
Depreciation And Amortization14.9 M20.4 M
Way Down
Slightly volatile
Selling General Administrative31.3 M53.2 M
Way Down
Slightly volatile
Total Current Liabilities81.3 M93.4 M
Fairly Down
Slightly volatile
Non Current Liabilities Total57.4 M81 M
Way Down
Slightly volatile
Short Term Debt34 M40.1 M
Fairly Down
Slightly volatile
Long Term Debt53.3 M76.2 M
Way Down
Slightly volatile
Gross Profit Margin0.320.2707
Fairly Up
Slightly volatile

Applied Opt Beneish M-Score Driver Matrix

One of the toughest challenges investors face today is learning how to quickly synthesize historical financial statements and information provided by the company, SEC reporting, and various external parties in order to detect the potential manipulation of earnings. Understanding the correlation between Applied Opt's different financial indicators related to revenue, expenses, operating profit, and net earnings helps investors identify and prioritize their investing strategies towards Applied Opt in a much-optimized way. Analyzing correlations between earnings drivers directly associated with dollar figures is the most effective way to find Applied Opt's degree of accounting gimmicks and manipulations.

About Applied Opt Beneish M Score

M-Score is one of many grading techniques for value stocks. It was developed by Professor M. Daniel Beneish of the Kelley School of Business at Indiana University and published in 1999 under the paper titled The Detection of Earnings Manipulation. The Beneish score is a multi-factor model that utilizes financial identifiers to compile eight variables used to classify whether a company has manipulated its reported earnings. The variables are built from the officially filed financial statements to create a final score call 'M Score.' The score helps to identify companies that are likely to manipulate their profits if they show deteriorating gross margins, operating expenses, and leverage against growing revenue.

Depreciation And Amortization

14.86 Million

As of now, Applied Opt's Depreciation And Amortization is increasing as compared to previous years.

Applied Opt Earnings Manipulation Drivers

Although earnings manipulation is typically not the result of intentional misconduct by the c-level executives, it is still a widespread practice by the senior management of public companies such as Applied Opt. It is usually done by a series of misrepresentations of various accounting rules and operating activities across multiple financial cycles. The best way to spot the manipulation is to examine the historical financial statement to find inconsistencies in earning reports to find trends in assets or liabilities that are not sustainable in the future.
201920202021202220232024 (projected)
Net Receivables34.7M43.4M56.1M61.5M48.3M43.7M
Total Revenue190.9M234.6M211.6M222.8M217.6M199.5M
Total Assets466.8M480.8M454.5M408.3M389.2M349.4M
Total Current Assets192.8M209.2M194.1M183.2M172.6M164.6M
Net Debt67.2M111.5M101.5M114.4M75.7M45.6M
Short Term Debt40.7M55.2M59.0M70.5M40.1M34.0M
Long Term Debt93.6M77.9M83.7M79.5M76.2M53.3M
Operating Income(48.7M)(46.1M)(56.8M)(59.0M)(41.3M)(39.3M)
Investments(32.1M)(19.3M)(10.5M)(3.8M)(5.8M)(6.1M)

Applied Opt ESG Sustainability

Some studies have found that companies with high sustainability scores are getting higher valuations than competitors with lower social-engagement activities. While most ESG disclosures are voluntary and do not directly affect the long term financial condition, Applied Opt's sustainability indicators can be used to identify proper investment strategies using environmental, social, and governance scores that are crucial to Applied Opt's managers, analysts, and investors.
Environmental
Governance
Social

About Applied Opt Fundamental Analysis

The Macroaxis Fundamental Analysis modules help investors analyze Applied Opt's financials across various querterly and yearly statements, indicators and fundamental ratios. We help investors to determine the real value of Applied Opt using virtually all public information available. We use both quantitative as well as qualitative analysis to arrive at the intrinsic value of Applied Opt based on its fundamental data. In general, a quantitative approach, as applied to this company, focuses on analyzing financial statements comparatively, whereas a qaualitative method uses data that is important to a company's growth but cannot be measured and presented in a numerical way.
Please read more on our fundamental analysis page.

Currently Active Assets on Macroaxis

When determining whether Applied Opt offers a strong return on investment in its stock, a comprehensive analysis is essential. The process typically begins with a thorough review of Applied Opt's financial statements, including income statements, balance sheets, and cash flow statements, to assess its financial health. Key financial ratios are used to gauge profitability, efficiency, and growth potential of Applied Opt Stock. Outlined below are crucial reports that will aid in making a well-informed decision on Applied Opt Stock:
Check out Applied Opt Piotroski F Score and Applied Opt Altman Z Score analysis.
For more detail on how to invest in Applied Stock please use our How to Invest in Applied Opt guide.
You can also try the Equity Analysis module to research over 250,000 global equities including funds, stocks and ETFs to find investment opportunities.
Is Communications Equipment space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Applied Opt. If investors know Applied will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Applied Opt listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Earnings Share
(2.04)
Revenue Per Share
5.35
Quarterly Revenue Growth
0.042
Return On Assets
(0.11)
Return On Equity
(0.41)
The market value of Applied Opt is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Applied that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Applied Opt's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Applied Opt's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Applied Opt's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Applied Opt's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Applied Opt's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Applied Opt is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Applied Opt's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.