Aflac Incorporated Stock Probability Of Bankruptcy

AFL Stock  USD 108.16  1.98  1.80%   
Aflac Incorporated's threat of distress is under 6% at the moment. It has tiny chance of undergoing some form of financial crunch in the near future. Aflac Incorporated's Odds of financial distress is determined by interpolating and adjusting Aflac Altman Z Score to account for off-balance-sheet items and missing or unfiled public information. All items used in analyzing the odds of distress are taken from the Aflac balance sheet, as well as cash flow and income statements available from the company's most recent filings. Check out Aflac Incorporated Piotroski F Score and Aflac Incorporated Altman Z Score analysis.
For more information on how to buy Aflac Stock please use our How to buy in Aflac Stock guide.
  
Market Cap is expected to rise to about 27.1 B this year. Enterprise Value is expected to rise to about 27.5 B this year

Aflac Incorporated Company odds of financial distress Analysis

Aflac Incorporated's Probability Of Bankruptcy is a relative measure of the likelihood of financial distress. For stocks, the Probability Of Bankruptcy is the normalized value of Z-Score. For funds and ETFs, it is derived from a multi-factor model developed by Macroaxis. The score is used to predict the probability of a firm or a fund experiencing financial distress within the next 24 months. Unlike Z-Score, Probability Of Bankruptcy is the value between 0 and 100, indicating the firm's actual probability it will be financially distressed in the next 2 fiscal years.

Probability Of Bankruptcy

 = 

Normalized

Z-Score

More About Probability Of Bankruptcy | All Equity Analysis

Current Aflac Incorporated Probability Of Bankruptcy

    
  Less than 6%  
Most of Aflac Incorporated's fundamental indicators, such as Probability Of Bankruptcy, are part of a valuation analysis module that helps investors searching for stocks that are currently trading at higher or lower prices than their real value. If the real value is higher than the market price, Aflac Incorporated is considered to be undervalued, and we provide a buy recommendation. Otherwise, we render a sell signal.
Our calculation of Aflac Incorporated probability of bankruptcy is based on Altman Z-Score and Piotroski F-Score, but not limited to these measures. To be applied to a broader range of industries and markets, we use several other techniques to enhance the accuracy of predicting Aflac Incorporated odds of financial distress. These include financial statement analysis, different types of price predictions, earning estimates, analysis consensus, and basic intrinsic valuation. Please use the options below to get a better understanding of different measures that drive the calculation of Aflac Incorporated financial health.
Is Life & Health Insurance space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Aflac Incorporated. If investors know Aflac will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Aflac Incorporated listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth
6.544
Dividend Share
2
Earnings Share
9.63
Revenue Per Share
33.648
Quarterly Revenue Growth
0.43
The market value of Aflac Incorporated is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Aflac that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Aflac Incorporated's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Aflac Incorporated's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Aflac Incorporated's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Aflac Incorporated's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Aflac Incorporated's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Aflac Incorporated is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Aflac Incorporated's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

Aflac Probability Of Bankruptcy Driver Correlations

Understanding the fundamental principles of building solid financial models for Aflac Incorporated is extremely important. It helps to project a fair market value of Aflac Stock properly, considering its historical fundamentals such as Probability Of Bankruptcy. Since Aflac Incorporated's main accounts across its financial reports are all linked and dependent on each other, it is essential to analyze all possible correlations between related accounts. However, instead of reviewing all of Aflac Incorporated's historical financial statements, investors can examine the correlated drivers to determine its overall health. This can be effectively done using a conventional correlation matrix of Aflac Incorporated's interrelated accounts and indicators.
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Click cells to compare fundamentals
The Probability of Bankruptcy SHOULD NOT be confused with the actual chance of a company to file for chapter 7, 11, 12, or 13 bankruptcy protection. Macroaxis simply defines Financial Distress as an operational condition where a company is having difficulty meeting its current financial obligations towards its creditors or delivering on the expectations of its investors. Macroaxis derives these conditions daily from both public financial statements as well as analysis of stock prices reacting to market conditions or economic downturns, including short-term and long-term historical volatility. Other factors taken into account include analysis of liquidity, revenue patterns, R&D expenses, and commitments, as well as public headlines and social sentiment.
Competition

Based on the latest financial disclosure, Aflac Incorporated has a Probability Of Bankruptcy of 6.0%. This is 87.98% lower than that of the Insurance sector and significantly higher than that of the Financials industry. The probability of bankruptcy for all United States stocks is 84.94% higher than that of the company.

