Pagerduty Stock Performance
| PD Stock | USD 10.53 0.23 2.14% |
The company holds a Beta of -0.34, which implies possible diversification benefits within a given portfolio. As returns on the market increase, returns on owning Pagerduty are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During the bear market, Pagerduty is likely to outperform the market. At this point, Pagerduty has a negative expected return of -0.62%. Please make sure to check Pagerduty's kurtosis, and the relationship between the maximum drawdown and day median price , to decide if Pagerduty performance from the past will be repeated at some point in the near future.
Risk-Adjusted Performance
Weakest
Weak | Strong |
Over the last 90 days Pagerduty has generated negative risk-adjusted returns adding no value to investors with long positions. In spite of fragile performance in the last few months, the Stock's fundamental indicators remain rather sound which may send shares a bit higher in March 2026. The latest tumult may also be a sign of longer-term up-swing for the firm shareholders. ...more
Actual Historical Performance (%)
One Day Return (2.32) | Five Day Return (6.08) | Year To Date Return (15.17) | Ten Year Return (72.52) | All Time Return (72.52) |
1 | Can PagerDuty Inc. stock stage a strong rebound this quarter - Quarterly Portfolio Report Low Volatility Stock Recommendations - newser.com | 11/19/2025 |
2 | Why PagerDuty Stock Is Falling Today | 11/26/2025 |
3 | Why PagerDuty Might be Well Poised for a Surge | 12/26/2025 |
4 | PagerDuty Director Sells US3.56 Million in Common Stock - | 12/31/2025 |
5 | PagerDuty Is Down 6.4 percent After Founder Exits Board And RBC Flags AI, Margin Risks | 01/07/2026 |
6 | Financial Contrast PagerDuty and WEBTOON Entertainment | 01/09/2026 |
7 | 1 of Wall Streets Favorite Stock with Impressive Fundamentals and 2 Facing Challenges | 01/13/2026 |
8 | PagerDuty Leadership Hires Put Enterprise Growth And Governance In Focus | 01/21/2026 |
9 | PagerDuty Raised to Buy at Wall Street Zen | 01/27/2026 |
10 | Explore enterprise incident response software sector developments | 01/28/2026 |
| Begin Period Cash Flow | 366.7 M | |
| Total Cashflows From Investing Activities | -20 M |
Pagerduty | Build AI portfolio with Pagerduty Stock |
Pagerduty Relative Risk vs. Return Landscape
If you would invest 1,611 in Pagerduty on November 1, 2025 and sell it today you would lose (558.00) from holding Pagerduty or give up 34.64% of portfolio value over 90 days. Pagerduty is generating negative expected returns and assumes 3.705% volatility on return distribution over the 90 days horizon. Put differently, 33% of stocks are less risky than Pagerduty on the basis of their historical return distribution, and some 99% of all equities are expected to be superior in generating returns on investments over the next 90 days. Expected Return |
| Risk |
Pagerduty Target Price Odds to finish over Current Price
The tendency of Pagerduty Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to move above the current price in 90 days |
| 10.53 | 90 days | 10.53 | over 95.58 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Pagerduty to move above the current price in 90 days from now is over 95.58 (This Pagerduty probability density function shows the probability of Pagerduty Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Allowing for the 90-day total investment horizon Pagerduty has a beta of -0.34 indicating as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Pagerduty are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Pagerduty is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Pagerduty has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. Pagerduty Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Pagerduty
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Pagerduty. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Pagerduty's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Pagerduty Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Pagerduty is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Pagerduty's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Pagerduty, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Pagerduty within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.52 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | -0.34 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 1.72 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.16 |
Pagerduty Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Pagerduty for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Pagerduty can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Pagerduty generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Pagerduty has high historical volatility and very poor performance | |
| Pagerduty has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| The company generated the yearly revenue of 467.5 M. Annual Net Loss to common stockholders was (54.46 M) with gross profit of 413.12 M. | |
| Over 94.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors | |
| Latest headline from kalkinemedia.com: Explore enterprise incident response software sector developments |
Pagerduty Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Pagerduty Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Pagerduty's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Pagerduty's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 92 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 570.8 M |
Pagerduty Fundamentals Growth
Pagerduty Stock prices reflect investors' perceptions of the future prospects and financial health of Pagerduty, and Pagerduty fundamentals are critical determinants of its market performance. Overall, investors pay close attention to revenue and earnings growth, profit margins, and debt levels. These fundamentals can have a significant impact on Pagerduty Stock performance.
