Applied Opt Valuation

AAOI Stock  USD 46.12  1.96  4.44%   
At this time, the firm appears to be overvalued. Applied Opt shows a prevailing Real Value of $34.42 per share. The current price of the firm is $46.12. Our model approximates the value of Applied Opt from analyzing the firm fundamentals such as Return On Equity of -0.4, current valuation of 2.8 B, and Profit Margin of (0.37) % as well as examining its technical indicators and probability of bankruptcy. Key fundamental drivers impacting Applied Opt's valuation include:
Price Book
5.3254
Enterprise Value
2.8 B
Enterprise Value Ebitda
(19.35)
Price Sales
7.15
Forward PE
84.0336
Overvalued
Today
46.12
Please note that Applied Opt's price fluctuation is somewhat reliable at this time. Calculation of the real value of Applied Opt is based on 3 months time horizon. Increasing Applied Opt's time horizon generally increases the accuracy of value calculation and significantly improves the predictive power of the methodology used.
Since Applied Opt is currently traded on the exchange, buyers and sellers on that exchange determine the market value of Applied Stock. However, Applied Opt's intrinsic value may or may not be the same as its current market price, in which case there is an opportunity to profit from the mispricing, assuming the market price will eventually merge with its intrinsic value.
Historical Market  46.12 Real  34.42 Target  36.6 Hype  44.64 Naive  47.57
The intrinsic value of Applied Opt's stock can be calculated using various methods such as discounted cash flow or dividend analysis. That value may differ from its market price, which is determined by factors such as investor sentiment, market trends, headlines, and other external factors that may influence Applied Opt's stock price.
34.42
Real Value
48.58
Upside
Estimating the potential upside or downside of Applied Opt helps investors to forecast how Applied stock's addition to their portfolios will impact the overall performance. We also use other valuation drivers to help us estimate the true value of Applied Opt more accurately as focusing exclusively on Applied Opt's fundamentals will not take into account other important factors:
Earnings
Estimates
LowProjectedHigh
0.120.210.25
Details
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
36.8344.6452.45
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNext ValueHigh
39.7647.5755.38
Details
5 Analysts
Consensus
LowTarget PriceHigh
33.3136.6040.63
Details
When choosing an evaluation method for Applied Opt, ensure it is appropriate for the firm given its current financial situation and market classification. If more than one evaluation category is relevant, we suggest using all methods to arrive at a better estimate.

Applied Opt Cash

43.93 Million

Applied Revenue by Product

Applied Opt Total Value Analysis

Applied Opt is presently estimated to have valuation of 2.8 B with market capitalization of 3.02 B, debt of 190.86 M, and cash on hands of 26.27 M. Please note that valuation may be misleading and is a subject to auditing or accounting errors. We encourage investors to vigilantly validate all of the Applied Opt fundamentals before making equity appraisal based on enterprise value of the company
  Takeover PriceMarket CapDebt ObligationsCash
2.8 B
3.02 B
190.86 M
26.27 M

Applied Opt Investor Information

About 64.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies. The company has Price/Earnings To Growth (PEG) ratio of 0.51. Applied Opt recorded a loss per share of 3.5. The entity had not issued any dividends in recent years. Based on the key indicators related to Applied Opt's liquidity, profitability, solvency, and operating efficiency, Applied Opt may be sliding down financialy. It has an above-average probability of going through some form of financial hardship next quarter.

Applied Opt Asset Utilization

The asset utilization indicator refers to the revenue earned for every dollar of assets a company currently reports. Applied Opt has an asset utilization ratio of 45.59 percent. This signifies that the Company is making $0.46 for each dollar of assets. An increasing asset utilization means that Applied Opt is more efficient with each dollar of assets it utilizes for everyday operations.
 
Credit Downgrade
 
Yuan Drop
 
Covid
 
Interest Hikes

Applied Opt Profitability Analysis

Based on Applied Opt's profitability indicators, Applied Opt may not be well positioned to generate adequate gross income at this time. It has a very high probability of underperforming in March. Profitability indicators assess Applied Opt's ability to earn profits and add value for shareholders.
 
Net Loss  
First Reported
2011-03-31
Previous Quarter
-9.1 M
Current Value
-17.9 M
Quarterly Volatility
19.1 M
 
Credit Downgrade
 
Yuan Drop
 
Covid
 
Interest Hikes
The Applied Opt's current Gross Profit Margin is estimated to increase to 0.31, while Gross Profit is projected to decrease to under 58.9 M.
Current ValueLast YearChange From Last Year 10 Year Trend
Gross Profit Margin0.310.29
Notably Up
Slightly volatile
For Applied Opt profitability analysis, we use financial ratios and fundamental drivers that measure the ability of Applied Opt to generate income relative to revenue, assets, operating costs, and current equity. These fundamental indicators attest to how well Applied Opt utilizes its assets to generate profit and value for its shareholders. The profitability module also shows relationships between Applied Opt's most relevant fundamental drivers. It provides multiple suggestions of what could affect the performance of Applied Opt over time as well as its relative position and ranking within its peers.

Applied Opt Earnings per Share Projection vs Actual

The next projected EPS of Applied Opt is estimated to be 0.2115 with future projections ranging from a low of 0.1175 to a high of 0.2525. Applied Opt's most recent 12-month trailing earnings per share (EPS TTM) is at -3.5. Please be aware that the consensus of earnings estimates for Applied Opt is based on EPS before non-recurring items and includes expenses related to employee stock options.
 
