First Merchants Stock Z Score

FRME Stock

USD 44.97 0.92 2.09%

Altman Z Score is one of the simplest fundamental models to determine how likely your company is to fail. The module uses available fundamental data of a given equity to approximate the Altman Z score. Altman Z Score is determined by evaluating five fundamental price points available from the company's current public disclosure documents. Check out First Merchants Piotroski F Score and First Merchants Valuation analysis.

For information on how to trade First Stock refer to our How to Trade First Stock guide.

At present, First Merchants' Total Debt To Capitalization is projected to slightly decrease based on the last few years of reporting. The current year's Capital Expenditure Coverage Ratio is expected to grow to 6.23, whereas Net Invested Capital is forecasted to decline to about 2.6 B. At present, First Merchants' Other Operating Expenses is projected to increase significantly based on the last few years of reporting. The current year's Operating Income is expected to grow to about 272.2 M, whereas Cost Of Revenue is forecasted to decline to about 56.2 M.

First Merchants Company Z Score Analysis

First Merchants' Z-Score is a simple linear, multi-factor model that measures the financial health and economic stability of a company. The score is used to predict the probability of a firm going into bankruptcy within next 24 months or two fiscal years from the day stated on the accounting statements used to calculate it. The model uses five fundamental business ratios that are weighted according to algorithm of Professor Edward Altman who developed it in the late 1960s at New York University..

Z Score

Sum Of

5 Factors

More About Z Score | All Equity Analysis

First Factor

1.2 * (

Working Capital

/

Total Assets )

Second Factor

1.4 * (

Retained Earnings

/

Total Assets )

Thrid Factor

3.3 * (

EBITAD

/

Total Assets )

Fouth Factor

0.6 * (

Market Value of Equity

/

Total Liabilities )

Fifth Factor

0.99 * (

Revenue

/

Total Assets )

First Z Score Driver Correlations

Understanding the fundamental principles of building solid financial models for First Merchants is extremely important. It helps to project a fair market value of First Stock properly, considering its historical fundamentals such as Z Score. Since First Merchants' main accounts across its financial reports are all linked and dependent on each other, it is essential to analyze all possible correlations between related accounts. However, instead of reviewing all of First Merchants' historical financial statements, investors can examine the correlated drivers to determine its overall health. This can be effectively done using a conventional correlation matrix of First Merchants' interrelated accounts and indicators.

