Advance Auto Parts Net Income
| AAP Stock | USD 55.30 2.37 4.48% |
As of the 9th of February, Advance Auto shows the Mean Deviation of 2.47, risk adjusted performance of 0.0794, and Downside Deviation of 2.77. Advance Auto Parts technical analysis gives you the methodology to make use of historical prices and volume patterns to determine a pattern that approximates the direction of the firm's future prices.
Advance Auto Total Revenue |
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Gross Profit | Profit Margin | Market Capitalization | Enterprise Value Revenue 0.6269 | Revenue |
| Last Reported | Projected for Next Year | ||
| Net Loss | -675 M | -641.2 M | |
| Net Loss | -386.2 M | -366.8 M | |
| Net Loss | -528.3 M | -501.8 M | |
| Net Income Per Share | 6.93 | 7.27 | |
| Net Income Per E B T | 1.16 | 0.69 |
Advance | Net Income | Build AI portfolio with Advance Stock |
Evaluating Advance Auto's Net Income across multiple reporting periods reveals the company's ability to sustain growth and manage resources effectively. This longitudinal analysis highlights inflection points, cyclical patterns, and structural changes that short-term snapshots might miss, offering deeper insight into Advance Auto Parts's fundamental strength.
Latest Advance Auto's Net Income Growth Pattern
Below is the plot of the Net Income of Advance Auto Parts over the last few years. Net income is one of the most important fundamental items in finance. It plays a large role in Advance Auto Parts financial statement analysis. It represents the amount of money remaining after all of Advance Auto Parts operating expenses, interest, taxes and preferred stock dividends have been deducted from a company total revenue. It is Advance Auto's Net Loss historical data analysis aims to capture in quantitative terms the overall pattern of either growth or decline in Advance Auto's overall financial position and show how it may be relating to other accounts over time.
| View | Last Reported (586.96 M) | 10 Years Trend |
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Net Income |
| Timeline |
Advance Net Income Regression Statistics
| Arithmetic Mean | 263,529,495 | |
| Geometric Mean | 273,401,651 | |
| Coefficient Of Variation | 127.73 | |
| Mean Deviation | 279,869,066 | |
| Median | 423,847,000 | |
| Standard Deviation | 336,618,215 | |
| Sample Variance | 113311.8T | |
| Range | 982.8M | |
| R-Value | (0.52) | |
| Mean Square Error | 87900.1T | |
| R-Squared | 0.27 | |
| Significance | 0.03 | |
| Slope | (34,813,514) | |
| Total Sum of Squares | 1812989.2T |
Advance Net Income History
Other Fundumenentals of Advance Auto Parts
| Net Income Applicable To Common Shares | ||
| Net Income From Continuing Ops | ||
| Net Income Per Share | ||
| Net Income Per E B T |
Advance Auto Net Income component correlations
Advance Net Income Driver Correlations
Understanding the fundamental principles of building solid financial models for Advance Auto is extremely important. It helps to project a fair market value of Advance Stock properly, considering its historical fundamentals such as Net Income. Since Advance Auto's main accounts across its financial reports are all linked and dependent on each other, it is essential to analyze all possible correlations between related accounts. However, instead of reviewing all of Advance Auto's historical financial statements, investors can examine the correlated drivers to determine its overall health. This can be effectively done using a conventional correlation matrix of Advance Auto's interrelated accounts and indicators.
Click cells to compare fundamentals
Can Automotive Retail industry sustain growth momentum? Does Advance have expansion opportunities? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Advance Auto. If investors know Advance will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. Determining accurate worth demands scrutiny of both present operating results and projected expansion capacity. Evaluating Advance Auto demands reviewing these metrics collectively while recognizing certain factors exert disproportionate influence.
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.66) | Dividend Share 1 | Earnings Share (10.22) | Revenue Per Share | Quarterly Revenue Growth (0.05) |
The market value of Advance Auto Parts is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Advance that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Advance Auto's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Advance Auto's true underlying value. Market participants employ diverse analytical approaches to determine fair value and identify buying opportunities when prices dip below calculated worth. Because Advance Auto's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Advance Auto's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Understanding that Advance Auto's value differs from its trading price is crucial, as each reflects different aspects of the company. Evaluating whether Advance Auto represents a sound investment requires analyzing earnings trends, revenue growth, technical signals, industry dynamics, and expert forecasts. Meanwhile, Advance Auto's quoted price indicates the marketplace figure where supply meets demand through bilateral consent.
