Ardagh Metal Packaging Net Income
| AMBP Stock | USD 4.84 0.20 4.31% |
As of the 6th of February, Ardagh Metal shows the mean deviation of 1.36, and Risk Adjusted Performance of 0.2227. Ardagh Metal Packaging technical analysis gives you the methodology to make use of historical prices and volume patterns to determine a pattern that approximates the direction of the firm's future prices.
Ardagh Metal Total Revenue |
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Gross Profit | Profit Margin | Market Capitalization | Enterprise Value Revenue 1.2251 | Revenue |
| Last Reported | Projected for Next Year | ||
| Net Income Applicable To Common Shares | 259.9 M | 272.9 M | |
| Net Loss | -3.5 M | -3.6 M | |
| Net Loss | -3.5 M | -3.3 M | |
| Net Loss | (0.34) | (0.33) |
Ardagh | Net Income | Build AI portfolio with Ardagh Stock |
Evaluating Ardagh Metal's Net Income across multiple reporting periods reveals the company's ability to sustain growth and manage resources effectively. This longitudinal analysis highlights inflection points, cyclical patterns, and structural changes that short-term snapshots might miss, offering deeper insight into Ardagh Metal Packaging's fundamental strength.
Latest Ardagh Metal's Net Income Growth Pattern
Below is the plot of the Net Income of Ardagh Metal Packaging over the last few years. Net income is one of the most important fundamental items in finance. It plays a large role in Ardagh Metal Packaging financial statement analysis. It represents the amount of money remaining after all of Ardagh Metal Packaging operating expenses, interest, taxes and preferred stock dividends have been deducted from a company total revenue. It is Ardagh Metal's Net Loss historical data analysis aims to capture in quantitative terms the overall pattern of either growth or decline in Ardagh Metal's overall financial position and show how it may be relating to other accounts over time.
| View | Last Reported (3 M) | 10 Years Trend |
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Net Income |
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Ardagh Net Income Regression Statistics
| Arithmetic Mean | (37,474,853) | |
| Coefficient Of Variation | (252.69) | |
| Mean Deviation | 61,800,208 | |
| Median | (75,000,000) | |
| Standard Deviation | 94,695,178 | |
| Sample Variance | 8967.2T | |
| Range | 447M | |
| R-Value | 0.38 | |
| Mean Square Error | 8210.8T | |
| R-Squared | 0.14 | |
| Significance | 0.14 | |
| Slope | 7,056,054 | |
| Total Sum of Squares | 143474.8T |
Ardagh Net Income History
Other Fundumenentals of Ardagh Metal Packaging
| Net Income Applicable To Common Shares | ||
| Net Income From Continuing Ops | ||
| Net Income Per Share | ||
| Net Income Per E B T |
Ardagh Metal Net Income component correlations
Ardagh Net Income Driver Correlations
Understanding the fundamental principles of building solid financial models for Ardagh Metal is extremely important. It helps to project a fair market value of Ardagh Stock properly, considering its historical fundamentals such as Net Income. Since Ardagh Metal's main accounts across its financial reports are all linked and dependent on each other, it is essential to analyze all possible correlations between related accounts. However, instead of reviewing all of Ardagh Metal's historical financial statements, investors can examine the correlated drivers to determine its overall health. This can be effectively done using a conventional correlation matrix of Ardagh Metal's interrelated accounts and indicators.
Click cells to compare fundamentals
Can Diversified Metals & Mining industry sustain growth momentum? Does Ardagh have expansion opportunities? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Ardagh Metal. If investors know Ardagh will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. Determining accurate worth demands scrutiny of both present operating results and projected expansion capacity. Evaluating Ardagh Metal demands reviewing these metrics collectively while recognizing certain factors exert disproportionate influence.