Aflac Probability Of Bankruptcy Peer Comparison

Stock peer comparison is one of the most widely used and accepted methods of equity analyses. It analyses Aflac Incorporated's direct or indirect competition against its Probability Of Bankruptcy to detect undervalued stocks with similar characteristics or determine the stocks which would be a good addition to a portfolio. Peer analysis of Aflac Incorporated could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Aflac Incorporated by comparing valuation metrics of similar companies.
6.0040.0032.007.00100%
Aflac Incorporated is currently under evaluation in probability of bankruptcy category among its peers.

Aflac Incorporated Main Bankruptcy Drivers

202020212022202320242025 (projected)
Return On Assets0.02890.02690.03350.03680.160.17
Net Debt2.8B2.9B3.5B3.1B(2.3B)(2.2B)
Total Current Liabilities4.7B8.0B1.3B2.2B573M544.4M
Non Current Liabilities Total7.9B8.0B92.0B104.7B96M91.2M
Total Assets165.1B157.5B131.7B126.7B34.6B32.9B
Total Current Assets111.8B143.7B80.3B29.1B4.0B3.8B
Total Cash From Operating Activities6.0B5.1B3.9B3.2B4.3B5.1B

Aflac Incorporated ESG Sustainability

Some studies have found that companies with high sustainability scores are getting higher valuations than competitors with lower social-engagement activities. While most ESG disclosures are voluntary and do not directly affect the long term financial condition, Aflac Incorporated's sustainability indicators can be used to identify proper investment strategies using environmental, social, and governance scores that are crucial to Aflac Incorporated's managers, analysts, and investors.
55.7%
Environmental
56.9%
Governance
Social