Yuan Drop
 
Covid
 
Interest Hikes
Applied Opt is projected to generate 0.2115 in earnings per share on the 31st of December 2026. Applied Opt earnings estimates show analyst consensus about projected Applied Opt EPS (Earning Per Share). It derives the highest and the lowest estimates based on Applied Opt's historical volatility. Many public companies, such as Applied Opt, manage the perception of their earnings on a regular basis to make sure that analyst estimates are accurate. Future earnings calculations are also an essential input when attempting to value a firm.

Applied Opt Earnings Estimation Breakdown

The calculation of Applied Opt's earning per share is based on the data from the past 12 consecutive months, used for reporting the company's financial figures. The next projected EPS of Applied Opt is estimated to be 0.2115 with the future projection ranging from a low of 0.1175 to a high of 0.2525. Please be aware that this consensus of annual earnings estimates for Applied Opt is based on EPS before non-recurring items and includes expenses related to employee stock options.
Last Reported EPS
0.0
0.12
Lowest
Expected EPS
0.2115
0.25
Highest

Applied Opt Earnings Projection Consensus

Suppose the current estimates of Applied Opt's value are higher than the current market price of the Applied Opt stock. In this case, investors may conclude that Applied Opt is overpriced and will exhibit bullish sentiment. On the other hand, if the present value is lower than the stock price, analysts may conclude that the market undervalues the equity. These scenarios may suggest that the market is not as efficient as it should be at the estimation time, and Applied Opt's stock will quickly adjusts to the new information provided by the consensus estimate.
Number of AnalystsHistorical AccuracyLast Reported EPSEstimated EPS for 31st of December 2026Current EPS (TTM)
662.91%
0.0
0.2115
-3.5

Applied Opt Ownership Allocation

Applied Opt holds a total of 68.28 Million outstanding shares. Over half of Applied Opt's outstanding shares are owned by other corporate entities. These other corporate entities are typically referred to as corporate investors that acquire positions in a given instrument to benefit from reduced trade commissions. Please note that no matter how many assets the company secures, if the real value of the firm is less than the current market value, you may not be able to make money on it.

Applied Opt Profitability Analysis

The company reported the previous year's revenue of 249.37 M. Net Loss for the year was (186.73 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 123.7 M.

About Applied Opt Valuation

An absolute valuation paradigm, as applied to Applied Stock, attempts to find the value of Applied Opt based on its fundamental and basic technical indicators. By analyzing Applied Opt's financials, quarterly and monthly indicators, and their related drivers, such as dividends, operating cash flow, and various types of growth rates, we attempt to find the most accurate representation of Applied Opt's intrinsic value. In some cases, mostly for established, large-cap companies, we also incorporate more traditional valuation methods such as dividend discount, discounted cash flow, or asset-based models. As compared to an absolute model, our relative valuation model uses a comparative analysis of Applied Opt. We calculate exposure to Applied Opt's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, and relevant financial multiples and ratios and then compare them to those of Applied Opt's related companies.
Last ReportedProjected for Next Year
Gross Profit71.1 M58.9 M
Pretax Profit Margin(0.86)(0.82)
Operating Profit Margin(0.33)(0.31)
Net Loss(0.86)(0.82)
Gross Profit Margin 0.29  0.31 

Applied Opt Growth Indicators

Growth stocks usually refer to those companies expected to grow sales and earnings faster than the market average. Growth stocks typically don't pay dividends, often look expensive, and usually trading at a high P/E ratio. Nevertheless, such valuations could be relatively cheap if the company continues to grow, which will drive the share price up. However, since most investors are paying a high price for a growth stock, based on expectations, if those expectations are not fully realized, growth stocks can see dramatic declines.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding41.5 M
Forward Price Earnings84.0336

Applied Opt Current Valuation Indicators

Valuation refers to the process of determining the present value of Applied Opt and all of its assets. It can be calculated using a number of techniques. As many analysts who try to value Applied we look at many different elements of the entity such as Applied's management, its prospective future earnings, the current market value of the company's assets, as well as its capital structure formation.
Valuations are an essential part of business, for companies themselves, but also for investors. For companies, such as Applied Opt, valuations can help measure their progress and success and can help them track their performance in the market compared to others. In addition, investors can use Applied Opt's valuations to help determine the worth of potential investments. They can do this by using data and information made public by a company. Regardless of who the valuation is for, it essentially describes Applied Opt's worth.

Complementary Tools for Applied Stock analysis

When running Applied Opt's price analysis, check to measure Applied Opt's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Applied Opt is operating at the current time. Most of Applied Opt's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Applied Opt's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Applied Opt's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Applied Opt to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
Equity Analysis
Research over 250,000 global equities including funds, stocks and ETFs to find investment opportunities
Content Syndication
Quickly integrate customizable finance content to your own investment portal
ETF Categories
List of ETF categories grouped based on various criteria, such as the investment strategy or type of investments
Theme Ratings
Determine theme ratings based on digital equity recommendations. Macroaxis theme ratings are based on combination of fundamental analysis and risk-adjusted market performance
Portfolio Comparator
Compare the composition, asset allocations and performance of any two portfolios in your account
Money Flow Index
Determine momentum by analyzing Money Flow Index and other technical indicators
Share Portfolio
Track or share privately all of your investments from the convenience of any device
Correlation Analysis
Reduce portfolio risk simply by holding instruments which are not perfectly correlated