Quarterly Earnings Growth 0.75 | Dividend Share 0.4 | Earnings Share (0.01) | Revenue Per Share | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.088 |
Ardagh Metal Packaging's market price often diverges from its book value, the accounting figure shown on Ardagh's balance sheet. Smart investors calculate Ardagh Metal's intrinsic value - its true economic worth - which may differ significantly from both market price and book value. Market participants employ diverse analytical approaches to determine fair value and identify buying opportunities when prices dip below calculated worth. Since Ardagh Metal's trading price responds to investor sentiment, macroeconomic conditions, and market psychology, it can swing far from fundamental value.
Understanding that Ardagh Metal's value differs from its trading price is crucial, as each reflects different aspects of the company. Evaluating whether Ardagh Metal represents a sound investment requires analyzing earnings trends, revenue growth, technical signals, industry dynamics, and expert forecasts. However, Ardagh Metal's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.
Ardagh Metal 'What if' Analysis
In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Ardagh Metal's stock what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Ardagh Metal.
| 11/08/2025 |
| 02/06/2026 |
If you would invest 0.00 in Ardagh Metal on November 8, 2025 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Ardagh Metal Packaging or generate 0.0% return on investment in Ardagh Metal over 90 days. Ardagh Metal is related to or competes with O I, PHINIA, National Vision, Adient PLC, Goodyear Tire, Under Armour, and TriMas. Ardagh Metal Packaging S.A. supplies metal beverage cans in Europe, the United States, and Brazil More
Ardagh Metal Upside/Downside Indicators
Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Ardagh Metal's stock current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Ardagh Metal Packaging upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.
| Downside Deviation | 2.22 | |||
| Information Ratio | 0.264 | |||
| Maximum Drawdown | 10.21 | |||
| Value At Risk | (2.59) | |||
| Potential Upside | 4.13 |
Ardagh Metal Market Risk Indicators
Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Ardagh Metal's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Ardagh Metal's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Ardagh Metal historical prices to predict the future Ardagh Metal's volatility.| Risk Adjusted Performance | 0.2227 | |||
| Jensen Alpha | 0.5307 | |||
| Total Risk Alpha | 0.439 | |||
| Sortino Ratio | 0.2214 | |||
| Treynor Ratio | (3.72) |
Ardagh Metal February 6, 2026 Technical Indicators
| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
| Risk Adjusted Performance | 0.2227 | |||
| Market Risk Adjusted Performance | (3.71) | |||
| Mean Deviation | 1.36 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 1.47 | |||
| Downside Deviation | 2.22 | |||
| Coefficient Of Variation | 346.91 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 1.86 | |||
| Variance | 3.45 | |||
| Information Ratio | 0.264 | |||
| Jensen Alpha | 0.5307 | |||
| Total Risk Alpha | 0.439 | |||
| Sortino Ratio | 0.2214 | |||
| Treynor Ratio | (3.72) | |||
| Maximum Drawdown | 10.21 | |||
| Value At Risk | (2.59) | |||
| Potential Upside | 4.13 | |||
| Downside Variance | 4.91 | |||
| Semi Variance | 2.16 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (1.71) | |||
| Skewness | (0.47) | |||
| Kurtosis | 1.59 |
Ardagh Metal Packaging Backtested Returns
Ardagh Metal appears to be somewhat reliable, given 3 months investment horizon. Ardagh Metal Packaging secures Sharpe Ratio (or Efficiency) of 0.36, which signifies that the company had a 0.36 % return per unit of standard deviation over the last 3 months. By analyzing Ardagh Metal's technical indicators, you can evaluate if the expected return of 0.64% is justified by implied risk. Please makes use of Ardagh Metal's mean deviation of 1.36, and Risk Adjusted Performance of 0.2227 to double-check if our risk estimates are consistent with your expectations. On a scale of 0 to 100, Ardagh Metal holds a performance score of 28. The firm shows a Beta (market volatility) of -0.14, which signifies not very significant fluctuations relative to the market. As returns on the market increase, returns on owning Ardagh Metal are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During the bear market, Ardagh Metal is likely to outperform the market. Please check Ardagh Metal's potential upside, rate of daily change, and the relationship between the sortino ratio and skewness , to make a quick decision on whether Ardagh Metal's price patterns will revert.