Aflac Fundamentals

Return On Equity0.23
JavaScript chart by amCharts 3.21.152011-12-312012-12-312013-12-312014-12-312015-12-312016-12-312017-12-312018-12-312019-12-312020-12-312021-12-312022-12-312023-12-312024-12-31-20%-10%0%10%20%30%
Return On Asset0.0338
Profit Margin0.29 %
JavaScript chart by amCharts 3.21.152011-12-312012-12-312013-12-312014-12-312015-12-312016-12-312017-12-312018-12-312019-12-312020-12-312021-12-312022-12-312023-12-312024-12-312,000%4,000%6,000%8,000%10,000%12,000%14,000%
Operating Margin0.40 %
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Current Valuation63.51 B
JavaScript chart by amCharts 3.21.152011-12-312012-12-312013-12-312014-12-312015-12-312016-12-312017-12-312018-12-312019-12-312020-12-312021-12-312022-12-312023-12-312024-12-31500%1,000%1,500%2,000%2,500%3,000%
Shares Outstanding546.59 M
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Shares Owned By Insiders10.61 %
Shares Owned By Institutions60.37 %
Number Of Shares Shorted8.78 M
Price To Earning9.27 X
Price To Book2.31 X
JavaScript chart by amCharts 3.21.152011-12-312012-12-312013-12-312014-12-312015-12-312016-12-312017-12-312018-12-312019-12-312020-12-312021-12-312022-12-312023-12-312024-12-31-60%-50%-40%-30%-20%-10%0%
Price To Sales3.11 X
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Revenue698 M
JavaScript chart by amCharts 3.21.152011-12-312012-12-312013-12-312014-12-312015-12-312016-12-312017-12-312018-12-312019-12-312020-12-312021-12-312022-12-312023-12-312024-12-310%500%1,000%1,500%2,000%2,500%
Gross Profit9.63 B
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EBITDA6.65 B
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Net Income5.44 B
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Cash And Equivalents3.94 B
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Cash Per Share10.50 X
JavaScript chart by amCharts 3.21.152011-12-312012-12-312013-12-312014-12-312015-12-312016-12-312017-12-312018-12-312019-12-312020-12-312021-12-312022-12-312023-12-312024-12-3110,000%20,000%30,000%40,000%50,000%
Total Debt7.5 B
JavaScript chart by amCharts 3.21.152011-12-312012-12-312013-12-312014-12-312015-12-312016-12-312017-12-312018-12-312019-12-312020-12-312021-12-312022-12-312023-12-312024-12-315,000%10,000%15,000%20,000%25,000%30,000%35,000%
Debt To Equity0.45 %
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Current Ratio0.75 X
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Book Value Per Share47.45 X
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Cash Flow From Operations4.33 B
JavaScript chart by amCharts 3.21.152011-12-312012-12-312013-12-312014-12-312015-12-312016-12-312017-12-312018-12-312019-12-312020-12-312021-12-312022-12-312023-12-312024-12-31500%1,000%1,500%
Short Ratio4.73 X
Earnings Per Share9.63 X
Price To Earnings To Growth0.93 X
Target Price105.07
Number Of Employees12.69 K
Beta0.93
Market Capitalization58.81 B
JavaScript chart by amCharts 3.21.152011-12-312012-12-312013-12-312014-12-312015-12-312016-12-312017-12-312018-12-312019-12-312020-12-312021-12-312022-12-312023-12-312024-12-31500%1,000%1,500%2,000%2,500%3,000%
Total Asset34.58 B
JavaScript chart by amCharts 3.21.152011-12-312012-12-312013-12-312014-12-312015-12-312016-12-312017-12-312018-12-312019-12-312020-12-312021-12-312022-12-312023-12-312024-12-311,000%2,000%3,000%4,000%5,000%6,000%7,000%
Retained Earnings52.28 B
JavaScript chart by amCharts 3.21.152011-12-312012-12-312013-12-312014-12-312015-12-312016-12-312017-12-312018-12-312019-12-312020-12-312021-12-312022-12-312023-12-312024-12-315,000%10,000%15,000%20,000%25,000%30,000%35,000%
Annual Yield0.02 %
Five Year Return2.35 %
Net Asset34.58 B
Last Dividend Paid2.0

About Aflac Incorporated Fundamental Analysis

The Macroaxis Fundamental Analysis modules help investors analyze Aflac Incorporated's financials across various querterly and yearly statements, indicators and fundamental ratios. We help investors to determine the real value of Aflac Incorporated using virtually all public information available. We use both quantitative as well as qualitative analysis to arrive at the intrinsic value of Aflac Incorporated based on its fundamental data. In general, a quantitative approach, as applied to this company, focuses on analyzing financial statements comparatively, whereas a qaualitative method uses data that is important to a company's growth but cannot be measured and presented in a numerical way.
Please read more on our fundamental analysis page.

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When determining whether Aflac Incorporated is a strong investment it is important to analyze Aflac Incorporated's competitive position within its industry, examining market share, product or service uniqueness, and competitive advantages. Beyond financials and market position, potential investors should also consider broader economic conditions, industry trends, and any regulatory or geopolitical factors that may impact Aflac Incorporated's future performance. For an informed investment choice regarding Aflac Stock, refer to the following important reports:
Check out Aflac Incorporated Piotroski F Score and Aflac Incorporated Altman Z Score analysis.
For more information on how to buy Aflac Stock please use our How to buy in Aflac Stock guide.
You can also try the Analyst Advice module to analyst recommendations and target price estimates broken down by several categories.
Is Life & Health Insurance space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Aflac Incorporated. If investors know Aflac will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Aflac Incorporated listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth
6.544
Dividend Share
2
Earnings Share
9.63
Revenue Per Share
33.648
Quarterly Revenue Growth
0.43
The market value of Aflac Incorporated is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Aflac that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Aflac Incorporated's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Aflac Incorporated's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Aflac Incorporated's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Aflac Incorporated's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Aflac Incorporated's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Aflac Incorporated is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Aflac Incorporated's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.