Advance Auto 'What if' Analysis
In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Advance Auto's stock what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Advance Auto.
| 11/11/2025 |
| 02/09/2026 |
If you would invest 0.00 in Advance Auto on November 11, 2025 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Advance Auto Parts or generate 0.0% return on investment in Advance Auto over 90 days. Advance Auto is related to or competes with Academy Sports, RH, Victorias Secret, Buckle, American Eagle, Visteon Corp, and Peloton Interactive. Advance Auto Parts, Inc. provides automotive replacement parts, accessories, batteries, and maintenance items for domest... More
Advance Auto Upside/Downside Indicators
Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Advance Auto's stock current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Advance Auto Parts upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.
| Downside Deviation | 2.77 | |||
| Information Ratio | 0.0622 | |||
| Maximum Drawdown | 16.72 | |||
| Value At Risk | (3.57) | |||
| Potential Upside | 6.91 |
Advance Auto Market Risk Indicators
Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Advance Auto's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Advance Auto's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Advance Auto historical prices to predict the future Advance Auto's volatility.| Risk Adjusted Performance | 0.0794 | |||
| Jensen Alpha | 0.1264 | |||
| Total Risk Alpha | (0.04) | |||
| Sortino Ratio | 0.0746 | |||
| Treynor Ratio | 0.1427 |
Advance Auto February 9, 2026 Technical Indicators
| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
| Risk Adjusted Performance | 0.0794 | |||
| Market Risk Adjusted Performance | 0.1527 | |||
| Mean Deviation | 2.47 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 2.63 | |||
| Downside Deviation | 2.77 | |||
| Coefficient Of Variation | 1121.6 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 3.32 | |||
| Variance | 11.04 | |||
| Information Ratio | 0.0622 | |||
| Jensen Alpha | 0.1264 | |||
| Total Risk Alpha | (0.04) | |||
| Sortino Ratio | 0.0746 | |||
| Treynor Ratio | 0.1427 | |||
| Maximum Drawdown | 16.72 | |||
| Value At Risk | (3.57) | |||
| Potential Upside | 6.91 | |||
| Downside Variance | 7.66 | |||
| Semi Variance | 6.92 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (2.92) | |||
| Skewness | 0.5253 | |||
| Kurtosis | 1.25 |
Advance Auto Parts Backtested Returns
Currently, Advance Auto Parts is very steady. Advance Auto Parts secures Sharpe Ratio (or Efficiency) of 0.0588, which signifies that the company had a 0.0588 % return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. We have found twenty-nine technical indicators for Advance Auto Parts, which you can use to evaluate the volatility of the firm. Please confirm Advance Auto's Downside Deviation of 2.77, risk adjusted performance of 0.0794, and Mean Deviation of 2.47 to double-check if the risk estimate we provide is consistent with the expected return of 0.19%. Advance Auto has a performance score of 4 on a scale of 0 to 100. The firm shows a Beta (market volatility) of 2.01, which signifies a somewhat significant risk relative to the market. As the market goes up, the company is expected to outperform it. However, if the market returns are negative, Advance Auto will likely underperform. Advance Auto Parts right now shows a risk of 3.28%. Please confirm Advance Auto Parts semi variance, and the relationship between the maximum drawdown and accumulation distribution , to decide if Advance Auto Parts will be following its price patterns.
Auto-correlation | -0.83 |
Excellent reverse predictability
Advance Auto Parts has excellent reverse predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Advance Auto time series from 11th of November 2025 to 26th of December 2025 and 26th of December 2025 to 9th of February 2026. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Advance Auto Parts price movement. The serial correlation of -0.83 indicates that around 83.0% of current Advance Auto price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
| Correlation Coefficient | -0.83 | |
| Spearman Rank Test | -0.55 | |
| Residual Average | 0.0 | |
| Price Variance | 27.36 |
Because income is reported on the Income Statement of a company and is measured in dollars some investors prefer to use Profit Margin, which measures income as a percentage of sales.
| Competition |
Advance Accumulated Other Comprehensive Income
Accumulated Other Comprehensive Income |
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Based on the recorded statements, Advance Auto Parts reported net income of (586.96 Million). This is 214.94% lower than that of the Specialty Retail sector and 168.62% lower than that of the Consumer Discretionary industry. The net income for all United States stocks is significantly higher than that of the company.
Advance Net Income Peer Comparison
Stock peer comparison is one of the most widely used and accepted methods of equity analyses. It analyses Advance Auto's direct or indirect competition against its Net Income to detect undervalued stocks with similar characteristics or determine the stocks which would be a good addition to a portfolio. Peer analysis of Advance Auto could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Advance Auto by comparing valuation metrics of similar companies.Advance Auto is currently under evaluation in net income category among its peers.
