Is Pagerduty Stock a Good Investment?

Pagerduty Investment Advice

  PD
To provide specific investment advice or recommendations on Pagerduty stock, we recommend investors consider the following general factors when evaluating Pagerduty. This will help you to make an informed decision on whether to include Pagerduty in one of your diversified portfolios:
  • Examine Pagerduty's financial health by looking at its balance sheet, income statement, and cash flow statement. Analyze key financial ratios, such as Price-to-Earnings (P/E), Price-to-Sales (P/S), and Price-to-Book (P/B), to determine whether the stock is fairly valued or over/undervalued.
  • Research Pagerduty's leadership team and their track record. Good management can help Pagerduty navigate difficult times and make strategic decisions that benefit shareholders and increases its net worth.
  • Consider the overall health of the Application Software space and any emerging trends that could impact Pagerduty's business and its evolving consumer preferences.
  • Compare Pagerduty's performance and market position to its competitors. Analyze how Pagerduty is positioned in terms of product offerings, innovation, and market share.
  • Check if Pagerduty pays a dividend and its dividend yield and payout ratio.
  • Review what financial analysts are saying about Pagerduty's stock and their price targets. However, remember that analysts' opinions can vary, and their predictions may not always be accurate.
It's important to note that investing in Pagerduty stock, carries risks, and you should carefully consider your investment goals and risk tolerance before making any investment decisions. Also, remember that it's important for investors to have a long-term perspective and a well-diversified portfolio to manage the impact of stock market volatility on their investments. Below is a detailed guide on how to decide if Pagerduty is a good investment.
 
Sell
 
Buy
Sell
Our trade recommendations tool can cross-verify current analyst consensus on Pagerduty and to analyze the firm potential to grow in the current economic cycle. To make sure Pagerduty is not overpriced, please check all Pagerduty fundamentals, including its number of shares shorted, cash per share, price to earnings to growth, as well as the relationship between the gross profit and book value per share . Given that Pagerduty has a number of shares shorted of 10.92 M, we recommend you to check out Pagerduty market performance and probability of bankruptcy to ensure the company can sustain itself in the current economic cycle given your recent risk tolerance and investing horizon.

Market Performance

Very WeakDetails

Volatility

Very steadyDetails

Hype Condition

StaleDetails

Current Valuation

UndervaluedDetails

Odds Of Distress

AverageDetails

Economic Sensitivity

Hyperactively responds to market trendsDetails

Investor Sentiment

AlarmedDetails

Analyst Consensus

BuyDetails

Financial Strenth (F Score)

HealthyDetails

Financial Leverage

Not RatedDetails

Reporting Quality (M-Score)

Unlikely ManipulatorDetails

Examine Pagerduty Stock

Researching Pagerduty's stock involves analyzing various aspects of the company and its industry to make an informed investment decision. The key areas to focus on are fundamentals, business model and competitive advantage. It is also important to analyze trends in revenue, net income, and cash flow, as well as key financial ratios, such as price-to-earnings (P/E), price-to-sales (P/S), and debt-to-equity (D/E). About 91.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors. The company recorded a loss per share of 0.9. Pagerduty had not issued any dividends in recent years.
To determine if Pagerduty is a good investment, evaluating the company's potential for future growth is also very important. This may include expanding into new markets, launching new products or services, or improving operational efficiency. Companies with strong growth prospects can be more attractive investments. This aspect of the research should be conducted in the context of the overall market and industry in which the company operates and should include an analysis of growth potential, competitive landscape, and any regulatory or economic factors that could impact the business. Some of the essential points regarding Pagerduty's research are outlined below:
Pagerduty has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years
The company generated the yearly revenue of 430.7 M. Annual Net Loss to common stockholders was (81.76 M) with gross profit of 300.88 M.
Over 91.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors
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Pagerduty Quarterly Liabilities And Stockholders Equity

