Selective Insurance Group Stock Beneish M Score

SIGI Stock  USD 97.82  1.44  1.49%   
This module uses fundamental data of Selective Insurance to approximate the value of its Beneish M Score. Selective Insurance M Score tells investors if the company management is likely to be manipulating earnings. The score is calculated using eight financial indicators that are adjusted by a specific multiplier. Please note, the M Score is a probabilistic model and cannot detect companies that manipulate their earnings with 100% accuracy. Check out Selective Insurance Piotroski F Score and Selective Insurance Altman Z Score analysis.
  
As of now, Selective Insurance's Total Debt To Capitalization is decreasing as compared to previous years. The Selective Insurance's current Debt Ratio is estimated to increase to 0.07, while Short and Long Term Debt Total is projected to decrease to under 293.8 M. As of now, Selective Insurance's Book Value Per Share is increasing as compared to previous years. The Selective Insurance's current Operating Cash Flow Per Share is estimated to increase to 12.74, while Dividend Yield is projected to decrease to 0.01.
At this time, it appears that Selective Insurance is an unlikely manipulator. The earnings manipulation may begin if Selective Insurance's top management creates an artificial sense of financial success, forcing the stock price to be traded at a high price-earnings multiple than it should be. In general, excessive earnings management by Selective Insurance executives may lead to removing some of the operating profits from subsequent periods to inflate earnings in the following periods. This way, the manipulation of Selective Insurance's earnings can lead to misrepresentations of actual financial condition, taking the otherwise loyal stakeholders on to the path of questionable ethical practices and plain fraud.
-2.37
Beneish M Score - Unlikely Manipulator
Elasticity of Receivables

1.11

Focus
Asset Quality

1.0

Focus
Expense Coverage

0.81

Focus
Gross Margin Strengs

1.05

Focus
Accruals Factor

0.81

Focus
Depreciation Resistance

0.76

Focus
Net Sales Growth

0.95

Focus
Financial Leverage Condition

0.6

Focus

Selective Insurance Beneish M-Score Indicator Trends

The cure to earnings manipulation is the transparency of financial reporting. It will typically remove the temptation of the top executives to inflate earnings (i.e., to promote the idea of 'winning at any cost'). Because a healthy internal audit department can enhance transparency, the board should promote the auditors' access to all the record-keeping systems across the enterprise. For example, if Selective Insurance's auditors report directly to the board (not management), the managers will be reluctant to manipulate simply due to the fear of punishment. On the other hand, the auditors will be free to investigate the ledgers properly because they know that the board has their back.
Current ValueLast YearChange From Last Year 10 Year Trend
Net Receivables2.1 BB
Sufficiently Up
Slightly volatile
Total Revenue96.1 M101.2 M
Notably Down
Pretty Stable
Total Assets12.4 B11.8 B
Sufficiently Up
Slightly volatile
Total Current Assets1.1 BB
Sufficiently Up
Slightly volatile
Non Current Assets Total12.9 B12.2 B
Sufficiently Up
Slightly volatile
Property Plant Equipment65.6 M97 M
Way Down
Slightly volatile
Depreciation And Amortization29.6 M30 M
Fairly Down
Pretty Stable
Total Current Liabilities121.8 M128.3 M
Notably Down
Slightly volatile
Non Current Liabilities Total9.3 B8.8 B
Sufficiently Up
Slightly volatile
Net Debt277.7 M501.1 M
Way Down
Slightly volatile
Long Term Debt389.5 M501.3 M
Significantly Down
Slightly volatile
Total Cash From Operating Activities796.9 M758.9 M
Sufficiently Up
Slightly volatile
Short Term Investments1.5 B820.4 M
Way Up
Pretty Stable
Long Term Investments6.5 BB
Significantly Down
Slightly volatile
Gross Profit Margin43.8241.7374
Sufficiently Up
Slightly volatile

Selective Insurance Beneish M-Score Driver Matrix

One of the toughest challenges investors face today is learning how to quickly synthesize historical financial statements and information provided by the company, SEC reporting, and various external parties in order to detect the potential manipulation of earnings. Understanding the correlation between Selective Insurance's different financial indicators related to revenue, expenses, operating profit, and net earnings helps investors identify and prioritize their investing strategies towards Selective Insurance in a much-optimized way. Analyzing correlations between earnings drivers directly associated with dollar figures is the most effective way to find Selective Insurance's degree of accounting gimmicks and manipulations.

