Applied Opt Stock Technical Analysis
| AAOI Stock | USD 45.79 8.40 22.47% |
As of the 28th of January, Applied Opt shows the Mean Deviation of 5.46, risk adjusted performance of 0.0688, and Downside Deviation of 6.55. Applied Opt technical analysis gives you the methodology to make use of historical prices and volume patterns to determine a pattern that approximates the direction of the firm's future prices.
Applied Opt Momentum Analysis
Momentum indicators are widely used technical indicators which help to measure the pace at which the price of specific equity, such as Applied, fluctuates. Many momentum indicators also complement each other and can be helpful when the market is rising or falling as compared to AppliedApplied Opt's Momentum analyses are specifically helpful, as they help investors time the market using mark points where the market can reverse. The reversal spots are usually identified through divergence between price movement and momentum.Applied Opt Analyst Consensus
| Target Price | Advice | # of Analysts | |
| 36.6 | Strong Buy | 5 | Odds |
Most Applied analysts issue ratings four times a year, at intervals of three months. Ratings are usually accompanied by a target price to helps potential investors understand Applied stock's fair price compared to its market value. Analysts arrive at stock ratings after researching public financial statements of Applied Opt, talking to its executives and customers, or listening to Applied conference calls.
Is Communications Equipment space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Applied Opt. If investors know Applied will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Applied Opt listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Earnings Share (3.46) | Revenue Per Share | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.821 | Return On Assets | Return On Equity |
The market value of Applied Opt is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Applied that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Applied Opt's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Applied Opt's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Applied Opt's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Applied Opt's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Applied Opt's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Applied Opt is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Applied Opt's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.
Applied Opt 'What if' Analysis
In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Applied Opt's stock what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Applied Opt.
| 10/30/2025 |
| 01/28/2026 |
If you would invest 0.00 in Applied Opt on October 30, 2025 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Applied Opt or generate 0.0% return on investment in Applied Opt over 90 days. Applied Opt is related to or competes with Daqo New, Kulicke, Vishay Intertechnology, MaxLinear, Veeco Instruments, Pagaya Technologies, and Power Integrations. Applied Optoelectronics, Inc. designs, manufactures, and sells various fiber-optic networking products worldwide More
Applied Opt Upside/Downside Indicators
Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Applied Opt's stock current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Applied Opt upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.
| Downside Deviation | 6.55 | |||
| Information Ratio | 0.0703 | |||
| Maximum Drawdown | 38.11 | |||
| Value At Risk | (11.64) | |||
| Potential Upside | 12.49 |
Applied Opt Market Risk Indicators
Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Applied Opt's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Applied Opt's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Applied Opt historical prices to predict the future Applied Opt's volatility.| Risk Adjusted Performance | 0.0688 | |||
| Jensen Alpha | 0.3822 | |||
| Total Risk Alpha | (0.10) | |||
| Sortino Ratio | 0.0775 | |||
| Treynor Ratio | 0.205 |
Applied Opt January 28, 2026 Technical Indicators
| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
| Risk Adjusted Performance | 0.0688 | |||
| Market Risk Adjusted Performance | 0.215 | |||
| Mean Deviation | 5.46 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 6.3 | |||
| Downside Deviation | 6.55 | |||
| Coefficient Of Variation | 1229.98 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 7.22 | |||
| Variance | 52.11 | |||
| Information Ratio | 0.0703 | |||
| Jensen Alpha | 0.3822 | |||
| Total Risk Alpha | (0.10) | |||
| Sortino Ratio | 0.0775 | |||
| Treynor Ratio | 0.205 | |||
| Maximum Drawdown | 38.11 | |||
| Value At Risk | (11.64) | |||
| Potential Upside | 12.49 | |||
| Downside Variance | 42.94 | |||
| Semi Variance | 39.74 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (6.03) | |||
| Skewness | 0.4556 | |||
| Kurtosis | 0.9649 |
Applied Opt Backtested Returns
Applied Opt appears to be not too volatile, given 3 months investment horizon. Applied Opt secures Sharpe Ratio (or Efficiency) of 0.05, which signifies that the company had a 0.05 % return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. We have found thirty technical indicators for Applied Opt, which you can use to evaluate the volatility of the firm. Please makes use of Applied Opt's Downside Deviation of 6.55, risk adjusted performance of 0.0688, and Mean Deviation of 5.46 to double-check if our risk estimates are consistent with your expectations. On a scale of 0 to 100, Applied Opt holds a performance score of 3. The firm shows a Beta (market volatility) of 2.81, which signifies a somewhat significant risk relative to the market. As the market goes up, the company is expected to outperform it. However, if the market returns are negative, Applied Opt will likely underperform. Please check Applied Opt's sortino ratio, skewness, price action indicator, as well as the relationship between the potential upside and rate of daily change , to make a quick decision on whether Applied Opt's price patterns will revert.