916.01 Million

Pagerduty uses earnings reports to provide investors with an update of all three financial statements, including the income statement, the balance sheet, and the cash flow statement. Therefore, it is also crucial when considering investing in Pagerduty. Every quarterly earnings report provides investors with an overview of sales, expenses, and net income for the most recent period. It also may provide a comparison to Pagerduty's previous reporting period. The quarterly earnings reports are usually disseminated to the public via Form 10-Q, which is a legal document filed with the Securities and Exchange Commission every quarter.
20th of March 2024
Upcoming Quarterly Report
View
6th of June 2024
Next Financial Report
View
31st of January 2024
Next Fiscal Quarter End
View
20th of March 2024
Next Fiscal Year End
View
31st of October 2023
Last Quarter Report
View
31st of January 2023
Last Financial Announcement
View
Earnings surprises can significantly impact Pagerduty's stock price both in the short term and over time. Negative earnings surprises usually result in a price decline. However, it has been seen that positive earnings surprises lead to an immediate rise in a stock's price and a gradual increase over time. This is why we often hear news about some companies beating earning projections. Financial analysts spend a large amount of time predicting earnings per share (EPS) along with other important future indicators. Many analysts use forecasting models, management guidance, and additional fundamental information to derive an EPS estimate. Below are the table of largest EPS Surprises Pagerduty's investors have experienced.
Reported
Fiscal Date
Estimated EPS
Reported EPS
Surprise
2021-06-03
2021-04-30-0.09-0.080.0111 
2020-12-03
2020-10-31-0.1-0.090.0110 
2019-12-05
2019-10-31-0.09-0.1-0.0111 
2024-03-14
2024-01-310.150.170.0213 
2022-03-31
2022-03-31-0.06-0.040.0233 
2022-03-16
2022-01-31-0.06-0.040.0233 
2021-12-31
2021-12-31-0.09-0.070.0222 
2021-12-07
2021-10-31-0.09-0.070.0222 

Know Pagerduty's Top Institutional Investors

Have you ever been surprised when a price of an equity instrument such as Pagerduty is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Pagerduty backward and forwards among themselves. Pagerduty's institutional investor refers to the entity that pools money to purchase Pagerduty's securities or originate loans. Institutional investors include commercial and private banks, credit unions, insurance companies, pension funds, hedge funds, endowments, and mutual funds. Operating companies that invest excess capital in these types of assets may also be included in the term and may influence corporate governance by exercising voting rights in their investments.
Shares
State Street Corp2024-06-30
2.3 M
Geode Capital Management, Llc2024-06-30
2.1 M
Citadel Advisors Llc2024-06-30
1.4 M
American Century Companies Inc2024-09-30
1.4 M
Renaissance Technologies Corp2024-09-30
1.3 M
Bank Of America Corp2024-06-30
1.2 M
Citigroup Inc2024-06-30
1.1 M
Arrowmark Colorado Holdings, Llc (arrowmark Partners)2024-06-30
999.1 K
Nomura Holdings Inc2024-06-30
898.2 K
Ark Investment Management Llc2024-06-30
10.6 M
Vanguard Group Inc2024-09-30
10.5 M
Note, although Pagerduty's institutional investors appear to be way more sophisticated than retail investors, it remains unclear if professional active investment managers can reliably enhance risk-adjusted returns by an amount that exceeds fees and expenses.

Pagerduty's market capitalization trends

The company currently falls under 'Mid-Cap' category with a market capitalization of 1.75 B.

Market Cap

3.08 Billion

Pagerduty's profitablity analysis

Last ReportedProjected for Next Year
Return On Tangible Assets(0.11)(0.11)
Return On Capital Employed(0.15)(0.16)
Return On Assets(0.09)(0.09)
Return On Equity(0.48)(0.45)
The company has Net Profit Margin (PM) of (0.19) %, which may indicate that it does not properly execute on its own pricing strategies. This is way below average. Likewise, it shows Net Operating Margin (NOM) of (0.14) %, which signifies that for every 100 dollars of sales, it has a net operating loss of $0.14.
Determining Pagerduty's profitability involves analyzing its financial statements and using various financial metrics to determine if Pagerduty is a good buy. For example, gross profit margin measures Pagerduty's profitability after accounting for the cost of goods sold, while net profit margin measures profitability after accounting for all expenses. Other important metrics include return on assets, return on equity, and free cash flow. By reviewing multiple sources and metrics, you can gain a complete picture of Pagerduty's profitability and make more informed investment decisions.