About Selective Insurance Beneish M Score

M-Score is one of many grading techniques for value stocks. It was developed by Professor M. Daniel Beneish of the Kelley School of Business at Indiana University and published in 1999 under the paper titled The Detection of Earnings Manipulation. The Beneish score is a multi-factor model that utilizes financial identifiers to compile eight variables used to classify whether a company has manipulated its reported earnings. The variables are built from the officially filed financial statements to create a final score call 'M Score.' The score helps to identify companies that are likely to manipulate their profits if they show deteriorating gross margins, operating expenses, and leverage against growing revenue.

Depreciation And Amortization

29.64 Million

As of now, Selective Insurance's Depreciation And Amortization is increasing as compared to previous years.

Selective Insurance Earnings Manipulation Drivers

Although earnings manipulation is typically not the result of intentional misconduct by the c-level executives, it is still a widespread practice by the senior management of public companies such as Selective Insurance. It is usually done by a series of misrepresentations of various accounting rules and operating activities across multiple financial cycles. The best way to spot the manipulation is to examine the historical financial statement to find inconsistencies in earning reports to find trends in assets or liabilities that are not sustainable in the future.
201920202021202220232024 (projected)
Net Receivables1.4B1.5B1.6B1.9B2.0B2.1B
Total Revenue2.8B2.9B3.4B3.6B101.2M96.1M
Total Assets8.8B9.7B10.5B10.8B11.8B12.4B
Total Current Assets300K394K455K26K1.0B1.1B
Net Debt549.6M524.8M500.1M500.9M501.1M277.7M
Short Term Debt58.7M58.7M9.6M9.8M10.6M10.1M
Long Term Debt550.6M550.7M500.6M501M501.3M389.5M
Operating Income369.7M334.1M534.5M309.0M474.5M498.2M
Investments(603.5M)(390.1M)(557.0M)(803.9M)(753.6M)(715.9M)

Selective Insurance ESG Sustainability

Some studies have found that companies with high sustainability scores are getting higher valuations than competitors with lower social-engagement activities. While most ESG disclosures are voluntary and do not directly affect the long term financial condition, Selective Insurance's sustainability indicators can be used to identify proper investment strategies using environmental, social, and governance scores that are crucial to Selective Insurance's managers, analysts, and investors.
Environmental
Governance
Social

About Selective Insurance Fundamental Analysis

The Macroaxis Fundamental Analysis modules help investors analyze Selective Insurance Group's financials across various querterly and yearly statements, indicators and fundamental ratios. We help investors to determine the real value of Selective Insurance using virtually all public information available. We use both quantitative as well as qualitative analysis to arrive at the intrinsic value of Selective Insurance Group based on its fundamental data. In general, a quantitative approach, as applied to this company, focuses on analyzing financial statements comparatively, whereas a qaualitative method uses data that is important to a company's growth but cannot be measured and presented in a numerical way.
Please read more on our fundamental analysis page.

Currently Active Assets on Macroaxis

When determining whether Selective Insurance offers a strong return on investment in its stock, a comprehensive analysis is essential. The process typically begins with a thorough review of Selective Insurance's financial statements, including income statements, balance sheets, and cash flow statements, to assess its financial health. Key financial ratios are used to gauge profitability, efficiency, and growth potential of Selective Insurance Group Stock. Outlined below are crucial reports that will aid in making a well-informed decision on Selective Insurance Group Stock:
Check out Selective Insurance Piotroski F Score and Selective Insurance Altman Z Score analysis.
You can also try the Portfolio Comparator module to compare the composition, asset allocations and performance of any two portfolios in your account.
Is Property & Casualty Insurance space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Selective Insurance. If investors know Selective will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Selective Insurance listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth
0.035
Dividend Share
1.4
Earnings Share
3.72
Revenue Per Share
77.534
Quarterly Revenue Growth
0.151
The market value of Selective Insurance is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Selective that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Selective Insurance's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Selective Insurance's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Selective Insurance's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Selective Insurance's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Selective Insurance's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Selective Insurance is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Selective Insurance's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.