	Total Assets	Total Stockholder Equity	Net Debt	Retained Earnings	Net Receivables	Total Liab	Total Current Assets	Short Term Debt	Accounts Payable	Good Will	Common Stock	Long Term Debt	Short Term Investments	Intangible Assets	Property Plant Equipment	Net Tangible Assets	Capital Surpluse	Long Term Investments	Short Long Term Debt	Long Term Debt Total	Earning Assets	Current Deferred Revenue	Net Invested Capital	Capital Stock
Total Assets		0.99	0.28	0.99	0.97	1.0	-0.22	0.08	0.75	0.99	0.77	0.86	0.92	0.8	0.66	0.89	0.89	0.32	0.55	0.86	0.83	0.39	0.89	0.69
Total Stockholder Equity	0.99		0.24	0.98	0.94	0.99	-0.15	0.01	0.73	0.99	0.8	0.81	0.93	0.82	0.67	0.91	0.9	0.39	0.56	0.8	0.84	0.44	0.84	0.61
Net Debt	0.28	0.24		0.26	0.35	0.28	0.05	0.61	0.33	0.33	0.35	0.46	0.08	0.28	0.39	0.17	0.35	-0.16	0.3	0.3	0.1	-0.37	0.35	0.63
Retained Earnings	0.99	0.98	0.26		0.98	0.99	-0.24	0.01	0.8	0.99	0.72	0.86	0.89	0.81	0.62	0.87	0.87	0.28	0.53	0.89	0.82	0.45	0.9	0.71
Net Receivables	0.97	0.94	0.35	0.98		0.97	-0.28	0.02	0.87	0.98	0.64	0.89	0.81	0.8	0.55	0.79	0.83	0.19	0.5	0.94	0.76	0.44	0.92	0.79
Total Liab	1.0	0.99	0.28	0.99	0.97		-0.23	0.09	0.75	0.98	0.76	0.86	0.91	0.8	0.65	0.88	0.88	0.31	0.55	0.87	0.83	0.38	0.89	0.7
Total Current Assets	-0.22	-0.15	0.05	-0.24	-0.28	-0.23		0.17	-0.22	-0.17	0.12	-0.16	-0.22	-0.22	0.16	-0.17	-0.17	-0.09	0.11	-0.47	-0.45	0.01	-0.56	-0.48
Short Term Debt	0.08	0.01	0.61	0.01	0.02	0.09	0.17		-0.19	0.02	0.29	0.17	0.06	-0.11	0.38	-0.03	0.03	-0.17	0.12	0.0	-0.1	-0.7	0.04	0.23
Accounts Payable	0.75	0.73	0.33	0.8	0.87	0.75	-0.22	-0.19		0.81	0.34	0.71	0.46	0.65	0.34	0.5	0.58	0.03	0.37	0.85	0.49	0.67	0.75	0.71
Good Will	0.99	0.99	0.33	0.99	0.98	0.98	-0.17	0.02	0.81		0.75	0.86	0.87	0.84	0.64	0.86	0.89	0.31	0.55	0.86	0.8	0.45	0.87	0.7
Common Stock	0.77	0.8	0.35	0.72	0.64	0.76	0.12	0.29	0.34	0.75		0.58	0.81	0.51	0.92	0.9	0.9	0.41	0.55	0.43	0.78	0.1	0.61	0.47
Long Term Debt	0.86	0.81	0.46	0.86	0.89	0.86	-0.16	0.17	0.71	0.86	0.58		0.67	0.66	0.48	0.67	0.72	0.11	0.49	0.88	0.6	0.24	0.81	0.77
Short Term Investments	0.92	0.93	0.08	0.89	0.81	0.91	-0.22	0.06	0.46	0.87	0.81	0.67		0.73	0.63	0.93	0.87	0.45	0.48	0.66	0.89	0.26	0.76	0.47
Intangible Assets	0.8	0.82	0.28	0.81	0.8	0.8	-0.22	-0.11	0.65	0.84	0.51	0.66	0.73		0.35	0.7	0.73	0.45	0.5	0.67	0.63	0.32	0.67	0.48
Property Plant Equipment	0.66	0.67	0.39	0.62	0.55	0.65	0.16	0.38	0.34	0.64	0.92	0.48	0.63	0.35		0.75	0.77	0.39	0.6	0.37	0.64	0.12	0.54	0.47
Net Tangible Assets	0.89	0.91	0.17	0.87	0.79	0.88	-0.17	-0.03	0.5	0.86	0.9	0.67	0.93	0.7	0.75		0.97	0.44	0.55	0.63	0.94	0.31	0.79	0.55
Capital Surpluse	0.89	0.9	0.35	0.87	0.83	0.88	-0.17	0.03	0.58	0.89	0.9	0.72	0.87	0.73	0.77	0.97		0.36	0.55	0.67	0.92	0.27	0.83	0.67
Long Term Investments	0.32	0.39	-0.16	0.28	0.19	0.31	-0.09	-0.17	0.03	0.31	0.41	0.11	0.45	0.45	0.39	0.44	0.36		0.5	0.05	0.43	0.24	0.17	-0.14
Short Long Term Debt	0.55	0.56	0.3	0.53	0.5	0.55	0.11	0.12	0.37	0.55	0.55	0.49	0.48	0.5	0.6	0.55	0.55	0.5		0.38	0.41	0.18	0.41	0.3
Long Term Debt Total	0.86	0.8	0.3	0.89	0.94	0.87	-0.47	0.0	0.85	0.86	0.43	0.88	0.66	0.67	0.37	0.63	0.67	0.05	0.38		0.67	0.39	0.93	0.85
Earning Assets	0.83	0.84	0.1	0.82	0.76	0.83	-0.45	-0.1	0.49	0.8	0.78	0.6	0.89	0.63	0.64	0.94	0.92	0.43	0.41	0.67		0.3	0.86	0.62
Current Deferred Revenue	0.39	0.44	-0.37	0.45	0.44	0.38	0.01	-0.7	0.67	0.45	0.1	0.24	0.26	0.32	0.12	0.31	0.27	0.24	0.18	0.39	0.3		0.29	0.08
Net Invested Capital	0.89	0.84	0.35	0.9	0.92	0.89	-0.56	0.04	0.75	0.87	0.61	0.81	0.76	0.67	0.54	0.79	0.83	0.17	0.41	0.93	0.86	0.29		0.9
Capital Stock	0.69	0.61	0.63	0.71	0.79	0.7	-0.48	0.23	0.71	0.7	0.47	0.77	0.47	0.48	0.47	0.55	0.67	-0.14	0.3	0.85	0.62	0.08	0.9