Pagerduty's Earnings Breakdown by Geography

Please note, the presentation of Pagerduty's financial position, as portrayed in its financial statements, is often influenced by management's estimates, judgments, and sometimes even manipulations. In the best case, Pagerduty's management is honest, while the outside auditors are strict and uncompromising. Please utilize our Beneish M Score to check the likelihood of Pagerduty's management manipulating its earnings.

Evaluate Pagerduty's management efficiency

Pagerduty has Return on Asset (ROA) of (0.0611) % which means that for every 100 dollars spent on asset, it generated a loss of $0.0611. This is way below average. Likewise, it shows a return on total equity (ROE) of (0.313) %, which implies that it produced no returns to current stockholders. Pagerduty's management efficiency ratios could be used to measure how well Pagerduty manages its routine affairs as well as how well it operates its assets and liabilities. As of November 22, 2024, Return On Tangible Assets is expected to decline to -0.11. In addition to that, Return On Capital Employed is expected to decline to -0.16. At present, Pagerduty's Other Current Assets are projected to increase significantly based on the last few years of reporting. The current year's Intangible Assets is expected to grow to about 32.9 M, whereas Non Current Assets Total are forecasted to decline to about 129.6 M.
Last ReportedProjected for Next Year
Book Value Per Share 1.94  2.02 
Tangible Book Value Per Share 0.10  0.09 
Enterprise Value Over EBITDA(33.80)(35.49)
Price Book Value Ratio 12.74  13.38 
Enterprise Value Multiple(33.80)(35.49)
Price Fair Value 12.74  13.38 
Enterprise Value2.5 B2.2 B
Management at Pagerduty focuses on leveraging technology and optimizing operations. We evaluate the impact of these focuses on the company's financial health and stock performance.
Beta
1.071

Basic technical analysis of Pagerduty Stock

As of the 22nd of November, Pagerduty holds the Variance of 5.55, coefficient of variation of (20,707), and Risk Adjusted Performance of 0.0032. Compared to fundamental indicators, the technical analysis model allows you to check existing technical drivers of Pagerduty, as well as the relationship between them. Please check Pagerduty standard deviation, maximum drawdown, as well as the relationship between the Maximum Drawdown and kurtosis to decide if Pagerduty is priced some-what accurately, providing market reflects its current price of 19.84 per share. Given that Pagerduty has information ratio of (0.05), we recommend you to check out Pagerduty's recent market performance to make sure the company can sustain itself at a future point.

Pagerduty's insider trading activities

Some recent studies suggest that insider trading raises the cost of capital for securities issuers and decreases overall economic growth. Trading by specific Pagerduty insiders, such as employees or executives, is commonly permitted as long as it does not rely on Pagerduty's material information that is not in the public domain. Local jurisdictions usually require such trading to be reported in order to monitor insider transactions. In many U.S. states, trading conducted by corporate officers, key employees, directors, or significant shareholders must be reported to the regulator or publicly disclosed, usually within a few business days of the trade. In these cases Pagerduty insiders are required to file a Form 4 with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) when buying or selling shares of their own companies.

Pagerduty's Outstanding Corporate Bonds

Pagerduty issues bonds to finance its operations. Corporate bonds make up one of the largest components of the U.S. bond market, which is considered the world's largest securities market. Pagerduty uses the proceeds from bond sales for a wide variety of purposes, including financing ongoing mergers and acquisitions, buying new equipment, investing in research and development, buying back their own stock, paying dividends to shareholders, and even refinancing existing debt. Most Pagerduty bonds can be classified according to their maturity, which is the date when Pagerduty has to pay back the principal to investors. Maturities can be short-term, medium-term, or long-term (more than ten years). Longer-term bonds usually offer higher interest rates but may entail additional risks.

Understand Pagerduty's technical and predictive indicators

Using predictive indicators to make investment decisions involves analyzing Pagerduty's various financial and market-based factors to help forecast future trends and identify investment opportunities. Select the indicators that are most relevant to your investment strategy. Each indicator has its own strengths and weaknesses, so it's essential to combine multiple indicators to get a more comprehensive view of the market and reduce the risk of making poor decisions based on limited data.

Consider Pagerduty's intraday indicators

Pagerduty intraday indicators are useful technical analysis tools used by many experienced traders. Just like the conventional technical analysis, daily indicators help intraday investors to analyze the price movement with the timing of Pagerduty stock daily movement. By combining multiple daily indicators into a single trading strategy, you can limit your risk while still earning strong returns on your managed positions.