Auto-correlation | -0.19 |
Insignificant reverse predictability
Applied Opt has insignificant reverse predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Applied Opt time series from 30th of October 2025 to 14th of December 2025 and 14th of December 2025 to 28th of January 2026. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Applied Opt price movement. The serial correlation of -0.19 indicates that over 19.0% of current Applied Opt price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
| Correlation Coefficient | -0.19 | |
| Spearman Rank Test | 0.16 | |
| Residual Average | 0.0 | |
| Price Variance | 15.41 |
Applied Opt technical stock analysis exercises models and trading practices based on price and volume transformations, such as the moving averages, relative strength index, regressions, price and return correlations, business cycles, stock market cycles, or different charting patterns.
Applied Opt Technical Analysis
The output start index for this execution was twenty-four with a total number of output elements of thirty-seven. The Normalized Average True Range is used to analyze tradable apportunities for Applied Opt across different markets.
About Applied Opt Technical Analysis
The technical analysis module can be used to analyzes prices, returns, volume, basic money flow, and other market information and help investors to determine the real value of Applied Opt on a daily or weekly bases. We use both bottom-up as well as top-down valuation methodologies to arrive at the intrinsic value of Applied Opt based on its technical analysis. In general, a bottom-up approach, as applied to this company, focuses on Applied Opt price pattern first instead of the macroeconomic environment surrounding Applied Opt. By analyzing Applied Opt's financials, daily price indicators, and related drivers such as dividends, momentum ratios, and various types of growth rates, we attempt to find the most accurate representation of Applied Opt's intrinsic value. As compared to a bottom-up approach, our top-down model examines the macroeconomic factors that affect the industry/economy before zooming in to Applied Opt specific price patterns or momentum indicators. Please read more on our technical analysis page.
| 2024 | 2025 | 2026 (projected) | Days Sales Outstanding | 170.96 | 153.87 | 161.56 | PTB Ratio | 6.68 | 7.69 | 8.07 |
Applied Opt January 28, 2026 Technical Indicators
Most technical analysis of Applied help investors determine whether a current trend will continue and, if not, when it will shift. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Applied from various momentum indicators to cycle indicators. When you analyze Applied charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at different other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.
| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
| Risk Adjusted Performance | 0.0688 | |||
| Market Risk Adjusted Performance | 0.215 | |||
| Mean Deviation | 5.46 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 6.3 | |||
| Downside Deviation | 6.55 | |||
| Coefficient Of Variation | 1229.98 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 7.22 | |||
| Variance | 52.11 | |||
| Information Ratio | 0.0703 | |||
| Jensen Alpha | 0.3822 | |||
| Total Risk Alpha | (0.10) | |||
| Sortino Ratio | 0.0775 | |||
| Treynor Ratio | 0.205 | |||
| Maximum Drawdown | 38.11 | |||
| Value At Risk | (11.64) | |||
| Potential Upside | 12.49 | |||
| Downside Variance | 42.94 | |||
| Semi Variance | 39.74 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (6.03) | |||
| Skewness | 0.4556 | |||
| Kurtosis | 0.9649 |
Applied Opt January 28, 2026 Daily Trend Indicators
Traders often use several different daily volumes and price technical indicators to supplement a more traditional technical analysis when analyzing securities such as Applied stock. With literally thousands of different options, investors must choose the best indicators for them and familiarize themselves with how they work. We suggest combining traditional momentum indicators with more near-term forms of technical analysis such as Accumulation Distribution or Daily Balance Of Power. With their quantitative nature, daily value technical indicators can also be incorporated into your automated trading systems.
| Accumulation Distribution | 0.18 | ||
| Daily Balance Of Power | 1.00 | ||
| Rate Of Daily Change | 1.22 | ||
| Day Median Price | 41.59 | ||
| Day Typical Price | 42.99 | ||
| Price Action Indicator | 8.40 | ||
| Market Facilitation Index | 8.40 |
Complementary Tools for Applied Stock analysis
When running Applied Opt's price analysis, check to measure Applied Opt's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Applied Opt is operating at the current time. Most of Applied Opt's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Applied Opt's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Applied Opt's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Applied Opt to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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