Pagerduty Valuation

PD Stock  USD 12.39  0.72  5.49%   
At this time, the company appears to be overvalued. Pagerduty holds a recent Real Value of $11.08 per share. The prevailing price of the company is $12.39. Our model determines the value of Pagerduty from analyzing the company fundamentals such as Return On Equity of 0.66, operating margin of 0.08 %, and Shares Outstanding of 91.78 M as well as examining its technical indicators and probability of bankruptcy. Key fundamental drivers impacting Pagerduty's valuation include:
Price Book
3.548
Enterprise Value
997.9 M
Enterprise Value Ebitda
38.4398
Price Sales
2.3083
Forward PE
10.8225
Overvalued
Today
12.39
Please note that Pagerduty's price fluctuation is somewhat reliable at this time. Calculation of the real value of Pagerduty is based on 3 months time horizon. Increasing Pagerduty's time horizon generally increases the accuracy of value calculation and significantly improves the predictive power of the methodology used.
The fair value of the Pagerduty stock is determined by what a typical buyer is willing to pay for full or partial control of Pagerduty. Since Pagerduty is currently traded on the exchange, buyers and sellers on that exchange determine the market value of Pagerduty Stock. However, Pagerduty's intrinsic value may or may not be the same as its current market price, in which case there is an opportunity to profit from the mispricing, assuming the market price will eventually merge with its intrinsic value.
Historical Market  12.39 Real  11.08 Target  16.5 Hype  12.39 Naive  12.0
The real value of Pagerduty Stock, also known as its intrinsic value, is the underlying worth of Pagerduty Company, which is reflected in its stock price. It is based on Pagerduty's financial performance, growth prospects, management team, or industry conditions. The intrinsic value of Pagerduty's stock can be calculated using various methods such as discounted cash flow analysis, price-to-earnings ratio, or price-to-book ratio. That value may differ from its current market price, which is determined by supply and demand factors such as investor sentiment, market trends, or news.
11.08
Real Value
14.64
Upside
Estimating the potential upside or downside of Pagerduty helps investors to forecast how Pagerduty stock's addition to their portfolios will impact the overall performance. We also use other valuation drivers to help us estimate the true value of Pagerduty more accurately as focusing exclusively on Pagerduty's fundamentals will not take into account other important factors:
Earnings
Estimates (0)
LowProjectedHigh
0.280.250.29
Details
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
8.8312.3915.95
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNext ValueHigh
8.4412.0015.56
Details
13 Analysts
Consensus
LowTarget PriceHigh
15.0216.5018.32
Details
Traditionally, analysts and sophisticated investors use multiple methods for valuing a cash-flow-generating entity or its stock. For example, some money managers use Pagerduty's intrinsic value based on its ongoing forecasts of Pagerduty's financial statements. In contrast, other private, professional wealth advisors use a multiplier approach by looking to relative value analysis against Pagerduty's closest peers. If more than one evaluation category is relevant for Pagerduty we suggest using both methods to arrive at a better estimate.

Pagerduty Cash

270.65 Million

Pagerduty Total Value Analysis

Pagerduty is at this time forecasted to have takeover value of 997.86 M with market capitalization of 1.13 B, debt of 463.65 M, and cash on hands of 298.94 M. Please note that takeover value may be misleading and is a subject to accounting mistakes. We encourage investors to methodically examine all of the Pagerduty fundamentals before making investment evaluation based on enterprise value of the company
  Takeover PriceMarket CapDebt ObligationsCash
997.86 M
1.13 B
463.65 M
298.94 M

Pagerduty Investor Information

About 94.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors. The book value of Pagerduty was at this time reported as 3.5. The company had not issued any dividends in recent years. Based on the key measurements obtained from Pagerduty's financial statements, Pagerduty is not in a good financial situation at the present time. It has a very high chance of going through financial crunch in February.

Pagerduty Asset Utilization

The concept of asset utilization usually refers to the revenue earned for every dollar of assets a company currently reports. The latest return on assets of Pagerduty indicates not a very effective usage of assets in January.
 
Covid

Pagerduty Ownership Allocation

Pagerduty owns a total of 91.78 Million outstanding shares. The majority of Pagerduty outstanding shares are owned by third-party entities. These institutional holders are usually referred to as non-private investors looking to secure positions in Pagerduty to benefit from reduced commissions. Consequently, institutional investors are subject to a different set of regulations than regular investors in Pagerduty. Please pay attention to any change in the institutional holdings of Pagerduty as this could imply that something significant has changed or is about to change at the company. Please note that no matter how many assets the company maintains, if the real value of the company is less than the current market value, you may not be able to make money on it.

Pagerduty Profitability Analysis

The company generated the yearly revenue of 467.5 M. Annual Net Loss to common stockholders was (54.46 M) with gross profit of 413.12 M.
Please note that valuation analysis is one of the essential comprehensive assessments in business. It evaluates Pagerduty's worth, which you can determine by considering its current assets, liabilities and future cash flows. The investors' valuation analysis is an important metric that will give you a perspective on different companies. It helps you know the worth of the potential investment in Pagerduty and how it compares across the competition.

About Pagerduty Valuation

The stock valuation mechanism determines Pagerduty's current worth on a weekly basis. Our valuation model uses a comparative analysis of Pagerduty. We calculate exposure to Pagerduty's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, and relevant financial multiples and ratios and then compare them to those of Pagerduty's related companies.
Last ReportedProjected for Next Year
Gross Profit446 M242.9 M
Pretax Profit Margin(0.08)(0.08)
Operating Profit Margin(0.13)(0.12)
Net Loss(0.08)(0.09)
Gross Profit Margin 0.95  0.92 

Pagerduty Growth Indicators

Investing in growth stocks can be very risky. If the company such as Pagerduty does not do well, investors take a loss on the stock when it is time to sell. Also, because growth stocks typically do not pay dividends, the only opportunity an investor has to make money on their investment is when they eventually sell their shares.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding92 M
Forward Price Earnings10.8225

Pagerduty Current Valuation Indicators

Valuation refers to the process of determining the present value of Pagerduty and all of its assets. It can be calculated using a number of techniques. As many analysts who try to value Pagerduty we look at many different elements of the entity such as Pagerduty's management, its prospective future earnings, the current market value of the company's assets, as well as its capital structure formation.
Valuations are an essential part of business, for companies themselves, but also for investors. For companies, such as Pagerduty, valuations can help measure their progress and success and can help them track their performance in the market compared to others. In addition, investors can use Pagerduty's valuations to help determine the worth of potential investments. They can do this by using data and information made public by a company. Regardless of who the valuation is for, it essentially describes Pagerduty's worth.

Complementary Tools for Pagerduty Stock analysis

When running Pagerduty's price analysis, check to measure Pagerduty's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Pagerduty is operating at the current time. Most of Pagerduty's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Pagerduty's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Pagerduty's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Pagerduty to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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