Click cells to compare fundamentals

To calculate a Z-Score, one would need to know a company's current working capital, its total assets and liabilities, and the amount of its latest earnings as well as earnings before interest and tax. Z-Scores can be used to compare the odds of bankruptcy of companies in a similar line of business or firms operating in the same industry. Companies with Z-Scores above 3.1 are generally considered to be stable and healthy with a low probability of bankruptcy. Scores that fall between 1.8 and 3.1 lie in a so-called 'grey area,' with scores of less than 1 indicating the highest probability of distress. Z Score is a used widely measure by financial auditors, accountants, money managers, loan processors, wealth advisers, and day traders. In the last 25 years, many financial models that utilize z-scores proved it to be successful as a predictor of corporate bankruptcy.

Competition

Predict First Merchants

According to the company's disclosures, First Merchants has a Z Score of 0.0. This is 100.0% lower than that of the Banks sector and about the same as Financials (which currently averages 0.0) industry. The z score for all United States stocks is 100.0% higher than that of the company.

First Merchants Current Valuation Drivers

We derive many important indicators used in calculating different scores of First Merchants from analyzing First Merchants' financial statements. These drivers represent accounts that assess First Merchants' ability to generate profits relative to its revenue, operating costs, and shareholders' equity. Below are some of First Merchants' important valuation drivers and their relationship over time.

	2019	2020	2021	2022	2023	2024 (projected)
Market Cap	2.1B	2.0B	2.3B	2.4B	2.2B	2.3B
Enterprise Value	2.3B	1.9B	2.1B	3.1B	3.0B	3.1B

First Merchants ESG Sustainability

Some studies have found that companies with high sustainability scores are getting higher valuations than competitors with lower social-engagement activities. While most ESG disclosures are voluntary and do not directly affect the long term financial condition, First Merchants' sustainability indicators can be used to identify proper investment strategies using environmental, social, and governance scores that are crucial to First Merchants' managers, analysts, and investors.

Environmental

Governance

Social

First Merchants Institutional Holders

Institutional Holdings refers to the ownership stake in First Merchants that is held by large financial organizations, pension funds or endowments. Institutions may purchase large blocks of First Merchants' outstanding shares and can exert considerable influence upon its management. Institutional holders may also work to push the share price higher once they own the stock. Extensive social media coverage, TV shows, articles in high-profile magazines, and presentations at investor conferences help move the stock higher, increasing First Merchants' value.

		Shares
Nuveen Asset Management, Llc	2024-06-30	764.1 K
Charles Schwab Investment Management Inc	2024-09-30	722.1 K
Boston Partners Global Investors, Inc	2024-09-30	721.5 K
Jpmorgan Chase & Co	2024-06-30	705.3 K
Public Employees Retirt Assn Of Colorado	2024-06-30	695.8 K
Pl Capital Advisors, Llc	2024-09-30	686.3 K
Systematic Financial Management Lp	2024-09-30	682.7 K
Northern Trust Corp	2024-09-30	641.1 K
First Merchants Corp	2024-09-30	562.7 K
Vanguard Group Inc	2024-09-30	6.2 M
Blackrock Inc	2024-06-30	4.8 M

