Applied Opt Stock Performance
| AAOI Stock | USD 43.61 4.04 10.21% |
On a scale of 0 to 100, Applied Opt holds a performance score of 7. The firm shows a Beta (market volatility) of 2.33, which signifies a somewhat significant risk relative to the market. As the market goes up, the company is expected to outperform it. However, if the market returns are negative, Applied Opt will likely underperform. Please check Applied Opt's sortino ratio, skewness, price action indicator, as well as the relationship between the potential upside and rate of daily change , to make a quick decision on whether Applied Opt's price patterns will revert.
Risk-Adjusted Performance
Fair
Weak | Strong |
Compared to the overall equity markets, risk-adjusted returns on investments in Applied Opt are ranked lower than 7 (%) of all global equities and portfolios over the last 90 days. Despite fairly unfluctuating basic indicators, Applied Opt demonstrated solid returns over the last few months and may actually be approaching a breakup point. ...more
Actual Historical Performance (%)
One Day Return 10.21 | Five Day Return 22.6 | Year To Date Return 10.13 | Ten Year Return 173.07 | All Time Return 337.85 |
1 | Applied Optoelectronics stock tanks amid soft datacenter revenue, weak Q4 outlook | 11/07/2025 |
2 | Applied Optoelectronics to Present at the Raymond James 2025 TMT Consumer Conference | 11/25/2025 |
3 | Disposition of 600 shares by Black Richard B of Applied Opt subject to Rule 16b-3 | 11/26/2025 |
4 | Disposition of 1000 shares by Stefan Murry of Applied Opt subject to Rule 16b-3 | 12/11/2025 |
5 | Disposition of 12500 shares by David Kuo of Applied Opt at 40.15 subject to Rule 16b-3 | 12/23/2025 |
6 | Disposition of 3000 shares by Stefan Murry of Applied Opt at 33.7473 subject to Rule 16b-3 | 01/12/2026 |
7 | Disposition of 934 shares by Stefan Murry of Applied Opt at 35.0005 subject to Rule 16b-3 | 01/13/2026 |
8 | Western Digital Corporation A Bull Case Theory | 01/14/2026 |
9 | Disposition of 850 shares by Chang Hung-lun of Applied Opt at 38.38 subject to Rule 16b-3 | 01/22/2026 |
10 | Zacks Investment Ideas feature highlights Applied Optoelectronics,Amazon, Oracle and Microsoft | 01/29/2026 |
| Begin Period Cash Flow | 55.1 M | |
| Total Cashflows From Investing Activities | -50.7 M |
Applied Opt Relative Risk vs. Return Landscape
If you would invest 3,304 in Applied Opt on November 2, 2025 and sell it today you would earn a total of 1,057 from holding Applied Opt or generate 31.99% return on investment over 90 days. Applied Opt is currently generating 0.7495% in daily expected returns and assumes 7.9198% risk (volatility on return distribution) over the 90 days horizon. In different words, 71% of stocks are less volatile than Applied, and 85% of all traded equity instruments are projected to make higher returns than the company over the 90 days investment horizon. Expected Return |
| Risk |
Applied Opt Target Price Odds to finish over Current Price
The tendency of Applied Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to move above the current price in 90 days |
| 43.61 | 90 days | 43.61 | under 4 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Applied Opt to move above the current price in 90 days from now is under 4 (This Applied Opt probability density function shows the probability of Applied Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days the stock has the beta coefficient of 2.33 . This suggests as the benchmark fluctuates upward, the company is expected to outperform it on average. However, if the benchmark returns are projected to be negative, Applied Opt will likely underperform. Additionally Applied Opt has an alpha of 0.4375, implying that it can generate a 0.44 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Applied Opt Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Applied Opt
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Applied Opt. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Applied Opt Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Applied Opt is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Applied Opt's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Applied Opt, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Applied Opt within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.44 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 2.33 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 6.46 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.06 |
Applied Opt Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Applied Opt for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Applied Opt can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Applied Opt is way too risky over 90 days horizon | |
| Applied Opt appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues | |
| The company reported the previous year's revenue of 249.37 M. Net Loss for the year was (186.73 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 123.7 M. | |
| Applied Opt currently holds about 26.27 M in cash with (69.53 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 0.92. | |
| Roughly 64.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies | |
| Latest headline from news.google.com: Fintech Pagaya lines up 720M to fund more point-of-sale loans - Stock Titan |
Applied Opt Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Applied Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Applied Opt's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Applied Opt's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 41.5 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 67.4 M |
Applied Opt Fundamentals Growth
Applied Stock prices reflect investors' perceptions of the future prospects and financial health of Applied Opt, and Applied Opt fundamentals are critical determinants of its market performance. Overall, investors pay close attention to revenue and earnings growth, profit margins, and debt levels. These fundamentals can have a significant impact on Applied Stock performance.