| Return On Equity | 0.66 | ||||
| Return On Asset | -0.0059 | ||||
| Profit Margin | 0.31 % | ||||
| Operating Margin | 0.08 % | ||||
| Current Valuation | 848.26 M | ||||
| Shares Outstanding | 91.78 M | ||||
| Price To Book | 3.08 X | ||||
| Price To Sales | 2.00 X | ||||
| Revenue | 467.5 M | ||||
| Gross Profit | 413.12 M | ||||
| EBITDA | (11.89 M) | ||||
| Net Income | (54.46 M) | ||||
| Cash And Equivalents | 298.94 M | ||||
| Cash Per Share | 5.28 X | ||||
| Total Debt | 463.65 M | ||||
| Debt To Equity | 1.21 % | ||||
| Current Ratio | 2.47 X | ||||
| Book Value Per Share | 3.50 X | ||||
| Cash Flow From Operations | 117.89 M | ||||
| Earnings Per Share | 1.61 X | ||||
| Market Capitalization | 980.02 M | ||||
| Total Asset | 927.27 M | ||||
| Retained Earnings | (595.17 M) | ||||
| Working Capital | 342.56 M | ||||
About Pagerduty Performance
By analyzing Pagerduty's fundamental ratios, stakeholders can gain valuable insights into Pagerduty's financial health, operational efficiency, and overall profitability, helping them make informed investment and management decisions. For instance, if Pagerduty has a high ROA and ROE, it suggests that the company is efficiently using its assets and equity to generate substantial profits, making it an attractive investment. Conversely, if Pagerduty has a low ROA and ROE, it may indicate underlying issues in asset and equity management, signaling a need for operational improvements.
| Last Reported | Projected for Next Year | ||
| Return On Tangible Assets | (0.05) | (0.05) | |
| Return On Capital Employed | (0.10) | (0.10) | |
| Return On Assets | (0.04) | (0.04) | |
| Return On Equity | (0.38) | (0.40) |
Things to note about Pagerduty performance evaluation
Checking the ongoing alerts about Pagerduty for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Stock alerts and notifications screener for Pagerduty help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Pagerduty generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Pagerduty has high historical volatility and very poor performance | |
| Pagerduty has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| The company generated the yearly revenue of 467.5 M. Annual Net Loss to common stockholders was (54.46 M) with gross profit of 413.12 M. | |
| Over 94.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors | |
| Latest headline from kalkinemedia.com: Explore enterprise incident response software sector developments |
- Analyzing Pagerduty's financial statements, including its income statement, balance sheet, and cash flow statement, helps in understanding its overall financial health and growth potential.
- Getting a closer look at valuation ratios like price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio, price-to-sales (P/S) ratio, and price-to-book (P/B) ratio help in understanding whether Pagerduty's stock is overvalued or undervalued compared to its peers.
- Examining Pagerduty's industry or sector and how it is performing can give you an idea of its growth potential and how it is positioned relative to its competitors.
- Evaluating Pagerduty's management team can have a significant impact on its success or failure. Reviewing the track record and experience of Pagerduty's management team can help you assess the Company's leadership.
- Pay attention to analyst opinions and ratings of Pagerduty's stock. These opinions can provide insight into Pagerduty's potential for growth and whether the stock is currently undervalued or overvalued.
Complementary Tools for Pagerduty Stock analysis
When running Pagerduty's price analysis, check to measure Pagerduty's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Pagerduty is operating at the current time. Most of Pagerduty's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Pagerduty's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Pagerduty's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Pagerduty to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
| Price Transformation Use Price Transformation models to analyze the depth of different equity instruments across global markets | |
| CEOs Directory Screen CEOs from public companies around the world | |
| Bonds Directory Find actively traded corporate debentures issued by US companies | |
| Latest Portfolios Quick portfolio dashboard that showcases your latest portfolios |