First Fundamentals

	Return On Equity	0.0817
	Return On Asset	0.0099
	Profit Margin	0.30 %
	Operating Margin	0.42 %
	Current Valuation	3.25 B
	Shares Outstanding	58.67 M
	Shares Owned By Insiders	1.56 %
	Shares Owned By Institutions	75.51 %
	Number Of Shares Shorted	469.91 K
	Price To Earning	14.38 X
	Price To Book	1.13 X
	Price To Sales	4.45 X
	Revenue	654.31 M
	Gross Profit	611.39 M
	EBITDA	270.94 M
	Net Income	223.79 M
	Cash And Equivalents	299.12 M
	Cash Per Share	5.06 X
	Total Debt	871.5 M
	Debt To Equity	6.95 %
	Book Value Per Share	39.18 X
	Cash Flow From Operations	258.83 M
	Short Ratio	1.74 X
	Earnings Per Share	3.01 X
	Price To Earnings To Growth	2.68 X
	Target Price	44.0
	Number Of Employees	2.16 K
	Beta	1.02
	Market Capitalization	2.64 B
	Total Asset	18.41 B
	Retained Earnings	1.15 B
	Annual Yield	0.03 %
	Five Year Return	2.58 %
	Net Asset	18.41 B
	Last Dividend Paid	1.38

About First Merchants Fundamental Analysis

The Macroaxis Fundamental Analysis modules help investors analyze First Merchants's financials across various querterly and yearly statements, indicators and fundamental ratios. We help investors to determine the real value of First Merchants using virtually all public information available. We use both quantitative as well as qualitative analysis to arrive at the intrinsic value of First Merchants based on its fundamental data. In general, a quantitative approach, as applied to this company, focuses on analyzing financial statements comparatively, whereas a qaualitative method uses data that is important to a company's growth but cannot be measured and presented in a numerical way.

Please read more on our fundamental analysis page.

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When determining whether First Merchants is a good investment, qualitative aspects like company management, corporate governance, and ethical practices play a significant role. A comparison with peer companies also provides context and helps to understand if First Stock is undervalued or overvalued. This multi-faceted approach, blending both quantitative and qualitative analysis, forms a solid foundation for making an informed investment decision about First Merchants Stock. Highlighted below are key reports to facilitate an investment decision about First Merchants Stock:

How To Invest In First

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Is First Stock a good investment?

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What is First Merchants' Net Worth?

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Largest Regional Banks Companies

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Largest Banks - Regional Companies

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Check out First Merchants Piotroski F Score and First Merchants Valuation analysis.

For information on how to trade First Stock refer to our How to Trade First Stock guide.

You can also try the Performance Analysis module to check effects of mean-variance optimization against your current asset allocation.

Is Regional Banks space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of First Merchants. If investors know First will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about First Merchants listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.

Quarterly Earnings Growth

(0.11)

Dividend Share

1.38

Earnings Share

3.01

Revenue Per Share

10.11

Quarterly Revenue Growth

(0.05)

The market value of First Merchants is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of First that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of First Merchants' value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is First Merchants' true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because First Merchants' market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect First Merchants' underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.

Please note, there is a significant difference between First Merchants' value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if First Merchants is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, First Merchants' price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

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First Merchants Stock Z Score

First Merchants Company Z Score Analysis

Z Score

Sum Of

5 Factors

First Factor

1.2 * (

Working Capital

/

Total Assets )

Second Factor

1.4 * (

Retained Earnings

/

Total Assets )

Thrid Factor

3.3 * (

EBITAD

/

Total Assets )

Fouth Factor

0.6 * (

Market Value of Equity

/

Total Liabilities )

Fifth Factor

0.99 * (

Revenue

/

Total Assets )

First Z Score Driver Correlations

First Merchants Current Valuation Drivers

First Merchants ESG Sustainability

First Merchants Institutional Holders

First Fundamentals

About First Merchants Fundamental Analysis

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