Pagerduty Stock Performance

PD Stock  USD 6.69  0.26  3.74%   
The company holds a Beta of 0.78, which implies possible diversification benefits within a given portfolio. As returns on the market increase, Pagerduty's returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding Pagerduty is expected to be smaller as well. At this point, Pagerduty has a negative expected return of -1.24%. Please make sure to check Pagerduty's kurtosis, and the relationship between the maximum drawdown and day median price , to decide if Pagerduty performance from the past will be repeated at some point in the near future.

Risk-Adjusted Performance

Weakest

 
Weak
 
Strong
Over the last 90 days Pagerduty has generated negative risk-adjusted returns adding no value to investors with long positions. In spite of weak performance in the last few months, the Stock's fundamental indicators remain rather sound which may send shares a bit higher in March 2026. The latest tumult may also be a sign of longer-term up-swing for the firm shareholders. ...more

Actual Historical Performance (%)

One Day Return
(3.74)
Five Day Return
(4.02)
Year To Date Return
(46.00)
Ten Year Return
(82.51)
All Time Return
(82.51)
1
PagerDutys Q3 CY2025 Earnings Results Revenue In Line With Expectations But Stock Drops
11/25/2025
2
Down 26.6 percent in 4 Weeks, Heres Why PagerDuty Looks Ripe for a Turnaround
12/02/2025
3
PagerDuty to Present at the 28th Annual Needham Growth Conference
01/08/2026
4
Disposition of 408 shares by Dan Solomon of Pagerduty at 18.31 subject to Rule 16b-3
01/12/2026
5
PagerDuty PD Position Lowered by Sumitomo Mitsui Trust Group Inc.
01/16/2026
6
PagerDuty Appoints Scott Aronson to Board of Directors
01/20/2026
7
PagerDuty Stock Rating Lowered by Zacks Research
01/28/2026
8
Why Investors Shouldnt Be Surprised By PagerDuty, Inc.s 28 percent Share Price Plunge
02/04/2026
9
Insider Trading
02/09/2026
10
PagerDuty to Report Fourth Quarter and Full Fiscal Year 2026 Results on March 12, 2026
02/19/2026
Begin Period Cash Flow366.7 M
Total Cashflows From Investing Activities-20 M

Pagerduty Relative Risk vs. Return Landscape

If you would invest  1,486  in Pagerduty on November 22, 2025 and sell it today you would lose (817.00) from holding Pagerduty or give up 54.98% of portfolio value over 90 days. Pagerduty is generating negative expected returns and assumes 4.374% volatility on return distribution over the 90 days horizon. Put differently, 39% of stocks are less risky than Pagerduty on the basis of their historical return distribution, and some 99% of all equities are expected to be superior in generating returns on investments over the next 90 days.
  Expected Return   
       Risk  
Allowing for the 90-day total investment horizon Pagerduty is expected to under-perform the market. In addition to that, the company is 5.82 times more volatile than its market benchmark. It trades about -0.28 of its total potential returns per unit of risk. The Dow Jones Industrial is currently generating roughly 0.14 per unit of volatility.

Pagerduty Target Price Odds to finish over Current Price

The tendency of Pagerduty Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above the current price in 90 days
 6.69 90 days 6.69 
about 98.0
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Pagerduty to move above the current price in 90 days from now is about 98.0 (This Pagerduty probability density function shows the probability of Pagerduty Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Allowing for the 90-day total investment horizon Pagerduty has a beta of 0.78 indicating as returns on the market go up, Pagerduty average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Pagerduty will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Pagerduty has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   Pagerduty Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Pagerduty

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Pagerduty. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Pagerduty's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
2.396.7511.11
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
4.328.6813.04
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
1.525.8810.24
Details
13 Analysts
Consensus
LowTargetHigh
13.3914.7116.33
Details

Pagerduty Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Pagerduty is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Pagerduty's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Pagerduty, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Pagerduty within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-1.23
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.78
σ
Overall volatility
2.35
Ir
Information ratio -0.3

Pagerduty Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Pagerduty for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Pagerduty can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Pagerduty generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Pagerduty has high historical volatility and very poor performance
Pagerduty has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years
The company generated the yearly revenue of 467.5 M. Annual Net Loss to common stockholders was (54.46 M) with gross profit of 413.12 M.
Over 83.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors
Latest headline from finance.yahoo.com: PagerDuty to Report Fourth Quarter and Full Fiscal Year 2026 Results on March 12, 2026

Pagerduty Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Pagerduty Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Pagerduty's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Pagerduty's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding92 M
Cash And Short Term Investments570.8 M

Pagerduty Fundamentals Growth

Pagerduty Stock prices reflect investors' perceptions of the future prospects and financial health of Pagerduty, and Pagerduty fundamentals are critical determinants of its market performance. Overall, investors pay close attention to revenue and earnings growth, profit margins, and debt levels. These fundamentals can have a significant impact on Pagerduty Stock performance.

About Pagerduty Performance

By analyzing Pagerduty's fundamental ratios, stakeholders can gain valuable insights into Pagerduty's financial health, operational efficiency, and overall profitability, helping them make informed investment and management decisions. For instance, if Pagerduty has a high ROA and ROE, it suggests that the company is efficiently using its assets and equity to generate substantial profits, making it an attractive investment. Conversely, if Pagerduty has a low ROA and ROE, it may indicate underlying issues in asset and equity management, signaling a need for operational improvements.
Last ReportedProjected for Next Year
Return On Tangible Assets(0.05)(0.05)
Return On Capital Employed(0.10)(0.10)
Return On Assets(0.04)(0.04)
Return On Equity(0.38)(0.40)

Things to note about Pagerduty performance evaluation

Checking the ongoing alerts about Pagerduty for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Stock alerts and notifications screener for Pagerduty help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Pagerduty generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Pagerduty has high historical volatility and very poor performance
Pagerduty has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years
The company generated the yearly revenue of 467.5 M. Annual Net Loss to common stockholders was (54.46 M) with gross profit of 413.12 M.
Over 83.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors
Latest headline from finance.yahoo.com: PagerDuty to Report Fourth Quarter and Full Fiscal Year 2026 Results on March 12, 2026
Evaluating Pagerduty's performance can involve analyzing a variety of financial metrics and factors. Some of the key considerations to evaluate Pagerduty's stock performance include:
  • Analyzing Pagerduty's financial statements, including its income statement, balance sheet, and cash flow statement, helps in understanding its overall financial health and growth potential.
  • Getting a closer look at valuation ratios like price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio, price-to-sales (P/S) ratio, and price-to-book (P/B) ratio help in understanding whether Pagerduty's stock is overvalued or undervalued compared to its peers.
  • Examining Pagerduty's industry or sector and how it is performing can give you an idea of its growth potential and how it is positioned relative to its competitors.
  • Evaluating Pagerduty's management team can have a significant impact on its success or failure. Reviewing the track record and experience of Pagerduty's management team can help you assess the Company's leadership.
  • Pay attention to analyst opinions and ratings of Pagerduty's stock. These opinions can provide insight into Pagerduty's potential for growth and whether the stock is currently undervalued or overvalued.
It's essential to remember that evaluating Pagerduty's stock performance is not an exact science, and many factors can impact Pagerduty's stock market price. Therefore, it's also important to diversify your portfolio and not rely solely on one company or stock for your investments.

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When running Pagerduty's price analysis, check to measure Pagerduty's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Pagerduty is operating at the current time. Most of Pagerduty's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Pagerduty's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Pagerduty's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Pagerduty to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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