| Return On Equity | -0.4 | ||||
| Return On Asset | -0.0446 | ||||
| Profit Margin | (0.37) % | ||||
| Operating Margin | (0.15) % | ||||
| Current Valuation | 2.8 B | ||||
| Shares Outstanding | 68.28 M | ||||
| Price To Earning | 25.66 X | ||||
| Price To Book | 5.33 X | ||||
| Price To Sales | 7.06 X | ||||
| Revenue | 249.37 M | ||||
| Gross Profit | 123.7 M | ||||
| EBITDA | (159.26 M) | ||||
| Net Income | (186.73 M) | ||||
| Cash And Equivalents | 26.27 M | ||||
| Cash Per Share | 0.92 X | ||||
| Total Debt | 190.86 M | ||||
| Debt To Equity | 0.76 % | ||||
| Current Ratio | 1.43 X | ||||
| Book Value Per Share | 8.21 X | ||||
| Cash Flow From Operations | (69.53 M) | ||||
| Earnings Per Share | (3.46) X | ||||
| Market Capitalization | 2.98 B | ||||
| Total Asset | 547.03 M | ||||
| Retained Earnings | (451.85 M) | ||||
| Working Capital | 131.2 M | ||||
| Current Asset | 153.93 M | ||||
| Current Liabilities | 74.08 M | ||||
About Applied Opt Performance
By evaluating Applied Opt's fundamental ratios, stakeholders can gain valuable insights into Applied Opt's financial health, operational efficiency, and overall profitability, helping them make informed investment and management decisions. For instance, if Applied Opt has a high ROA and ROE, it suggests that the company is efficiently using its assets and equity to generate substantial profits, making it an attractive investment. Conversely, if Applied Opt has a low ROA and ROE, it may indicate underlying issues in asset and equity management, signaling a need for operational improvements. Please also refer to our technical analysis and fundamental analysis pages.
| Last Reported | Projected for Next Year | ||
| Days Of Inventory On Hand | 154.36 | 126.95 | |
| Return On Tangible Assets | (0.40) | (0.38) | |
| Return On Capital Employed | (0.22) | (0.21) | |
| Return On Assets | (0.39) | (0.37) | |
| Return On Equity | (0.94) | (0.89) |
Things to note about Applied Opt performance evaluation
Checking the ongoing alerts about Applied Opt for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Stock alerts and notifications screener for Applied Opt help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Applied Opt is way too risky over 90 days horizon | |
| Applied Opt appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues | |
| The company reported the previous year's revenue of 249.37 M. Net Loss for the year was (186.73 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 123.7 M. | |
| Applied Opt currently holds about 26.27 M in cash with (69.53 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 0.92. | |
| Roughly 64.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies | |
| Latest headline from news.google.com: Fintech Pagaya lines up 720M to fund more point-of-sale loans - Stock Titan |
- Analyzing Applied Opt's financial statements, including its income statement, balance sheet, and cash flow statement, helps in understanding its overall financial health and growth potential.
- Getting a closer look at valuation ratios like price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio, price-to-sales (P/S) ratio, and price-to-book (P/B) ratio help in understanding whether Applied Opt's stock is overvalued or undervalued compared to its peers.
- Examining Applied Opt's industry or sector and how it is performing can give you an idea of its growth potential and how it is positioned relative to its competitors.
- Evaluating Applied Opt's management team can have a significant impact on its success or failure. Reviewing the track record and experience of Applied Opt's management team can help you assess the Company's leadership.
- Pay attention to analyst opinions and ratings of Applied Opt's stock. These opinions can provide insight into Applied Opt's potential for growth and whether the stock is currently undervalued or overvalued.
Complementary Tools for Applied Stock analysis
When running Applied Opt's price analysis, check to measure Applied Opt's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Applied Opt is operating at the current time. Most of Applied Opt's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Applied Opt's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Applied Opt's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Applied Opt to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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