Advance Auto ESG Sustainability
Some studies have found that companies with high sustainability scores are getting higher valuations than competitors with lower social-engagement activities. While most ESG disclosures are voluntary and do not directly affect the long term financial condition, Advance Auto's sustainability indicators can be used to identify proper investment strategies using environmental, social, and governance scores that are crucial to Advance Auto's managers, analysts, and investors.Environmental | Governance | Social |
Advance Auto Institutional Holders
Institutional Holdings refers to the ownership stake in Advance Auto that is held by large financial organizations, pension funds or endowments. Institutions may hold large blocks of Advance Auto's outstanding shares and can exert considerable influence upon its management. Institutional holders may also work to push the share price higher once they own the stock. Extensive social media coverage, TV shows, articles in high-profile magazines, and presentations at investor conferences help move the stock higher, increasing Advance Auto's value.| Shares | Morgan Stanley - Brokerage Accounts | 2025-06-30 | 1.4 M | Geode Capital Management, Llc | 2025-06-30 | 1.4 M | Royce & Associates, Lp | 2025-06-30 | 1.3 M | Thrivent Financial For Lutherans | 2025-06-30 | 1.2 M | Estuary Capital Management, Lp | 2025-06-30 | 1 M | Bank Of America Corp | 2025-06-30 | 947.8 K | Charles Schwab Investment Management Inc | 2025-06-30 | 872 K | Marshall Wace Asset Management Ltd | 2025-06-30 | 850.8 K | Legion Partners Asset Management, Llc | 2025-06-30 | 800.8 K | Blackrock Inc | 2025-06-30 | 8.9 M | T. Rowe Price Associates, Inc. | 2025-06-30 | 7.3 M |
Advance Fundamentals
| Return On Equity | -0.24 | ||||
| Return On Asset | 1.0E-4 | ||||
| Profit Margin | (0.04) % | ||||
| Operating Margin | 0.03 % | ||||
| Current Valuation | 5.41 B | ||||
| Shares Outstanding | 60.02 M | ||||
| Shares Owned By Insiders | 0.89 % | ||||
| Shares Owned By Institutions | 99.11 % | ||||
| Number Of Shares Shorted | 13.13 M | ||||
| Price To Earning | 19.36 X | ||||
| Price To Book | 1.51 X | ||||
| Price To Sales | 0.38 X | ||||
| Revenue | 9.09 B | ||||
| Gross Profit | 3.65 B | ||||
| EBITDA | (395.08 M) | ||||
| Net Income | (586.96 M) | ||||
| Cash And Equivalents | 1.87 B | ||||
| Cash Per Share | 3.25 X | ||||
| Total Debt | 3.69 B | ||||
| Debt To Equity | 1.50 % | ||||
| Current Ratio | 1.13 X | ||||
| Book Value Per Share | 36.58 X | ||||
| Cash Flow From Operations | 84.63 M | ||||
| Short Ratio | 6.44 X | ||||
| Earnings Per Share | (10.22) X | ||||
| Price To Earnings To Growth | 1.55 X | ||||
| Target Price | 51.14 | ||||
| Number Of Employees | 33.2 K | ||||
| Beta | 1.17 | ||||
| Market Capitalization | 3.32 B | ||||
| Total Asset | 10.8 B | ||||
| Retained Earnings | 4.16 B | ||||
| Working Capital | 1.48 B | ||||
| Current Asset | 1.19 B | ||||
| Current Liabilities | 722.58 M | ||||
| Annual Yield | 0.02 % | ||||
| Five Year Return | 0.74 % | ||||
| Net Asset | 10.8 B | ||||
| Last Dividend Paid | 1.0 |
About Advance Auto Fundamental Analysis
The Macroaxis Fundamental Analysis modules help investors analyze Advance Auto Parts's financials across various querterly and yearly statements, indicators and fundamental ratios. We help investors to determine the real value of Advance Auto using virtually all public information available. We use both quantitative as well as qualitative analysis to arrive at the intrinsic value of Advance Auto Parts based on its fundamental data. In general, a quantitative approach, as applied to this company, focuses on analyzing financial statements comparatively, whereas a qaualitative method uses data that is important to a company's growth but cannot be measured and presented in a numerical way.
Please read more on our fundamental analysis page.
Pair Trading with Advance Auto
One of the main advantages of trading using pair correlations is that every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if Advance Auto position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in Advance Auto will appreciate offsetting losses from the drop in the long position's value.Moving against Advance Stock
| 0.42 | FCAP | First Capital Downward Rally | PairCorr |
| 0.41 | SLF | Sun Life Financial Earnings Call This Week | PairCorr |
The ability to find closely correlated positions to Advance Auto could be a great tool in your tax-loss harvesting strategies, allowing investors a quick way to find a similar-enough asset to replace Advance Auto when you sell it. If you don't do this, your portfolio allocation will be skewed against your target asset allocation. So, investors can't just sell and buy back Advance Auto - that would be a violation of the tax code under the "wash sale" rule, and this is why you need to find a similar enough asset and use the proceeds from selling Advance Auto Parts to buy it.
The correlation of Advance Auto is a statistical measure of how it moves in relation to other instruments. This measure is expressed in what is known as the correlation coefficient, which ranges between -1 and +1. A perfect positive correlation (i.e., a correlation coefficient of +1) implies that as Advance Auto moves, either up or down, the other security will move in the same direction. Alternatively, perfect negative correlation means that if Advance Auto Parts moves in either direction, the perfectly negatively correlated security will move in the opposite direction. If the correlation is 0, the equities are not correlated; they are entirely random. A correlation greater than 0.8 is generally described as strong, whereas a correlation less than 0.5 is generally considered weak.
Correlation analysis and pair trading evaluation for Advance Auto can also be used as hedging techniques within a particular sector or industry or even over random equities to generate a better risk-adjusted return on your portfolios.Additional Tools for Advance Stock Analysis
When running Advance Auto's price analysis, check to measure Advance Auto's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Advance Auto is operating at the current time. Most of Advance Auto's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Advance Auto's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Advance Auto's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Advance Auto to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.