Auto-correlation | 0.79 |
Good predictability
Ardagh Metal Packaging has good predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Ardagh Metal time series from 8th of November 2025 to 23rd of December 2025 and 23rd of December 2025 to 6th of February 2026. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Ardagh Metal Packaging price movement. The serial correlation of 0.79 indicates that around 79.0% of current Ardagh Metal price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
| Correlation Coefficient | 0.79 | |
| Spearman Rank Test | 0.88 | |
| Residual Average | 0.0 | |
| Price Variance | 0.04 |
Because income is reported on the Income Statement of a company and is measured in dollars some investors prefer to use Profit Margin, which measures income as a percentage of sales.
| Competition |
Ardagh Accumulated Other Comprehensive Income
Accumulated Other Comprehensive Income |
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Based on the recorded statements, Ardagh Metal Packaging reported net income of (3 Million). This is 100.59% lower than that of the Metals & Mining sector and 100.92% lower than that of the Materials industry. The net income for all United States stocks is 100.53% higher than that of the company.
Ardagh Net Income Peer Comparison
Stock peer comparison is one of the most widely used and accepted methods of equity analyses. It analyses Ardagh Metal's direct or indirect competition against its Net Income to detect undervalued stocks with similar characteristics or determine the stocks which would be a good addition to a portfolio. Peer analysis of Ardagh Metal could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Ardagh Metal by comparing valuation metrics of similar companies.Ardagh Metal is currently under evaluation in net income category among its peers.
Ardagh Metal ESG Sustainability
Some studies have found that companies with high sustainability scores are getting higher valuations than competitors with lower social-engagement activities. While most ESG disclosures are voluntary and do not directly affect the long term financial condition, Ardagh Metal's sustainability indicators can be used to identify proper investment strategies using environmental, social, and governance scores that are crucial to Ardagh Metal's managers, analysts, and investors.Environmental | Governance | Social |
Ardagh Metal Institutional Holders
Institutional Holdings refers to the ownership stake in Ardagh Metal that is held by large financial organizations, pension funds or endowments. Institutions may hold large blocks of Ardagh Metal's outstanding shares and can exert considerable influence upon its management. Institutional holders may also work to push the share price higher once they own the stock. Extensive social media coverage, TV shows, articles in high-profile magazines, and presentations at investor conferences help move the stock higher, increasing Ardagh Metal's value.| Shares | Morgan Stanley - Brokerage Accounts | 2025-06-30 | 2.5 M | Gilman Hill Asset Management, Llc | 2025-06-30 | 2 M | Diameter Capital Partners Lp | 2025-06-30 | 1.9 M | Renaissance Technologies Corp | 2025-06-30 | 1.9 M | Geode Capital Management, Llc | 2025-06-30 | 1.9 M | Nuveen, Llc | 2025-06-30 | 1.8 M | King Street Capital Management Lp | 2025-06-30 | 1.8 M | Vanguard Group Inc | 2025-06-30 | 1.7 M | Keeley-teton Advisors, Llc | 2025-03-31 | 1.6 M | Canyon Capital Advisors Llc | 2025-06-30 | 11.2 M | Mirae Asset Global Etfs Holdings Ltd. | 2025-06-30 | 10.1 M |
Ardagh Fundamentals
| Return On Equity | -0.64 | ||||
| Return On Asset | 0.0253 | ||||
| Profit Margin | 0 % | ||||
| Operating Margin | 0.06 % | ||||
| Current Valuation | 6.44 B | ||||
| Shares Outstanding | 597.7 M | ||||
| Shares Owned By Insiders | 76.04 % | ||||
| Shares Owned By Institutions | 19.42 % | ||||
| Number Of Shares Shorted | 3.26 M | ||||
| Price To Earning | 68.04 X | ||||
| Price To Book | 94.32 X | ||||
| Price To Sales | 0.54 X | ||||
| Revenue | 4.91 B | ||||
| Gross Profit | 645 M | ||||
| EBITDA | 629 M | ||||
| Net Income | (3 M) | ||||
| Cash And Equivalents | 583 M | ||||