Pagerduty Corporate Filings

F4
14th of November 2024
The report filed by a party regarding the acquisition or disposition of a company's common stock, as well as derivative securities such as options, warrants, and convertible securities
ViewVerify
10Q
4th of September 2024
Quarterly performance report mandated by Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC), to be filed by publicly traded corporations
ViewVerify
8K
3rd of September 2024
Report filed with the SEC to announce major events that shareholders should know about
ViewVerify
13A
10th of June 2024
An amended filing to the original Schedule 13G
ViewVerify
Pagerduty time-series forecasting models is one of many Pagerduty's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models ae widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties e.g. the mean and standard deviation are not constant over time but instead, these metrics vary over time. These non-stationary Pagerduty's historical data is usually called time-series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Pagerduty Stock media impact

Far too much social signal, news, headlines, and media speculation about Pagerduty that are available to investors today. That information is available publicly through Pagerduty media outlets and privately through word of mouth or via Pagerduty internal channels. However, regardless of the origin, that massive amount of Pagerduty data is challenging to quantify into actionable patterns, especially for investors that are not very sophisticated with ever-evolving tools and techniques used in the investment management field.
A primary focus of Pagerduty news analysis is to determine if its current price reflects all relevant headlines and social signals impacting the current market conditions. A news analyst typically looks at the history of Pagerduty relative headlines and hype rather than examining external drivers such as technical or fundamental data. It is believed that price action tends to repeat itself due to investors' collective, patterned thinking related to Pagerduty's headlines and news coverage data. This data is often completely overlooked or insufficiently analyzed for actionable insights to drive Pagerduty alpha.

Pagerduty Sentiment by Major News Outlets

Investor sentiment, mood or attitude towards Pagerduty can have a significant impact on its stock price or the market as a whole. This sentiment can be positive or negative, and various factors, such as economic indicators, news events, or market trends, can influence it. When investor sentiment is positive, investors are more likely to buy stocks, increasing demand and increasing the stock price. Positive investor sentiment can be driven by good news about the company or the broader market, such as solid earnings reports or positive economic data.
Note that negative investor sentiment can cause investors to sell stocks, leading to a decrease in demand and a drop in the stock price. Negative sentiment can be driven by factors such as poor earnings reports, negative news about the company or industry, or broader economic concerns. It's important to note that investor sentiment is just one of many factors that can affect stock prices. Other factors, such as company performance, industry trends, and global economic conditions, can also play a significant role in determining the value of a stock.

Pagerduty Historical Investor Sentiment

Investor biases related to Pagerduty's public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in Pagerduty. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding Pagerduty can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around Pagerduty. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Pagerduty's market sentiment shows the aggregated news analyzed to detect positive and negative mentions from the text and comments. The data is normalized to provide daily scores for Pagerduty and other traded tickers. The bigger the bubble, the more accurate the estimated score. Higher bars for a given day show more participation in the average Pagerduty news discussions. The higher the estimate score, the more favorable the investor's outlook on Pagerduty.

Pagerduty Corporate Directors

Alec GallimoreIndependent DirectorProfile
Bonita StewartIndependent DirectorProfile
Frances WardDirector CommunicationsProfile
Rathi MurthyNon-Executive Independent DirectorProfile
Check out Your Equity Center to better understand how to build diversified portfolios, which includes a position in Pagerduty. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in unemployment.
For information on how to trade Pagerduty Stock refer to our How to Trade Pagerduty Stock guide.
You can also try the Portfolio Center module to all portfolio management and optimization tools to improve performance of your portfolios.
Is Application Software space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Pagerduty. If investors know Pagerduty will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Pagerduty listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Earnings Share
(0.90)
Revenue Per Share
4.813
Quarterly Revenue Growth
0.077
Return On Assets
(0.06)
Return On Equity
(0.31)
The market value of Pagerduty is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Pagerduty that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Pagerduty's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Pagerduty's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Pagerduty's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Pagerduty's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
In summary, please note that there is a difference between Pagerduty's value and its price, as these two are different measures arrived at by various means. Investors typically determine if Pagerduty is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Pagerduty's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.