| Cash Per Share | 0.98 X | ||||
| Total Debt | 3.9 B | ||||
| Debt To Equity | 6.21 % | ||||
| Current Ratio | 1.46 X | ||||
| Book Value Per Share | (0.57) X | ||||
| Cash Flow From Operations | 450 M | ||||
| Short Ratio | 3.41 X | ||||
| Earnings Per Share | (0.01) X | ||||
| Price To Earnings To Growth | 0.59 X | ||||
| Target Price | 4.45 | ||||
| Number Of Employees | 6.3 K | ||||
| Beta | 0.56 | ||||
| Market Capitalization | 2.89 B | ||||
| Total Asset | 5.46 B | ||||
| Retained Earnings | (738 M) | ||||
| Working Capital | 182 M | ||||
| Annual Yield | 0.09 % | ||||
| Net Asset | 5.46 B | ||||
| Last Dividend Paid | 0.4 |
About Ardagh Metal Fundamental Analysis
The Macroaxis Fundamental Analysis modules help investors analyze Ardagh Metal Packaging's financials across various querterly and yearly statements, indicators and fundamental ratios. We help investors to determine the real value of Ardagh Metal using virtually all public information available. We use both quantitative as well as qualitative analysis to arrive at the intrinsic value of Ardagh Metal Packaging based on its fundamental data. In general, a quantitative approach, as applied to this company, focuses on analyzing financial statements comparatively, whereas a qaualitative method uses data that is important to a company's growth but cannot be measured and presented in a numerical way.
Please read more on our fundamental analysis page.
Pair Trading with Ardagh Metal
One of the main advantages of trading using pair correlations is that every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if Ardagh Metal position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in Ardagh Metal will appreciate offsetting losses from the drop in the long position's value.Moving together with Ardagh Stock
Moving against Ardagh Stock
| 0.89 | GEO | Empire Metals Limited | PairCorr |
| 0.88 | AMY | American Manganese | PairCorr |
| 0.68 | ADC | Acdc Metals | PairCorr |
| 0.63 | T2G | TRADEGATE | PairCorr |
| 0.61 | IMI | Infinity Mining | PairCorr |
The ability to find closely correlated positions to Ardagh Metal could be a great tool in your tax-loss harvesting strategies, allowing investors a quick way to find a similar-enough asset to replace Ardagh Metal when you sell it. If you don't do this, your portfolio allocation will be skewed against your target asset allocation. So, investors can't just sell and buy back Ardagh Metal - that would be a violation of the tax code under the "wash sale" rule, and this is why you need to find a similar enough asset and use the proceeds from selling Ardagh Metal Packaging to buy it.
The correlation of Ardagh Metal is a statistical measure of how it moves in relation to other instruments. This measure is expressed in what is known as the correlation coefficient, which ranges between -1 and +1. A perfect positive correlation (i.e., a correlation coefficient of +1) implies that as Ardagh Metal moves, either up or down, the other security will move in the same direction. Alternatively, perfect negative correlation means that if Ardagh Metal Packaging moves in either direction, the perfectly negatively correlated security will move in the opposite direction. If the correlation is 0, the equities are not correlated; they are entirely random. A correlation greater than 0.8 is generally described as strong, whereas a correlation less than 0.5 is generally considered weak.
Correlation analysis and pair trading evaluation for Ardagh Metal can also be used as hedging techniques within a particular sector or industry or even over random equities to generate a better risk-adjusted return on your portfolios.Additional Tools for Ardagh Stock Analysis
When running Ardagh Metal's price analysis, check to measure Ardagh Metal's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Ardagh Metal is operating at the current time. Most of Ardagh Metal's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Ardagh Metal's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Ardagh Metal's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Ardagh Metal to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.